Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 March 2007 at 21:33:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.61     3.57    61.15    94.44    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.92     4.21    39.42     5.54    89.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      72.00     4.09    33.11     0.01     4.05    97.22    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.80     4.47    37.00     0.02     6.07    95.34    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.84     4.02    -1.26     0.00     0.01     3.45    62.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.34     4.20     8.38     0.00     0.01     2.18    52.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.82     4.18    14.27     0.00     0.00     1.43    49.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.46     4.27     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.23    14.21     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.55     4.24    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.14    12.49     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.43     4.08    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.04     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.48     4.30    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.47     0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.65     4.05    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.87     4.54    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.56R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      41.99     3.98   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.00R    0.00  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.67     4.31   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.71R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      41.11     3.83   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.18R    0.01  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.37     4.28   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.78R    0.02  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.43     4.03   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.58R    3.31  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.21     3.34   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   58.81  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.09     3.64   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   37.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Birmingham vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       34   64  +19      83.91     4.80    24.13    34.36    55.98    95.11    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      83.02     4.55    30.86    27.75    52.73    95.16    65.08P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.72     4.82    14.04    21.20    43.00    92.36    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.22     4.55    19.14     3.14     9.78    64.40    24.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.50     4.53    20.96     2.57     8.30    59.71    21.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.98     4.56    17.07     2.10     6.50    53.49    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.35     4.87    17.82     8.21    20.76    78.55    34.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      74.02     4.51     3.24     0.61     2.40    32.98     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   53  +14      69.83     4.51    16.54     0.01     0.23    12.10     3.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.17     4.52    18.90     0.07     0.28    13.63     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      62.07     4.52     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.50     4.94     5.14     0.00     0.04     1.99     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.30     4.75    -2.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.73     4.80    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.21R    0.01  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.42     4.34   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.38R    0.04  
Norwich          33   41  -10      54.49     4.93   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.62R    0.14  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.27     4.75    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.06  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      56.05     4.86    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.28R    0.10  
Barnsley         35   38  -19      49.46     4.42   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.73R    2.71  
Luton            35   36  -15      49.57     4.59   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.61R    3.04  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.49     4.64   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.32R    4.07  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.22     4.57   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.31R    6.52  
Southend         35   31  -22      42.97     4.34   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.03R   32.51  
Leeds            35   31  -25      41.53     4.25   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   50.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Oldham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          35   70  +29      90.99     4.38    37.52    86.70    96.78   100.00    97.77P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              35   61  +16      78.66     4.49    19.94     1.88    17.61    91.00    37.62P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.74     4.88    17.53     4.83    30.75    94.85    44.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.22     5.11    21.43     5.43    38.10    94.91    52.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              35   58  +18      77.77     4.60    24.99     1.03    14.19    88.89    35.15P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.09     4.64    10.96     0.01     0.35    29.34     7.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             35   51  +11      69.09     4.63    15.58     0.00     0.28    24.84     6.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           33   51  +10      71.26     5.24    13.70     0.09     1.36    41.08    10.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           34   51  +10      69.59     4.76    13.28     0.02     0.57    26.77     7.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.41     4.50    -7.18     0.00     0.01     3.50     0.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe               34   47   -3      62.93     4.94    -4.19     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.41P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.47     4.45    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    3.80R    0.01  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.18     4.54   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    3.12R    0.01  
Millwall            34   45   -7      60.14     4.90    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.09P    1.62R    0.01  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      59.78     4.94    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.10P    2.03R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.19     4.39    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.42R    0.03  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.51     4.54   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.86R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.22     4.37   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.16R    0.36  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.35     4.77    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.80R    0.16  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.50     4.74    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   25.91R    0.57  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.85     4.73   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.55R    1.47  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.69     4.64   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.60R    4.85  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.10     4.05   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.45R   41.69  
Rotherham           34   25  -10      40.76     4.84   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.42R   50.62  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Chester vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.95     4.47    25.60    43.44    87.41    99.91    90.72P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.69     4.30    35.47    36.17    84.67    99.84    89.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.86     4.76    22.12    11.25    50.88    98.14    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      80.91     4.59    19.69     3.35    26.51    94.25    40.11P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.33     4.69    19.82     4.32    29.51    94.20    42.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.85     4.82    16.52     0.98    11.46    82.56    27.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.57     4.79    15.64     0.10     2.09    49.12    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.55     4.54     1.09     0.00     0.01     4.24     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         35   49   -1      63.03     4.49    -2.28     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.89     5.30    31.40     0.39     7.46    71.81    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.38     4.58     4.17     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          34   46   +1      61.52     4.64     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.85     4.62    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      62.09     5.26    -2.15     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.86     4.88     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.23     4.63   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.79     4.32   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.67     5.13     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.22     4.65   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.08  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.73     4.79   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.14  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.68     4.60   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    0.66  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.59     4.32   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.34R    5.22  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.61     4.31   -36.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.52R   10.95  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.07     3.95   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.69R   82.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Grays vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      98.00     4.67    53.33    95.56   100.00    97.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.70     4.90    36.46     3.88    97.83    42.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.39     5.43    23.65     0.32    77.33    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      76.05     5.14    15.02     0.04    53.48     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.09     5.41    11.78     0.06    52.56     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.04     5.71    12.36     0.10    51.97     9.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.96     5.65    15.47     0.04    39.61     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      70.11     5.30    -0.72     0.01    13.26     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      67.87     5.65     5.73     0.00     9.31     1.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.71     5.63    -6.51     0.00     1.95     0.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      63.01     5.48   -10.75     0.00     1.15     0.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.94     5.36    -1.18     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.29R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.19     5.41     4.55     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.53R    0.01  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.26     5.41    -2.74     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.89R    0.04  
Forest_Green       34   39   -8      51.10     4.59   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.27R    1.13  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.53     5.11   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.78R    1.80  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.29     6.18     0.95     0.00     0.73     0.14P    1.30R    0.11  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.49     6.22   -17.52     0.00     0.15     0.03P    6.75R    0.97  
Cambridge_U        35   36  -12      48.05     4.43   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.41R    5.75  
Grays              32   34   +2      55.18     5.43     5.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.76R    0.45  
St_Albans          34   33  -19      45.34     4.64   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.70R   22.05  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.26     4.83   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.13R   18.12  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.05     5.09   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.88R   17.86  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      44.13     5.46   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.17R   31.69  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10