Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 March 2007 at 21:33:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.57     3.20    62.59    95.86   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.71     3.91    41.86     4.13    95.39   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.45     3.84    31.68     0.00     0.68    97.56    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.57     4.25    36.60     0.00     3.94    98.65    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.69     3.73    -3.59     0.00     0.00     1.01    46.41     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.18     3.87    13.88     0.00     0.00     0.88    49.33     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.79     4.04     8.81     0.00     0.00     1.57    53.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.97     3.99    -2.51     0.00     0.00     0.19    23.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.06     3.96     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.79     3.78    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.06    14.73     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.63     4.04    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.63     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.54     3.80    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.73     4.18    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.29R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.57     3.62   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.17R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.30     4.00   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.21R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.95     3.60   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.01  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.60     3.94   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    0.02  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.29     3.77   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.53R    1.62  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.83     3.38   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.92R   32.66  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.30     3.09   -42.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   65.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 March 2007, Preston vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.31     4.56    24.82    39.96    63.14    97.56    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            35   66  +13      84.99     4.47    19.11    33.14    59.35    97.58    67.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.78     4.33    28.55     9.71    26.38    89.14    43.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.65     4.31    21.41     4.89    16.59    80.51    33.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          35   62  +14      81.01     4.56    19.91    10.30    25.96    88.09    41.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.99     4.25     4.64     0.84     3.33    47.25    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   59  +15      75.12     4.28    19.00     0.66     2.94    45.34    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.73     4.33    16.14     0.49     2.19    39.55    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.61     4.21    16.76     0.01     0.09     8.63     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.39     4.29    14.18     0.00     0.02     4.92     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.85     4.27     1.88     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   48   +2      65.18     4.63     5.22     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      35   47   -3      61.47     4.54    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.68     4.43    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      55.94     4.07   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Norwich          34   44   -8      56.86     4.73   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.43R    0.01  
Ipswich          35   42   -5      57.17     4.65    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.45R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.86     4.54    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.02  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.39     4.02   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.66R    3.61  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.06     4.34   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.41R    3.52  
Hull             35   35  -15      46.85     4.32   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.77R    4.57  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.18     4.36   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.15R    6.34  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.93     4.15   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.81R   24.68  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.25     3.94   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.10R   57.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Port_Vale vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.14     4.14    38.82    89.05    98.01   100.00    98.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   35   63  +15      82.35     4.49    21.60     4.88    40.59    98.64    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        34   62  +16      82.74     4.84    22.26     5.42    45.63    98.37    59.81P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.66     4.23    17.07     0.30     6.02    86.28    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.30     4.33    24.81     0.34     8.71    91.27    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.40     4.36    12.54     0.00     0.39    44.73    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.37     4.34    13.51     0.00     0.03    16.83     3.92P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           34   52  +10      70.70     4.88    13.45     0.00     0.54    40.63     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.22     4.23    -6.96     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           35   51   +8      67.31     4.48     9.99     0.00     0.09    14.27     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.95     4.61    -5.19     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.26P    0.21R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.81     4.59    -6.77     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.23P    0.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale           35   46   -3      62.74     4.78    -0.61     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.41P    0.33R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.72     4.19    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.49R    0.01  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.72     4.25   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     5.03R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.18     4.22   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    0.20  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.33     4.17    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.24R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.90     4.21   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.14R    0.16  
Bournemouth         35   40   -9      52.93     4.44   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.54R    0.29  
Chesterfield        35   39   -3      53.45     4.53    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.34R    0.26  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.57     4.41   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.31R    1.06  
Cheltenham          35   36  -16      47.27     4.35   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.78R    8.33  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.47     3.79   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R   55.05  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.65     4.60    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.13R   34.56  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      90.00     4.23    25.95    57.05    93.37    99.95    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.19     4.07    35.21    30.08    85.24    99.87    90.09P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.67     4.50    18.61     4.26    34.83    95.03    46.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.82     4.59    18.15     4.36    35.05    95.14    49.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.93     4.32    17.64     1.01    15.60    88.16    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.40     4.64    20.81     2.94    26.84    92.69    43.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      75.00     4.52    18.32     0.14     3.89    60.82    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.57     4.30     1.63     0.00     0.01     2.92     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.63     4.41    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.33     4.32    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.70     5.11    29.96     0.16     5.17    61.04    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   47   +1      60.29     4.41    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.66     4.32     1.65     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   45   +1      62.39     4.65     4.60     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   -1      62.53     5.06    -1.00     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.68     4.12   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      58.99     4.85     8.95     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.88     4.31   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.52     4.35   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.23  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.31     4.51   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.00R    0.34  
Accrington       35   34  -12      46.92     4.31   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.25R    0.83  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.22     4.12   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.97R    4.12  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.24     4.16   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.84R    6.12  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.11     3.73   -34.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.81R   88.35  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Woking vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          34   73  +39      98.98     4.44    55.42    96.40   100.00    97.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   63  +27      86.93     4.59    37.78     3.48    99.22    44.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   56  +10      74.95     4.89    13.89     0.00    44.66     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          33   56   +7      77.74     5.12    12.79     0.06    64.88    11.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             33   55  +13      76.98     5.21    19.11     0.01    61.74    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          32   55   +9      77.32     5.46    13.68     0.04    61.23    12.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             33   54   +0      71.35     5.07    -0.27     0.00    17.39     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   51  +10      73.00     5.44    14.08     0.01    32.19     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   49   +5      70.03     5.43     7.58     0.01    15.32     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           32   46   -7      63.12     5.26   -10.13     0.00     0.99     0.14P    0.04R    0.01  
Kidderminster      32   45   -5      62.05     5.36    -7.92     0.00     0.78     0.13P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        33   44   +2      62.77     5.20     3.50     0.00     0.96     0.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             33   40   -3      57.84     5.16    -2.84     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.81R    0.03  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.34     4.38   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.38R    0.69  
Crawley            33   39   +2      57.35     5.15     2.90     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.03R    0.09  
Cambridge_U        36   39  -11      50.12     4.21   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.52R    1.69  
Halifax            30   37   +1      59.09     6.02     1.24     0.00     0.45     0.10P    1.20R    0.12  
Stafford_Rangers   33   37  -15      50.82     4.85   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.12R    2.90  
Northwich          29   36  -10      53.45     5.89   -19.59     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.29R    1.49  
Grays              33   35   +2      54.55     5.18     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.45  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.45     4.42   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.39R   27.70  
Southport          34   32  -15      44.34     4.57   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.16R   24.61  
Altrincham         33   32  -16      44.95     4.83   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R   23.69  
Tamworth           32   31  -16      46.34     5.15   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.62R   16.55  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10