Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 February 2007 at 21:33:33 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Tottenham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.71     3.55    61.33    94.83    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.68     4.26    39.09     5.16    88.79    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      71.98     4.09    33.11     0.01     4.80    97.18    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.81     4.46    37.11     0.01     6.43    95.33    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   47   +1      59.91     4.02    -1.20     0.00     0.01     3.53    62.74     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.24     4.18     8.19     0.00     0.00     2.04    50.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.82     4.15    14.29     0.00     0.00     1.58    49.73     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   41   +7      53.63     4.27     5.63     0.00     0.00     0.24    14.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   39   -4      53.60     4.25    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.10    12.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   37   -5      51.43     4.09    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.36     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   36   -3      49.69     4.34    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.62     4.06    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.79     4.47    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.68R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      42.04     3.92   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.67R    0.00  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.44     4.30   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     7.29R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      41.04     3.84   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.08R    0.01  
Wigan           28   29  -15      42.38     4.23   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.73R    0.01  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.43     4.03   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.47R    3.42  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.25     3.36   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   57.97  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.08     3.63   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.48R   38.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Sunderland vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      83.08     4.50    31.00    28.53    53.05    94.77    64.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.91     4.82    14.25    22.70    44.66    92.06    54.12P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       33   61  +18      83.56     5.00    25.26    32.52    53.74    93.31    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.16     4.55    19.08     2.85     9.55    61.95    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.40     4.55    20.91     2.25     7.86    56.72    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.97     4.54    17.03     1.87     6.16    51.34    17.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.43     4.89    17.90     8.29    20.64    77.02    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      74.02     4.61     3.24     0.58     2.44    31.67     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.50     4.76    19.51     0.34     1.61    27.11     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      69.99     4.49    18.67     0.04     0.28    11.79     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      61.99     4.50     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.59     4.89     5.31     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.24     4.73    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.91     4.82    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.14R    0.00  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.34     4.32   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.09  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.26     4.81    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.06  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      55.94     4.88    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.15  
Norwich          32   38  -11      52.12     5.12   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    1.03  
Luton            34   36  -14      51.64     4.89   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.71R    1.30  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.40     4.64   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.36R    3.97  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.03     4.59   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.27R    7.04  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.74     4.49   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.03R    9.45  
Southend         35   31  -22      43.04     4.38   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.86R   31.59  
Leeds            34   31  -24      42.01     4.42   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.81R   45.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Oldham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          34   67  +27      89.70     4.68    35.97    78.06    92.29    99.97    94.78P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              34   60  +16      78.81     4.77    19.73     3.34    17.85    91.42    37.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.71     4.80    17.48     6.41    27.71    95.58    43.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.32     5.04    21.64     7.79    35.27    96.18    51.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              34   58  +19      79.83     4.81    27.05     4.34    25.19    94.36    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.14     4.65    11.09     0.01     0.30    33.02     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.31     4.50    -7.30     0.00     0.01     3.98     0.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster           33   50  +10      69.71     5.03    12.97     0.03     0.79    30.77     7.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             34   48  +10      67.28     4.95    14.30     0.01     0.08    18.20     4.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool           32   48   +9      68.97     5.40    11.73     0.01     0.48    28.54     6.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe               33   47   -1      64.10     5.13    -2.43     0.00     0.01     5.83     1.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.53     4.46    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    3.75R    0.00  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.14     4.48   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    3.33R    0.01  
Millwall            34   45   -7      59.98     4.81    -9.09     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.12P    1.70R    0.00  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.09     4.93    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.13P    1.79R    0.02  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.33     4.37    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.21R    0.04  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.43     4.54   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.05R    0.32  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.27     4.38   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.70R    0.55  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.59     4.80    -1.87     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.33R    0.23  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.53     4.77    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.36R    0.88  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.86     4.74   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.15R    1.91  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.72     4.60   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.94R    5.40  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.18     4.02   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.62R   47.13  
Rotherham           33   25   -9      42.05     5.12   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.79R   43.52  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 February 2007, Wrexham vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.89     4.51    25.56    43.34    86.86    99.93    90.35P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.78     4.31    35.57    37.12    85.28    99.89    90.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.62     4.83    21.77    10.25    48.88    97.78    61.13P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      80.95     4.61    19.75     3.44    26.93    94.25    40.73P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.33     4.75    19.91     4.14    30.07    93.79    43.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      78.00     4.87    16.76     1.15    12.23    83.11    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.54     4.84    15.61     0.09     2.02    49.53    14.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.49     4.49     0.94     0.00     0.00     3.90     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         34   48   -1      63.28     4.67    -2.34     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       31   47  +18      75.81     5.35    31.32     0.47     7.71    70.78    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.49     4.57     4.31     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      60.89     4.65    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   45   +1      62.05     4.91     0.39     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.94     5.26    -2.43     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.92     4.90     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.20     4.67   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.80     4.34   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.63     5.08     7.44     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.23     4.68   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.10  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.57     4.76   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.38R    0.18  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.84     4.53   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.37R    0.55  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.55     4.25   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.97R    5.05  
Wrexham          34   31  -26      41.73     4.32   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.27R   10.92  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.00     3.90   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   83.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Forest_Green vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      98.07     4.61    53.38    95.72    99.99    97.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.68     4.90    36.43     3.83    97.81    41.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.38     5.42    23.64     0.18    77.55    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      75.96     5.17    14.95     0.03    52.88    10.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.05     5.40    11.67     0.07    52.41     9.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.12     5.76    12.39     0.11    52.62    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.93     5.66    15.44     0.07    39.49     7.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      69.89     5.27    -0.97     0.00    12.56     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      67.99     5.64     5.96     0.00     9.66     1.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.79     5.57    -6.37     0.00     1.97     0.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.99     5.47   -10.80     0.00     1.32     0.21P    0.06R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.99     5.39    -1.14     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.34R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.21     5.36     4.63     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.47R    0.01  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.35     5.37    -2.57     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.91R    0.05  
Forest_Green       33   38   -8      51.35     4.82   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    1.43  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.62     5.08   -19.61     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.47R    1.67  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.48     6.24     1.25     0.00     0.83     0.18P    1.21R    0.14  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.25     6.18   -18.05     0.00     0.17     0.04P    7.01R    1.20  
Cambridge_U        34   35  -12      48.48     4.71   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.34R    6.14  
St_Albans          33   33  -18      46.33     4.85   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.42R   17.29  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.26     4.83   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.76R   18.81  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      45.92     5.01   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.96R   19.25  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.14     5.73     4.97     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.25R    1.09  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      44.08     5.47   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.72R   32.92  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10