Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 March 2007 at 21:33:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Portsmouth vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    29   72  +47      92.61     3.19    62.63    96.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   63  +31      83.51     3.90    41.48     3.58    95.20   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   53  +24      70.41     3.85    31.69     0.00     0.77    95.94    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   52  +27      72.57     4.24    36.51     0.00     4.04    97.86    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.81     4.02    -1.39     0.00     0.00     3.54    66.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   43  +11      57.16     3.86    13.86     0.00     0.00     0.94    48.07     0.00     0.00  
Reading         29   43   +5      57.86     4.05     9.03     0.00     0.00     1.56    52.99     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   41   +5      51.92     3.99     3.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.44     4.23    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.12    13.52     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       29   37   -3      48.77     4.04    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.51     4.07    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.86     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   36   -2      49.59     3.76    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   33   -5      45.83     4.23    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.29R    0.00  
Fulham          29   33  -13      41.56     3.61   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.27R    0.01  
Wigan           29   32  -14      44.42     4.00   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.25R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     29   31  -16      40.97     3.58   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.69R    0.03  
Manchester_C    27   30  -13      39.70     3.99   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.15R    0.01  
Charlton        29   24  -23      33.32     3.77   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R    2.27  
Watford         29   20  -25      26.86     3.34   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   38.45  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.10     3.33   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   59.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Plymouth vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            35   66  +13      85.00     4.50    19.07    37.34    61.95    97.19    69.63P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       34   64  +19      83.89     4.87    24.10    32.58    54.02    93.74    64.35P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    36   63  +22      80.92     4.32    28.74    12.16    30.45    89.08    47.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   63  +17      79.62     4.27    21.38     5.95    18.14    80.21    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   62   +4      75.94     4.29     4.59     0.97     3.91    44.96    11.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.36     4.55    20.81     2.16     7.43    55.33    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.85     4.57    16.86     1.73     5.63    48.83    16.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.27     4.87    17.67     7.10    18.27    75.56    31.70P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   54  +14      69.73     4.27    16.94     0.02     0.14     8.97     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       36   52  +10      68.35     4.27    14.19     0.00     0.04     4.63     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   49   +3      61.92     4.28     1.94     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         35   48   +2      65.44     4.64     5.60     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      35   47   -3      61.36     4.52    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   45   -3      59.72     4.44    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Coventry         36   45  -10      56.07     4.11   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Norwich          34   44   -8      56.75     4.71   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   42   -5      57.09     4.63    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.53R    0.02  
Burnley          35   41   -2      55.87     4.48    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.01  
Barnsley         36   38  -21      47.38     4.01   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.68R    3.67  
Luton            36   36  -16      48.15     4.32   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.84R    3.29  
Hull             35   35  -15      46.95     4.31   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.37R    4.35  
Queens_PR        35   35  -16      46.00     4.28   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.59R    6.34  
Southend         36   32  -22      42.88     4.12   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.08R   25.12  
Leeds            36   31  -26      40.21     3.94   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.36R   57.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Port_Vale vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          36   73  +31      92.08     4.16    38.82    89.17    97.98   100.00    98.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   35   63  +15      82.47     4.45    21.75     5.01    42.13    98.82    56.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        34   62  +16      82.59     4.78    22.11     5.13    44.02    98.23    57.90P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              36   61  +14      76.50     4.30    16.89     0.29     6.11    84.92    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              36   59  +18      77.40     4.33    24.96     0.38     8.62    91.29    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            36   56  +10      71.63     4.35    12.84     0.01     0.44    46.57    10.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             36   52  +11      67.42     4.38    13.54     0.00     0.04    17.18     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           34   52  +10      70.60     4.89    13.29     0.01     0.56    39.30     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            36   52   -5      64.31     4.21    -6.79     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.44P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster           35   51   +8      67.32     4.50    10.00     0.00     0.07    14.59     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               35   48   -3      62.00     4.67    -5.13     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.28P    0.33R    0.00  
Millwall            35   48   -5      61.76     4.67    -6.79     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.27P    0.29R    0.00  
Port_Vale           35   46   -3      62.39     4.74    -1.10     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.47P    0.34R    0.00  
Brighton            36   46   -5      57.65     4.21    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    2.59R    0.01  
Huddersfield        36   45  -11      56.72     4.26   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     5.00R    0.01  
Gillingham          36   43  -17      54.23     4.23   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.19R    0.16  
Northampton         36   42   -4      54.37     4.18    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   11.37R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient       36   42  -11      52.96     4.23   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.58R    0.18  
Bournemouth         35   40   -9      52.94     4.52   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   22.36R    0.32  
Chesterfield        35   39   -3      53.43     4.52    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.54R    0.31  
Bradford            35   38   -8      50.61     4.46   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.05R    1.23  
Cheltenham          35   36  -16      47.27     4.32   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.98R    8.12  
Brentford           36   33  -26      41.43     3.84   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.88R   55.94  
Rotherham           35   28   -7      42.77     4.62    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.47R   33.70  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Boston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       36   73  +21      90.02     4.22    25.95    57.84    93.59    99.97    95.14P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   68  +27      87.15     4.04    35.22    29.54    84.91    99.91    89.78P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    35   64  +14      81.76     4.46    18.74     4.38    35.67    95.07    47.20P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     35   64  +14      81.66     4.54    17.93     4.09    33.83    95.19    48.17P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        36   63  +14      78.87     4.33    17.53     1.12    15.86    87.91    30.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        35   62  +16      80.33     4.59    20.72     2.62    26.45    92.43    42.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          35   57  +14      75.03     4.50    18.37     0.27     4.19    60.99    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       36   53   +3      65.50     4.30     1.46     0.00     0.01     2.99     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   49   +0      62.63     4.39    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         36   49   -2      62.19     4.28    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       32   48  +18      74.75     5.12    30.09     0.14     5.50    61.38    24.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   47   +1      60.28     4.37    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     36   47   +0      61.74     4.34     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        35   45   +1      62.41     4.60     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   -1      62.48     5.06    -1.08     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   44  -17      53.74     4.13   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   42   +8      59.00     4.86     9.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           35   42  -13      52.80     4.30   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.01  
Bury             35   37  -14      48.71     4.34   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.20  
Macclesfield     35   36  -14      48.30     4.49   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.36  
Accrington       35   34  -12      46.96     4.34   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.12R    0.96  
Wrexham          35   34  -25      44.20     4.12   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.05R    4.29  
Boston           36   32  -27      43.15     4.15   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.64R    6.83  
Torquay          36   26  -26      34.28     3.79   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R   87.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 March 2007, Woking vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          34   73  +39      99.09     4.35    55.61    96.62   100.00    97.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         34   63  +27      86.99     4.66    37.83     3.27    99.00    44.85P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   56  +10      74.92     4.86    13.86     0.01    44.21     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          33   56   +7      77.79     5.11    12.85     0.04    65.24    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             33   55  +13      76.99     5.19    19.17     0.01    61.92    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          32   55   +9      77.47     5.45    13.90     0.04    61.96    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             33   54   +0      71.27     5.09    -0.39     0.00    17.11     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          32   51  +10      72.91     5.45    13.94     0.00    31.75     5.39P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          32   49   +5      70.01     5.42     7.52     0.00    15.40     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           32   46   -7      63.12     5.24   -10.11     0.00     0.96     0.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Kidderminster      32   45   -5      62.03     5.27    -7.94     0.00     0.70     0.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        33   44   +2      62.91     5.15     3.68     0.00     1.10     0.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking             33   40   -3      57.90     5.15    -2.73     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.88R    0.04  
Forest_Green       35   40   -8      51.35     4.38   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.80  
Crawley            33   39   +2      57.34     5.10     2.89     0.00     0.07     0.03P    0.86R    0.04  
Cambridge_U        36   39  -11      50.06     4.20   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.74R    1.87  
Halifax            30   37   +1      59.04     6.02     1.17     0.00     0.46     0.09P    1.31R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers   33   37  -15      50.91     4.84   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.21R    2.75  
Northwich          29   36  -10      53.32     5.85   -19.77     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.63R    1.46  
Grays              33   35   +2      54.41     5.19     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.47R    0.53  
St_Albans          35   33  -21      44.42     4.41   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.30R   28.04  
Southport          34   32  -15      44.29     4.58   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.63R   24.61  
Altrincham         33   32  -16      44.97     4.78   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.95R   23.25  
Tamworth           32   31  -16      46.34     5.14   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.31R   16.57  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10