Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 February 2007 at 21:34:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.56     3.54    61.12    94.39    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.84     4.27    39.24     5.58    89.40    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      71.98     4.12    33.07     0.00     4.29    96.99    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.77     4.46    36.97     0.04     6.33    95.45    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.86     4.04    -1.29     0.00     0.01     3.33    62.45     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.30     4.20     8.35     0.00     0.00     2.16    51.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.71     4.20    14.16     0.00     0.00     1.67    48.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.50     4.28     5.46     0.00     0.00     0.28    14.32     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.63     4.24    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.10    12.75     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.43     4.06    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.11     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.66     4.36    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.65     4.06    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.98     4.49    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.58R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      42.10     3.94   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.52R    0.00  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.45     4.31   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.16R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      41.06     3.82   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.22R    0.04  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.39     4.20   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.33R    0.00  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.37     4.01   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.99R    3.37  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.29     3.35   -41.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   58.26  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.14     3.65   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   38.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 February 2007, Stoke vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      82.98     4.59    30.81    28.20    53.27    94.99    65.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.78     4.80    14.12    22.50    43.97    92.56    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       33   61  +18      83.58     4.98    25.36    33.42    54.39    94.30    65.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.09     4.53    18.97     2.98     9.90    63.97    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.44     4.61    20.89     2.56     8.49    59.70    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.97     4.56    17.03     1.90     6.75    54.24    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.27     4.84    17.71     7.74    20.17    78.20    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      74.05     4.53     3.26     0.60     2.39    33.28     8.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   53  +14      69.78     4.50    16.54     0.03     0.31    11.66     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.25     4.52    19.08     0.06     0.34    14.30     4.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      61.94     4.47     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.68     4.91     5.39     0.01     0.01     2.36     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.15     4.72    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.71     4.80    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.23R    0.01  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.34     4.31   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.71R    0.08  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.34     4.76    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.45R    0.07  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      55.98     4.95    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.17  
Norwich          32   38  -11      52.22     5.14   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.95R    1.12  
Barnsley         35   38  -19      49.54     4.37   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.89R    3.02  
Luton            34   36  -14      51.52     4.89   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.81R    1.91  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.36     4.62   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.11R    4.68  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.40     4.57   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.42R    6.66  
Southend         35   31  -22      43.07     4.37   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.69R   33.35  
Leeds            34   31  -24      42.00     4.41   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.91R   48.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Oldham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          34   67  +27      89.85     4.69    36.21    78.67    92.69    99.97    95.16P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              34   60  +16      78.92     4.77    19.88     3.38    17.91    91.61    37.83P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.65     4.77    17.41     5.81    27.38    95.58    42.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.37     5.04    21.64     7.75    35.57    96.23    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              34   58  +19      79.73     4.84    26.90     4.30    24.86    94.51    44.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.06     4.60    10.95     0.01     0.23    32.51     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.24     4.48    -7.45     0.00     0.01     4.00     0.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster           33   50  +10      69.83     4.99    13.13     0.04     0.78    31.92     8.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             34   48  +10      67.33     4.89    14.38     0.00     0.05    18.15     4.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           32   48   +9      68.79     5.39    11.47     0.05     0.51    27.35     6.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe               33   47   -1      64.12     5.12    -2.41     0.00     0.03     5.86     0.90P    0.14R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.50     4.49    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.06P    3.85R    0.01  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.19     4.51   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    3.10R    0.01  
Millwall            34   45   -7      60.11     4.89    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.13P    1.56R    0.00  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.12     4.98    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.15P    1.83R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.20     4.38    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.94R    0.05  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.44     4.52   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.93R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.34     4.43   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R    0.45  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.52     4.76    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.20R    0.18  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.39     4.72    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.49R    0.82  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.93     4.72   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   40.23R    1.68  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.62     4.60   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R    5.76  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.11     4.05   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.44R   47.81  
Rotherham           33   25   -9      42.05     5.07   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.14R   42.90  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.90     4.49    25.55    43.27    86.90    99.87    90.14P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.69     4.34    35.47    36.49    84.46    99.80    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.72     4.85    21.98    10.47    50.00    97.71    62.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      81.03     4.60    19.86     3.62    27.63    94.67    41.10P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.31     4.75    19.83     4.36    29.39    93.97    42.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.90     4.88    16.63     1.19    12.07    82.48    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.52     4.75    15.58     0.07     1.86    49.34    14.29P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.49     4.49     0.94     0.00     0.01     4.28     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         34   48   -1      63.20     4.68    -2.44     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.76     5.41    31.13     0.53     7.67    70.48    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.59     4.63     4.49     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.92     4.68    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   45   +1      62.14     4.88     0.51     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.90     5.20    -2.51     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.74     4.87     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.34     4.70   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.79     4.34   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.82R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.46     5.10     7.20     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.35     4.66   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.10  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.65     4.77   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.23  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.92     4.54   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    0.49  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.61     4.32   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.01R    4.83  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.51     4.27   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.80R   12.04  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.08     3.95   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.73R   82.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Forest_Green vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      97.94     4.62    53.21    95.92   100.00    97.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.62     4.89    36.31     3.60    97.73    41.65P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.34     5.46    23.62     0.20    77.23    19.57P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      75.75     5.16    14.56     0.05    51.38     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.18     5.43    11.92     0.12    53.88    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.02     5.72    12.22     0.07    51.95    10.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.86     5.64    15.32     0.05    39.12     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      70.04     5.34    -0.78     0.00    13.40     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      68.10     5.70     6.16     0.00    10.26     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.94     5.54    -6.14     0.00     2.04     0.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.92     5.55   -10.86     0.00     1.26     0.17P    0.07R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.86     5.40    -1.29     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.34R    0.02  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.16     5.46     4.53     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.55R    0.03  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.36     5.43    -2.59     0.00     0.17     0.02P    1.09R    0.09  
Forest_Green       33   38   -8      51.52     4.88   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.64R    1.30  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.53     5.17   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.58R    2.03  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.45     6.24     1.22     0.00     0.74     0.12P    1.27R    0.14  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.45     6.21   -17.66     0.00     0.17     0.01P    6.62R    0.90  
Cambridge_U        34   35  -12      48.55     4.69   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.61R    6.09  
St_Albans          33   33  -18      46.16     4.87   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.08R   18.38  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.33     4.79   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.31R   18.33  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.19     5.09   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.80R   17.93  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.13     5.74     4.95     0.00     0.01     0.01P    7.10R    1.22  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      44.00     5.44   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R   33.54  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10