Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 March 2007 at 21:33:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.48     3.21    62.45    95.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.66     3.88    41.70     4.08    95.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.35     3.84    31.53     0.00     0.73    97.46    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.62     4.29    36.67     0.01     4.14    98.50    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.62     3.72    -3.67     0.00     0.00     1.13    45.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.11     3.88    13.84     0.00     0.00     0.75    49.22     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.92     4.09     9.06     0.00     0.00     1.75    55.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.90     3.97    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.25    22.88     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.05     3.99     3.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     9.32     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.61     3.84    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.04    14.11     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.75     4.01    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.61     3.82    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.90     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.82     4.22    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.35R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.61     3.64   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.08R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.29     3.97   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.16R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.02     3.60   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.51     3.95   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.76R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.33     3.82   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.08R    1.76  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.89     3.36   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.94R   32.16  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.28     3.04   -42.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   66.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Norwich vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            36   69  +14      86.44     4.21    19.78    42.03    70.11    99.11    76.73P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.31     4.55    24.81    35.65    60.59    97.59    70.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.76     4.31    28.48     7.63    22.91    88.93    41.80P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.83     4.23    21.67     4.17    14.87    82.17    33.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   62  +14      81.14     4.62    20.03     9.05    24.56    87.56    39.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.96     4.28     4.64     0.55     2.83    46.27    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   59  +15      74.98     4.30    18.81     0.48     2.23    43.65    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.72     4.30    16.20     0.41     1.79    39.32    10.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.80     4.27    17.04     0.01     0.08     9.43     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.47     4.30    14.37     0.00     0.01     5.12     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.85     4.25     1.87     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   49   +2      65.01     4.41     5.53     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      36   48   -3      60.77     4.23    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          36   45   -2      59.39     4.35    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.81     4.50    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      55.86     4.07   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Norwich          35   44   -9      55.52     4.42   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.71     4.50    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.01  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.38     4.04   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.77R    3.29  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.14     4.38   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.92R    2.92  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.14     4.31   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.38R    5.67  
Hull             36   35  -18      45.15     4.07   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.62R    8.35  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.83     4.12   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.64R   24.16  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.12     3.93   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.11R   55.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Port_Vale vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.12     4.15    38.88    91.50    98.60   100.00    98.97P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   36   63  +14      80.54     4.26    19.89     2.38    29.50    96.61    45.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        34   62  +16      82.60     4.79    22.16     5.50    51.37    97.84    63.28P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.47     4.27    16.78     0.29     7.67    81.76    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.29     4.33    24.81     0.31    10.65    88.81    33.49P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.59     4.31    12.78     0.01     0.60    41.66    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           35   55  +12      72.10     4.63    15.10     0.01     1.26    48.36    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           36   54   +9      69.54     4.24    11.76     0.00     0.28    24.11     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.47     4.38    13.65     0.00     0.07    14.48     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.18     4.27    -7.08     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.93     4.66    -5.19     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.28P    0.23R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.68     4.59    -6.89     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.12P    0.24R    0.00  
Port_Vale           36   47   -3      61.61     4.47    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.17P    0.22R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.64     4.16    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.33R    0.00  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.86     4.24   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.21R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.38     4.27   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.74R    0.14  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.35     4.18    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.85R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.80     4.19   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.35R    0.28  
Bournemouth         36   40  -11      51.87     4.29   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.86R    0.52  
Chesterfield        35   39   -3      53.41     4.51    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.97R    0.21  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.53     4.44   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.68R    1.17  
Cheltenham          36   37  -16      47.36     4.03   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R    7.04  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.43     3.85   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   57.11  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.88     4.60    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.60R   33.44  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, Accrington vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      89.88     4.24    25.72    56.72    93.10    99.95    94.84P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.14     4.05    35.19    30.34    85.45    99.84    90.11P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.70     4.52    18.61     4.43    35.54    94.69    46.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.64     4.57    17.89     4.26    34.13    94.83    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.82     4.28    17.53     1.02    15.27    88.07    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.44     4.63    20.86     2.86    27.32    92.60    43.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      75.01     4.52    18.32     0.15     3.79    61.69    20.41P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.56     4.28     1.56     0.00     0.00     3.06     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.63     4.42    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.32     4.27    -2.41     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.78     5.12    30.13     0.21     5.39    61.35    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        36   48   +2      63.92     4.35     5.47     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.72     4.36     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          36   47   +0      59.27     4.15    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   46   -1      62.01     4.74    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.81     4.12   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.01  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      58.98     4.83     8.98     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.85     4.33   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.63     4.31   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.26  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.46     4.54   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.34  
Accrington       36   35  -12      46.47     4.08   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.03R    0.82  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.13     4.11   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.06R    4.01  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.23     4.16   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.51R    6.23  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.12     3.72   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.94R   88.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 March 2007, York vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          35   74  +39      97.18     4.27    52.86    92.92   100.00    95.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         35   66  +28      87.96     4.34    37.88     6.89    99.62    47.52P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   59  +11      76.14     4.67    14.23     0.02    54.24    10.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             34   58  +14      78.28     4.97    19.72     0.08    72.00    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          33   56   +9      77.12     5.23    13.88     0.04    61.16    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          34   56   +5      75.44     4.92     9.40     0.04    47.22     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          33   54  +11      74.47     5.20    14.93     0.01    43.20     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             34   54   -1      70.02     4.81    -1.23     0.00    10.71     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          33   49   +3      67.79     5.12     4.23     0.00     7.32     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           33   49   -5      65.86     5.09    -6.48     0.00     2.47     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      33   48   -4      64.01     5.02    -6.38     0.00     1.28     0.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        34   45   +2      62.43     4.82     3.49     0.00     0.54     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Crawley            34   42   +3      59.08     4.95     4.06     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.31R    0.01  
Woking             34   40   -4      56.13     4.83    -4.24     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.69R    0.09  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.50     4.38   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.29R    0.92  
Cambridge_U        37   39  -16      47.96     3.89   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.30R    5.34  
Stafford_Rangers   34   38  -15      51.89     4.78   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.56R    1.86  
Halifax            31   37   +0      57.73     5.73     0.18     0.00     0.13     0.01P    1.93R    0.18  
Northwich          30   36  -11      52.42     5.62   -19.93     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.65R    2.54  
Grays              34   35   +1      53.11     4.91     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.06R    0.73  
Altrincham         34   35  -11      47.56     4.68   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.09R   10.04  
Tamworth           33   34  -14      48.80     5.00   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.12R    8.14  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.21     4.36   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.78R   33.62  
Southport          35   32  -16      43.39     4.41   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.17R   36.50  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10