Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 March 2007 at 21:33:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.65     3.54    61.25    94.48    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.77     4.25    39.20     5.50    88.85   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      72.12     4.13    33.27     0.00     4.75    97.17    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.76     4.50    37.01     0.03     6.42    95.63    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.87     4.03    -1.20     0.00     0.00     3.29    62.83     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.31     4.21     8.35     0.00     0.00     2.19    51.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.75     4.12    14.25     0.00     0.00     1.44    49.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.39     4.23     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.17    13.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.55     4.27    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.10    12.32     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.39     4.05    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.18     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.70     4.34    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.76     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.49     3.99    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.95     4.54    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.56R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      41.94     3.91   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.88R    0.01  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.61     4.34   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.07R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      41.08     3.87   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.46R    0.01  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.39     4.21   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.54R    0.01  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.44     4.04   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.39R    3.19  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.26     3.35   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   59.72  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.20     3.60   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   37.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Birmingham vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       34   64  +19      84.11     4.88    24.46    36.10    57.84    95.33    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      82.99     4.53    30.85    27.30    52.39    95.10    64.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.65     4.83    13.97    21.00    42.55    92.10    52.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.20     4.51    19.16     3.08     9.74    64.45    24.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.42     4.52    20.90     2.42     7.82    58.92    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      76.08     4.54    17.17     2.00     6.59    54.31    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.30     4.86    17.71     7.43    19.86    78.34    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      74.07     4.56     3.26     0.56     2.50    33.12     8.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   53  +14      69.79     4.55    16.53     0.06     0.33    12.09     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.25     4.52    19.06     0.04     0.36    14.04     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      62.09     4.49     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.41     4.87     5.06     0.01     0.03     1.79     0.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.23     4.68    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.69     4.81    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.27R    0.01  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.26     4.31   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.10  
Norwich          33   41  -10      54.36     4.87   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.61R    0.15  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.45     4.77    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.04  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      56.16     4.94    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.17  
Barnsley         35   38  -19      49.47     4.36   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.18R    2.46  
Luton            35   36  -15      49.71     4.65   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.62R    3.17  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.35     4.64   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.55R    4.25  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.20     4.58   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.82R    6.74  
Southend         35   31  -22      42.91     4.36   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.45R   33.15  
Leeds            35   31  -25      41.64     4.25   -32.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R   49.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Oldham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          35   70  +29      91.08     4.40    37.63    87.56    96.76   100.00    97.88P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              35   61  +16      78.52     4.49    19.80     1.84    17.04    90.09    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.83     4.75    17.67     4.51    31.96    95.19    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.17     5.06    21.43     4.84    37.60    94.97    51.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              35   58  +18      77.70     4.65    24.86     1.12    13.91    88.44    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.01     4.64    10.82     0.03     0.34    28.66     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             35   51  +11      68.96     4.69    15.37     0.00     0.28    24.69     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           33   51  +10      71.45     5.19    14.01     0.08     1.43    42.16    10.74P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           34   51  +10      69.66     4.79    13.38     0.01     0.64    27.59     7.70P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.45     4.52    -7.10     0.00     0.01     3.74     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               34   47   -3      63.05     4.96    -3.99     0.00     0.01     2.86     0.48P    0.28R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.52     4.46    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    3.40R    0.00  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.17     4.49   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    3.02R    0.00  
Millwall            34   45   -7      59.96     4.87    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    1.65R    0.01  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.08     4.94    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    1.54R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.14     4.41    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.60R    0.02  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.22     4.53   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.15R    0.24  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.29     4.43   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.62R    0.37  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.63     4.78    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.30R    0.12  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.36     4.79    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.43R    0.73  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.67     4.68   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.71R    1.64  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.56     4.62   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.34R    4.88  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.31     4.06   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.84R   39.83  
Rotherham           34   25  -10      40.74     4.86   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.09R   52.15  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Chester vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.84     4.47    25.49    42.70    86.65    99.91    90.23P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.74     4.33    35.56    36.91    84.39    99.89    89.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.82     4.79    22.04    10.79    50.62    97.91    62.67P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      80.99     4.56    19.77     3.50    26.84    94.40    40.02P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.35     4.70    19.86     4.29    29.73    93.94    43.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.93     4.89    16.66     1.18    12.13    82.25    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.69     4.81    15.84     0.12     2.18    50.57    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.41     4.52     0.90     0.00     0.01     3.77     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         35   49   -1      63.19     4.50    -2.06     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.77     5.32    31.23     0.51     7.43    71.05    29.08P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.24     4.58     3.97     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          34   46   +1      61.69     4.66     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.94     4.66    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      62.11     5.21    -2.18     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.77     4.86     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.27     4.63   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.12R    0.01  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.78     4.35   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.54     5.08     7.35     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.11     4.65   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.10  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.74     4.80   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.14  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.80     4.53   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.94R    0.55  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.65     4.35   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.73R    4.88  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.56     4.25   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.76R   10.81  
Torquay          35   25  -26      33.93     3.95   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.86R   83.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Grays vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      97.92     4.71    53.14    95.53   100.00    97.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.64     4.93    36.37     3.94    97.55    42.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.39     5.45    23.69     0.28    77.44    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      75.93     5.15    14.88     0.04    52.79    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.21     5.37    11.88     0.10    53.33     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.08     5.73    12.38     0.04    52.89     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.82     5.65    15.27     0.06    38.80     7.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      69.91     5.25    -0.94     0.00    12.69     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      67.90     5.71     5.80     0.00     9.41     1.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.92     5.61    -6.19     0.00     2.21     0.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      63.03     5.49   -10.64     0.00     1.27     0.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      60.17     5.37    -0.86     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.26R    0.00  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.17     5.43     4.62     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.41R    0.01  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.14     5.34    -2.89     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.98R    0.06  
Forest_Green       34   39   -8      51.21     4.58   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    1.00  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.62     5.14   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.59R    1.75  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.24     6.19     0.85     0.00     0.69     0.12P    1.47R    0.12  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.32     6.12   -17.93     0.00     0.11     0.03P    6.62R    0.96  
Cambridge_U        35   36  -12      48.10     4.41   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.36R    5.74  
Grays              32   34   +2      55.13     5.34     4.98     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.98R    0.34  
St_Albans          34   33  -19      45.39     4.67   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.96R   21.76  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.33     4.82   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.75R   18.86  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.06     5.00   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.84R   17.61  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      44.09     5.42   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.97R   31.81  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10