Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 March 2007 at 21:49:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, West_Ham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.54     3.21    62.52    96.16   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.57     3.87    41.59     3.83    95.42   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.25     3.87    31.44     0.00     0.52    96.92    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.65     4.24    36.77     0.01     4.06    98.67    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.71     3.72    -3.52     0.00     0.00     1.20    47.28     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.05     3.87    13.75     0.00     0.00     0.95    48.44     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.77     4.09     8.79     0.00     0.00     1.86    53.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   42   -3      54.85     3.94    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.27    22.12     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.10     3.97     3.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.49     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.72     3.83    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.07    14.81     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.77     4.02    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.63     3.80    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.87     4.26    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.33R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.59     3.63   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.10R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.48     4.03   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.19R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.94     3.58   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.00  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.68     3.97   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.22R    0.04  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.21     3.81   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R    1.57  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.82     3.34   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   32.49  
West_Ham        29   20  -29      25.29     3.06   -42.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   65.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.28     4.57    24.73    40.27    63.52    97.36    72.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            35   66  +13      84.96     4.53    19.02    33.55    59.76    97.29    68.06P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.99     4.31    28.88    10.93    29.19    89.77    46.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.73     4.29    21.56     5.62    17.36    81.14    33.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.80     4.28     4.38     0.65     3.24    45.63    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.48     4.52    21.03     1.94     6.98    57.58    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.75     4.33    16.20     0.47     2.48    39.80    11.89P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.37     4.80    17.82     6.58    17.39    77.19    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.45     4.21    16.59     0.01     0.07     8.07     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.18     4.30    13.90     0.00     0.01     4.53     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      62.01     4.28     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   48   +2      65.21     4.73     5.24     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      35   47   -3      61.30     4.54    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.74     4.47    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      56.12     4.10   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Norwich          34   44   -8      56.77     4.72   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   42   -5      57.23     4.63    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.66     4.48    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.03  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.39     4.05   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.20R    3.60  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.08     4.33   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.86R    3.65  
Hull             35   35  -15      47.13     4.39   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.88R    4.20  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.25     4.35   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    6.00  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.87     4.10   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.65R   24.70  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.21     3.94   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.62R   57.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Port_Vale vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.26     4.14    39.03    89.14    98.19   100.00    98.81P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   35   63  +15      82.39     4.45    21.65     4.84    40.63    98.73    55.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        34   62  +16      82.82     4.84    22.40     5.42    46.12    98.34    60.00P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.50     4.25    16.85     0.27     5.84    85.47    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.34     4.37    24.88     0.30     8.17    91.50    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.47     4.31    12.63     0.00     0.41    45.69    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.42     4.36    13.53     0.00     0.07    16.99     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           34   52  +10      70.50     4.82    13.11     0.02     0.47    38.65     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.23     4.25    -6.95     0.00     0.01     3.37     0.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           35   51   +8      67.46     4.50    10.21     0.00     0.09    15.54     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.94     4.62    -5.16     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.21P    0.24R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.76     4.65    -6.85     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.23P    0.34R    0.00  
Port_Vale           35   46   -3      62.46     4.71    -0.96     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.36P    0.30R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.57     4.18    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.78R    0.00  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.78     4.24   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.83R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.35     4.25   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.66R    0.16  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.46     4.17    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.31R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.90     4.22   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    0.20  
Bournemouth         35   40   -9      52.93     4.49   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.54R    0.28  
Chesterfield        35   39   -3      53.29     4.50    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.21R    0.26  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.54     4.42   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.73R    1.02  
Cheltenham          35   36  -16      47.34     4.31   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.27R    7.60  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.24     3.80   -34.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   58.07  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.91     4.62    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.66R   32.37  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      90.02     4.26    25.99    57.92    93.36    99.95    94.96P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.21     4.01    35.29    29.66    86.14    99.86    90.53P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.61     4.52    18.52     4.03    34.31    94.55    45.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.71     4.55    17.98     4.17    34.56    95.23    48.96P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.81     4.30    17.45     1.12    15.44    87.86    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.42     4.58    20.84     2.79    26.88    92.61    43.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      74.89     4.56    18.22     0.14     3.96    60.42    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.60     4.36     1.60     0.00     0.00     3.25     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.65     4.41    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.34     4.30    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.78     5.14    30.13     0.17     5.36    61.97    24.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   47   +1      60.27     4.35    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.72     4.35     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   45   +1      62.40     4.63     4.64     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   -1      62.35     5.06    -1.27     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.73     4.09   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      59.03     4.85     9.05     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.90     4.31   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.39R    0.01  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.60     4.34   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.51R    0.28  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.23     4.47   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.28R    0.36  
Accrington       35   34  -12      46.95     4.37   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.12R    0.94  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.23     4.09   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.33R    4.38  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.20     4.11   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.66R    6.70  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.26     3.77   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R   87.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Woking vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          34   73  +39      99.00     4.40    55.50    96.40   100.00    97.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   63  +27      86.97     4.58    37.82     3.42    99.08    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   56  +10      74.93     4.94    13.87     0.01    44.22     8.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          33   56   +7      77.79     5.12    12.90     0.07    64.94    11.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             33   55  +13      76.89     5.22    19.03     0.04    60.78    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          32   55   +9      77.51     5.43    13.99     0.05    62.48    12.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             33   54   +0      71.34     5.09    -0.27     0.01    17.24     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   51  +10      73.03     5.46    14.10     0.01    32.12     5.53P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   49   +5      70.06     5.47     7.62     0.00    15.93     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           32   46   -7      62.94     5.22   -10.31     0.00     0.91     0.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Kidderminster      32   45   -5      62.42     5.35    -7.43     0.00     0.73     0.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        33   44   +2      62.81     5.17     3.53     0.00     0.91     0.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             33   40   -3      57.63     5.18    -3.11     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.91R    0.03  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.37     4.40   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.75  
Crawley            33   39   +2      57.40     5.14     2.96     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.98R    0.05  
Cambridge_U        36   39  -11      50.06     4.20   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.88R    1.77  
Halifax            30   37   +1      58.98     6.03     1.06     0.00     0.56     0.12P    1.22R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers   33   37  -15      50.86     4.81   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.38R    2.73  
Northwich          29   36  -10      53.24     5.82   -19.95     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.74R    1.50  
Grays              33   35   +2      54.44     5.17     4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.42  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.35     4.37   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.94R   28.59  
Southport          34   32  -15      44.37     4.59   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.73R   23.90  
Altrincham         33   32  -16      44.99     4.82   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R   23.73  
Tamworth           32   31  -16      46.42     5.19   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.91R   16.45  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10