Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 February 2007 at 21:33:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.60     3.57    61.16    94.31    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.83     4.25    39.29     5.66    89.18    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      72.01     4.14    33.15     0.01     4.59    97.28    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.76     4.52    36.99     0.01     6.25    95.20    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.81     3.99    -1.37     0.00     0.01     3.34    62.28     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.34     4.23     8.39     0.00     0.00     2.31    51.85     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.90     4.17    14.41     0.00     0.01     1.54    50.38     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.45     4.27     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.18    14.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.52     4.23    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.12    11.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.41     4.10    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.59     4.31    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.67     0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.66     4.02    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.82     4.46    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.57R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      42.12     3.98   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.69R    0.00  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.59     4.27   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.62R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      41.06     3.86   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.25R    0.01  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.41     4.21   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.61R    0.01  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.39     4.04   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.88R    3.37  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.29     3.34   -41.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   57.37  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.04     3.58   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R   39.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Sunderland vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      83.12     4.56    31.10    30.04    54.83    94.91    66.31P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.62     4.78    13.85    21.61    43.16    91.56    52.77P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       33   61  +18      83.35     5.00    25.01    31.79    52.92    92.76    63.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.07     4.51    18.94     3.15     9.76    61.43    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.42     4.52    20.95     2.37     8.02    57.58    21.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.96     4.51    17.01     1.73     6.37    51.10    17.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.37     4.88    17.84     8.30    20.49    77.42    34.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      73.94     4.52     3.10     0.56     2.33    30.57     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.58     4.75    19.59     0.38     1.81    27.44     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.24     4.49    19.02     0.06     0.30    13.08     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      61.94     4.53     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.46     4.93     5.12     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.34     4.70    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.10R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.67     4.79    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.18R    0.01  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.44     4.36   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.07  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.58     4.79    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.96R    0.03  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      56.14     4.90    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.14  
Norwich          32   38  -11      52.16     5.10   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.73R    1.00  
Luton            34   36  -14      51.73     4.91   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.38R    1.50  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.34     4.60   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.50R    4.13  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.16     4.56   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.70R    6.09  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.72     4.47   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55R    9.48  
Southend         35   31  -22      43.01     4.33   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.91R   31.32  
Leeds            34   31  -24      41.92     4.35   -33.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.14R   46.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Oldham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          34   67  +27      89.66     4.73    35.95    77.84    92.23    99.97    94.70P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              34   60  +16      78.75     4.72    19.70     3.29    17.32    91.06    36.62P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.64     4.81    17.38     6.11    27.70    95.28    43.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.29     5.09    21.58     7.80    35.16    95.90    50.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              34   58  +19      79.78     4.83    26.99     4.81    25.61    94.41    45.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.09     4.64    11.03     0.03     0.32    32.30     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.41     4.51    -7.17     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster           33   50  +10      69.91     5.04    13.21     0.07     0.98    32.29     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             34   48  +10      67.34     4.94    14.36     0.00     0.08    18.50     4.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           32   48   +9      68.90     5.43    11.64     0.05     0.55    28.11     6.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe               33   47   -1      64.12     5.16    -2.40     0.00     0.06     5.98     0.91P    0.17R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.49     4.50    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.01P    3.80R    0.01  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.21     4.48   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    3.05R    0.00  
Millwall            34   45   -7      60.12     4.88    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.10P    1.70R    0.01  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.01     4.96    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.17P    2.02R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.26     4.41    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.82R    0.06  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.36     4.53   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.57R    0.28  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.32     4.39   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.93R    0.50  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.52     4.77    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.23R    0.24  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.32     4.79    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.18R    0.86  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.86     4.74   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.41R    1.90  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.75     4.61   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.66R    5.71  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.16     4.07   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.20R   48.37  
Rotherham           33   25   -9      42.21     5.16   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.20R   42.04  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.99     4.48    25.66    44.28    87.33    99.92    90.80P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.74     4.37    35.51    36.48    84.71    99.88    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.59     4.82    21.79    10.04    48.97    97.67    61.12P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      80.97     4.55    19.81     3.31    27.43    94.47    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.35     4.77    19.90     4.22    30.28    93.73    43.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.94     4.84    16.68     1.08    11.68    82.77    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.54     4.76    15.62     0.09     1.99    49.36    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.41     4.49     0.83     0.00     0.01     3.85     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         34   48   -1      63.21     4.73    -2.43     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.85     5.34    31.31     0.51     7.59    71.27    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.29     4.60     4.05     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.99     4.69    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   45   +1      62.19     4.92     0.57     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.99     5.23    -2.31     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.96     4.91     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.29     4.65   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.11R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.94     4.35   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.69R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.50     5.15     7.30     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.21     4.67   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.11  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.61     4.76   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.01R    0.17  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.83     4.57   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.45  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.59     4.32   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.48R    5.20  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.58     4.31   -36.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.69R   11.22  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.00     3.92   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.97R   82.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Forest_Green vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      98.10     4.62    53.50    95.95   100.00    97.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.68     4.85    36.46     3.65    97.73    42.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.30     5.42    23.59     0.21    76.83    19.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      75.93     5.18    14.86     0.04    52.44    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.09     5.39    11.79     0.09    51.98     9.18P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.23     5.73    12.60     0.02    53.19     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      74.04     5.64    15.60     0.04    40.22     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      70.08     5.31    -0.69     0.00    13.22     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      68.02     5.71     5.92     0.00     9.73     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.77     5.56    -6.36     0.00     1.82     0.22P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.96     5.48   -10.78     0.00     1.08     0.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.82     5.36    -1.37     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.34R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.11     5.46     4.44     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.50R    0.04  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.35     5.40    -2.61     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.81R    0.03  
Forest_Green       33   38   -8      51.42     4.88   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.21R    1.41  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.55     5.15   -19.70     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.88R    1.75  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.53     6.24     1.33     0.00     0.89     0.17P    1.22R    0.10  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.19     6.18   -18.09     0.00     0.14     0.02P    6.88R    1.00  
Cambridge_U        34   35  -12      48.46     4.73   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.36R    6.14  
St_Albans          33   33  -18      46.26     4.88   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.81R   18.09  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.26     4.80   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.67R   18.75  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.00     4.99   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.85R   18.32  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.20     5.78     5.07     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.17R    1.15  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      43.96     5.40   -24.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.16R   33.23  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10