Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 February 2007 at 21:33:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Watford vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    28   69  +46      90.55     3.59    60.80    94.68    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.65     4.24    38.96     5.29    88.45    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +25      71.94     4.13    33.04     0.01     4.97    94.97    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.67     4.52    36.67     0.01     6.62    92.52    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.77     4.34     2.88     0.00     0.01     8.15    73.28     0.00     0.00  
Reading         28   43   +6      58.43     4.24     8.56     0.00     0.00     2.23    46.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   42  +11      57.61     4.18    14.04     0.00     0.01     1.37    41.97     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.47     4.65     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.73    24.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      50.98     4.61    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.59     0.04R    0.00  
Tottenham       27   36   -7      51.65     4.55    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.53     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   35   -2      49.67     4.04    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.22     4.38    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.12R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.82     4.45    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.44R    0.00  
Fulham          28   32  -13      41.97     3.96   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.69R    0.01  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.60     4.37   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.55R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     28   30  -16      40.96     3.83   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.13R    0.01  
Wigan           27   26  -16      40.77     4.54   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.49R    0.07  
Charlton        28   23  -23      33.53     4.04   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.81R    3.27  
West_Ham        28   20  -28      26.27     3.35   -41.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.37R   58.84  
Watford         28   19  -25      27.20     3.64   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   37.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Sunderland vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Bromwich    35   63  +23      83.07     4.52    31.02    28.64    53.62    94.77    65.58P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            34   63   +9      82.77     4.75    14.16    22.19    43.86    91.88    53.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       33   61  +18      83.60     4.99    25.33    33.34    54.34    93.28    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       35   60  +16      77.07     4.50    18.99     2.89     9.45    61.52    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   59  +17      76.44     4.50    20.89     2.38     8.13    57.34    20.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   59  +14      75.98     4.53    17.04     1.79     6.38    51.78    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   59  +12      79.24     4.86    17.66     7.74    19.74    75.91    32.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   59   +3      74.01     4.60     3.22     0.66     2.44    31.47     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.60     4.77    19.65     0.30     1.71    27.75    10.18P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       35   52  +14      70.03     4.54    18.73     0.06     0.32    12.02     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   48   +3      61.94     4.49     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   47   +2      65.68     4.90     5.41     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        34   44   -3      60.29     4.70    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      34   44   -4      59.69     4.77    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.18R    0.00  
Coventry         35   42  -12      54.50     4.34   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.06  
Burnley          34   40   -2      56.34     4.76    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.02R    0.06  
Ipswich          34   39   -6      56.09     4.92    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.10R    0.15  
Norwich          32   38  -11      52.16     5.11   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.32R    0.91  
Luton            34   36  -14      51.70     4.93   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.52R    1.51  
Hull             34   35  -13      48.48     4.60   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.95R    3.88  
Queens_PR        34   35  -15      47.02     4.59   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.94R    7.08  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.67     4.43   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.73R    9.63  
Southend         35   31  -22      43.01     4.33   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.55R   31.27  
Leeds            34   31  -24      41.99     4.45   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.03R   45.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Oldham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          34   67  +27      89.68     4.70    35.98    78.46    92.27    99.99    94.68P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              34   60  +16      78.84     4.83    19.82     3.65    18.46    91.12    37.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   34   60  +11      80.62     4.77    17.39     6.17    27.09    95.72    42.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        33   59  +15      81.27     5.03    21.52     7.42    35.16    96.15    51.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              34   58  +19      79.64     4.85    26.79     4.18    25.13    94.07    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            35   53   +8      70.09     4.55    10.98     0.02     0.32    32.20     7.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            35   51   -5      64.45     4.49    -7.13     0.00     0.01     4.24     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           33   50  +10      69.87     5.02    13.20     0.03     0.81    32.37     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             34   48  +10      67.17     4.97    14.13     0.01     0.10    17.80     4.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool           32   48   +9      68.92     5.43    11.67     0.07     0.62    28.03     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe               33   47   -1      64.19     5.15    -2.30     0.01     0.03     5.97     0.96P    0.28R    0.00  
Brighton            35   45   -5      57.54     4.49    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    3.77R    0.01  
Huddersfield        35   45   -7      58.12     4.49   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    3.21R    0.01  
Millwall            34   45   -7      60.15     4.91    -8.83     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.17P    1.70R    0.00  
Port_Vale           34   43   -5      60.13     4.94    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.14P    1.88R    0.01  
Northampton         35   42   -3      55.32     4.39    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.37R    0.04  
Gillingham          35   42  -17      54.40     4.52   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   16.85R    0.34  
Leyton_Orient       35   41  -11      52.39     4.37   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.10R    0.46  
Chesterfield        34   39   -1      54.60     4.75    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.61R    0.20  
Bradford            34   38   -5      52.30     4.75    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.92R    0.86  
Bournemouth         34   37  -11      50.83     4.72   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.09R    1.86  
Cheltenham          34   36  -14      48.48     4.58   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.38R    6.24  
Brentford           35   33  -24      42.18     4.02   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R   48.27  
Rotherham           33   25   -9      42.26     5.12   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R   41.71  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Walsall vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       35   70  +20      88.79     4.47    25.48    42.20    86.47    99.95    90.03P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   67  +27      87.85     4.28    35.68    37.95    85.84    99.94    90.56P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     34   64  +17      83.74     4.82    21.96    10.49    50.48    98.03    62.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        35   63  +15      81.05     4.55    19.84     3.56    27.53    95.16    41.83P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    34   61  +13      81.35     4.70    19.89     4.24    30.05    94.83    43.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.94     4.86    16.68     1.14    12.24    83.83    28.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   54  +11      73.54     4.73    15.59     0.10     1.95    52.15    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       35   52   +3      65.47     4.52     0.89     0.00     0.02     4.45     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         34   48   -1      63.24     4.69    -2.39     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     35   47   +2      63.40     4.59     4.23     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   46   -2      61.06     4.69    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   45   +1      61.98     4.95     0.29     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       30   44  +16      74.56     5.58    29.71     0.33     5.42    63.80    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.99     5.29    -2.35     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        34   42   +0      59.75     4.82     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet           34   42  -12      55.30     4.68   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Grimsby          35   41  -19      51.84     4.37   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.97R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   39   +6      57.68     5.07     7.57     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             34   37  -12      50.19     4.64   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.40R    0.12  
Macclesfield     34   36  -11      49.58     4.82   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.64R    0.21  
Accrington       34   34  -10      47.79     4.54   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.59  
Boston           35   32  -26      43.50     4.33   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.94R    5.58  
Wrexham          33   31  -24      42.55     4.49   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.67R    8.88  
Torquay          35   25  -26      34.01     3.94   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   84.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 February 2007, Forest_Green vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          33   70  +36      98.01     4.61    53.29    95.67   100.00    97.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         33   60  +25      85.63     4.93    36.40     3.94    97.64    41.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             32   55  +16      79.37     5.43    23.67     0.20    77.39    19.61P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   55  +10      76.08     5.14    15.10     0.03    53.65    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.09     5.45    11.76     0.05    52.97     9.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          31   52   +7      76.06     5.77    12.32     0.06    52.20     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.97     5.61    15.43     0.06    39.51     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             32   51   -1      69.84     5.29    -1.08     0.00    12.18     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          31   46   +4      67.86     5.69     5.69     0.00     9.27     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.81     5.58    -6.32     0.00     2.11     0.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.98     5.51   -10.74     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        32   41   -1      59.95     5.42    -1.17     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.35R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.24     5.48     4.66     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.55R    0.02  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.14     5.40    -2.90     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.00R    0.04  
Forest_Green       33   38   -8      51.26     4.93   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.17R    1.73  
Stafford_Rangers   32   37  -14      52.68     5.15   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    1.50  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.35     6.22     1.07     0.00     0.82     0.12P    1.52R    0.12  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.46     6.12   -17.69     0.00     0.17     0.01P    6.50R    0.95  
Cambridge_U        34   35  -12      48.56     4.68   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.91R    5.92  
St_Albans          33   33  -18      46.35     4.90   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.25R   17.88  
Southport          33   32  -12      45.28     4.81   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.11R   18.78  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.03     5.02   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.01R   18.54  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.31     5.67     5.18     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.49R    1.01  
Tamworth           31   28  -17      43.97     5.44   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.48R   33.51  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10