Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 February 2007 at 21:33:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.62     3.58    61.09    94.46    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.75     4.22    39.15     5.52    88.99    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      71.85     4.10    32.90     0.01     4.26    96.91    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.80     4.49    36.95     0.01     6.76    95.51    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.86     4.01    -1.20     0.00     0.01     3.34    62.28     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.34     4.24     8.40     0.00     0.00     2.35    51.31     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.84     4.14    14.31     0.00     0.00     1.53    50.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.62     4.28     5.66     0.00     0.00     0.24    14.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.46     4.27    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.13    11.76     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.49     4.07    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.26     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.62     4.32    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48     0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.63     4.07    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.87     4.49    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.56R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      41.99     3.94   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.79R    0.00  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.63     4.35   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.17R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      40.97     3.79   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.03  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.39     4.27   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.88R    0.03  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.47     4.06   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.57R    3.44  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.33     3.34   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.54R   57.73  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.13     3.62   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.72R   38.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Birmingham vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       34   64  +19      84.03     4.82    24.35    35.27    57.30    95.53    67.06P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      82.93     4.52    30.70    27.07    51.94    95.22    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.89     4.79    14.23    22.36    44.76    93.25    54.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.14     4.52    19.10     2.94     9.39    64.04    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.32     4.54    20.71     2.19     7.76    58.96    20.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.94     4.54    16.97     1.89     6.31    54.22    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.29     4.84    17.76     7.61    19.66    78.46    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      73.90     4.53     3.08     0.59     2.26    31.57     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   53  +14      69.83     4.56    16.63     0.03     0.30    12.54     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.16     4.49    18.89     0.04     0.31    13.68     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      62.05     4.46     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.53     4.95     5.19     0.01     0.01     2.10     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.14     4.72    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.67     4.78    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.21R    0.00  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.44     4.33   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.50R    0.10  
Norwich          33   41  -10      54.46     4.86   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    4.71R    0.15  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.48     4.73    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.07  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      55.98     4.95    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.62R    0.15  
Barnsley         35   38  -19      49.44     4.41   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.12R    3.05  
Luton            35   36  -15      49.69     4.60   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.83R    3.21  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.41     4.61   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.07R    4.31  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.36     4.61   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.91R    6.66  
Southend         35   31  -22      43.02     4.34   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.03R   31.91  
Leeds            35   31  -25      41.64     4.24   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.61R   50.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Oldham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          35   70  +29      91.06     4.37    37.61    87.13    96.97   100.00    97.89P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              35   61  +16      78.41     4.49    19.61     1.59    15.98    89.86    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.89     4.75    17.77     4.62    31.58    95.25    46.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.38     5.09    21.65     5.52    38.99    95.38    53.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              35   58  +18      77.83     4.59    25.05     1.03    13.96    89.30    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.01     4.64    10.87     0.01     0.33    29.12     7.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             35   51  +11      68.85     4.64    15.20     0.00     0.14    23.74     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           33   51  +10      71.31     5.25    13.82     0.07     1.51    41.86    10.87P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           34   51  +10      69.51     4.78    13.13     0.01     0.50    26.55     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.36     4.55    -7.29     0.00     0.01     3.83     0.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               34   47   -3      63.05     5.00    -4.01     0.00     0.01     3.19     0.58P    0.28R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.39     4.52    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.80R    0.01  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      57.99     4.48   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.08R    0.00  
Millwall            34   45   -7      60.04     4.89    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.12P    1.53R    0.01  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.23     5.01    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.12P    1.84R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.30     4.42    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.16R    0.03  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.28     4.51   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.82R    0.25  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.26     4.45   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.07R    0.34  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.60     4.83    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.65R    0.18  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.48     4.75    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.73R    0.61  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.70     4.71   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.72R    1.61  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.66     4.60   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.76R    4.88  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.17     4.04   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   41.45  
Rotherham           34   25  -10      40.79     4.87   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.19R   50.63  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Chester vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.89     4.51    25.56    43.31    87.18    99.94    90.61P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.67     4.29    35.45    36.94    84.32    99.92    89.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.68     4.75    21.87     9.97    49.23    97.80    61.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      80.99     4.63    19.81     3.51    27.39    94.28    40.76P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.37     4.75    19.91     4.49    30.27    93.97    43.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.95     4.87    16.68     1.16    12.18    82.90    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.55     4.82    15.61     0.12     2.06    49.78    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.46     4.56     0.95     0.00     0.01     4.14     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         35   49   -1      63.28     4.54    -1.90     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.69     5.39    31.15     0.50     7.37    70.48    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.53     4.63     4.43     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          34   46   +1      61.59     4.65     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.86     4.68    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      62.12     5.28    -2.18     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.87     4.88     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.38     4.73   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.77     4.32   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.50     5.12     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.27     4.66   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.71R    0.10  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.59     4.77   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.12  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.80     4.61   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.29R    0.69  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.48     4.34   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.11R    5.19  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.57     4.31   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.28R   11.26  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.01     3.96   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.50R   82.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 February 2007, Grays vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      98.05     4.62    53.35    95.97   100.00    97.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.57     4.91    36.26     3.60    97.70    41.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.39     5.39    23.68     0.20    77.71    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      76.03     5.19    15.04     0.03    53.27    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.11     5.47    11.82     0.12    53.12     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.18     5.72    12.49     0.05    53.05    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.77     5.66    15.13     0.04    38.29     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      69.94     5.26    -0.95     0.00    12.54     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      67.85     5.66     5.70     0.01     9.21     1.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.65     5.58    -6.59     0.00     2.00     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      63.21     5.46   -10.39     0.00     1.40     0.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.93     5.36    -1.21     0.00     0.36     0.08P    0.26R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.26     5.44     4.69     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.47R    0.03  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.32     5.42    -2.63     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.95R    0.06  
Forest_Green       34   39   -8      51.17     4.59   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R    1.18  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.59     5.22   -19.68     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.02R    1.78  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.42     6.19     1.16     0.00     0.73     0.15P    1.26R    0.07  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.51     6.16   -17.65     0.00     0.17     0.01P    6.43R    0.93  
Cambridge_U        35   36  -12      48.05     4.42   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.53R    5.90  
Grays              32   34   +2      54.97     5.44     4.78     0.00     0.03     0.00     4.23R    0.48  
St_Albans          34   33  -19      45.37     4.63   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.56R   21.58  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.31     4.87   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.60R   18.27  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.06     5.05   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.77R   17.77  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      44.06     5.48   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.99R   31.95  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10