Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 March 2007 at 21:48:51 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.57     3.22    62.43    96.12   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.52     3.93    41.47     3.88    95.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.54     3.87    31.81     0.00     0.82    97.36    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.59     4.25    36.52     0.00     4.06    98.64    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   47   +0      57.68     3.73    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.94    47.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.11     3.91    13.82     0.00     0.00     1.07    50.16     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.96     4.04     9.21     0.00     0.00     1.71    56.74     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      52.03     4.00     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.07    10.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   40   -4      53.74     3.82    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.07    15.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.37     4.24    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.15    15.44     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.61     3.98    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.57     3.78    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.84     4.19    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.35R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.50     3.62   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.38R    0.00  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.36     3.99   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.16R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      41.04     3.59   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.93R    0.02  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.68     3.98   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.07R    0.04  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.35     3.82   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.31R    2.18  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.80     3.36   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   40.56  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.27     3.32   -41.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   57.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 March 2007, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       35   67  +20      85.23     4.59    24.73    40.56    63.84    97.39    72.83P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            35   66  +13      84.98     4.49    19.01    33.91    60.40    97.61    68.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.85     4.36    28.64    10.98    28.55    89.31    46.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.68     4.25    21.47     5.17    17.33    81.79    34.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.74     4.26     4.30     0.71     3.35    44.70    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.42     4.50    20.91     1.71     6.48    57.45    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   59  +13      74.70     4.28    16.15     0.47     2.56    39.83    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.21     4.87    17.59     6.46    17.32    76.15    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.60     4.27    16.73     0.01     0.12     9.01     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.32     4.30    14.13     0.01     0.04     5.11     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.99     4.30     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   48   +2      65.24     4.64     5.27     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      35   47   -3      61.48     4.53    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.86     4.50    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.04R    0.01  
Coventry         36   45  -10      56.07     4.09   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Norwich          34   44   -8      56.73     4.72   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.53R    0.01  
Ipswich          35   42   -5      57.20     4.69    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.59R    0.01  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.78     4.50    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.02  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.40     4.07   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.92R    3.67  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.04     4.31   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.21R    3.38  
Hull             35   35  -15      46.91     4.33   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.61R    4.84  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.19     4.31   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.77R    6.30  
Southend         36   32  -22      43.02     4.08   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.09R   24.25  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.25     3.95   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.00R   57.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Port_Vale vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.12     4.17    38.84    88.54    97.81   100.00    98.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   35   63  +15      82.56     4.50    21.88     5.44    42.48    98.77    57.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        34   62  +16      82.71     4.82    22.27     5.40    44.34    98.38    58.45P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.50     4.32    16.81     0.29     5.85    85.28    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.34     4.34    24.83     0.29     8.45    91.14    31.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.42     4.34    12.56     0.01     0.35    44.73    10.68P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.51     4.39    13.68     0.00     0.07    17.65     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           34   52  +10      70.68     4.94    13.42     0.03     0.60    40.20     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.15     4.22    -7.04     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           35   51   +8      67.35     4.48    10.05     0.00     0.04    14.84     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      61.92     4.60    -5.23     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.28P    0.23R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.76     4.66    -6.82     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.26P    0.34R    0.00  
Port_Vale           35   46   -3      62.68     4.75    -0.72     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.55P    0.28R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.68     4.13    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.25R    0.01  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.66     4.24   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     5.13R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.20     4.20   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.18R    0.17  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.33     4.13    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.28R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.97     4.26   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.55R    0.17  
Bournemouth         35   40   -9      52.96     4.50   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.20R    0.28  
Chesterfield        35   39   -3      53.39     4.52    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.52R    0.27  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.65     4.41   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.80R    1.12  
Cheltenham          35   36  -16      47.14     4.29   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.00R    8.35  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.32     3.79   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R   57.52  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.90     4.60    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.25R   32.06  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      89.94     4.26    25.81    57.38    93.22    99.98    94.95P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.20     4.03    35.27    30.30    85.75    99.89    90.53P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.63     4.48    18.50     4.02    34.80    94.76    46.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.69     4.61    18.00     4.21    34.80    94.94    49.38P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.74     4.32    17.34     0.95    15.12    87.55    28.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.38     4.61    20.81     2.82    26.96    92.84    43.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      75.02     4.52    18.36     0.15     4.04    61.62    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.51     4.30     1.54     0.00     0.03     3.12     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.61     4.40    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.36     4.27    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.66     5.14    29.97     0.16     5.28    60.99    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   47   +1      60.41     4.38    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.68     4.33     1.65     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   45   +1      62.46     4.59     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   -1      62.36     5.04    -1.22     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.74     4.13   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      59.09     4.85     9.14     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.87     4.31   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.71     4.33   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.14R    0.19  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.40     4.50   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.93R    0.38  
Accrington       35   34  -12      46.86     4.29   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.11R    0.86  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.19     4.13   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.56R    4.17  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.13     4.16   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.05R    6.87  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.29     3.75   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R   87.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Woking vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          34   73  +39      99.07     4.40    55.54    96.54   100.00    98.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   63  +27      86.95     4.60    37.85     3.27    99.11    44.65P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   56  +10      74.96     4.96    13.92     0.01    44.09     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          33   56   +7      77.99     5.17    13.18     0.07    66.13    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             33   55  +13      77.00     5.21    19.12     0.06    62.00    13.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          32   55   +9      77.52     5.48    13.97     0.04    62.67    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             33   54   +0      71.15     4.99    -0.55     0.00    15.80     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   51  +10      73.03     5.49    14.16     0.01    32.48     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   49   +5      69.84     5.39     7.32     0.00    14.46     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           32   46   -7      63.02     5.23   -10.28     0.00     1.01     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      32   45   -5      62.30     5.27    -7.62     0.00     0.74     0.10P    0.05R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        33   44   +2      62.80     5.15     3.53     0.00     0.93     0.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking             33   40   -3      57.77     5.12    -2.93     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.90R    0.04  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.56     4.42   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.89R    0.64  
Crawley            33   39   +2      57.57     5.18     3.20     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.88R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        36   39  -11      49.98     4.24   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.91R    2.10  
Halifax            30   37   +1      58.90     6.00     0.97     0.00     0.42     0.07P    1.08R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers   33   37  -15      50.72     4.84   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.48R    2.90  
Northwich          29   36  -10      53.30     5.81   -19.89     0.00     0.02     0.00    10.48R    1.61  
Grays              33   35   +2      54.46     5.14     4.51     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.20R    0.47  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.36     4.35   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.02R   27.93  
Southport          34   32  -15      44.35     4.64   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.07R   24.70  
Altrincham         33   32  -16      45.01     4.78   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.17R   22.55  
Tamworth           32   31  -16      46.30     5.22   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.82R   16.96  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10