Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 February 2007 at 21:33:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Everton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      90.05     3.83    61.43    93.06    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.48     4.28    38.59     6.87    89.22    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.97     4.34    30.05     0.02     3.69    91.43    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.71     4.61    36.68     0.05     7.17    92.00    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.63     4.39     2.65     0.00     0.03     8.95    73.24     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.76     4.54     9.47     0.00     0.01     5.71    60.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.61     4.64     9.57     0.00     0.00     1.08    26.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   39   +8      55.79     4.42    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.74    26.64     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.02     4.60    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.88     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham       27   36   -7      51.68     4.57    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.09     5.91     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.06     4.35    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      47.93     4.42    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.86     4.55    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.39R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.61     4.16   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.23R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.80     4.01   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.17R    0.04  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.79     4.35   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.71R    0.07  
Wigan           27   26  -16      40.74     4.58   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.87R    0.14  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.80     3.74   -36.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   48.60  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.29     4.23   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.28R   17.91  
Watford         27   19  -22      28.56     3.93   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.64R   33.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Derby vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            33   63  +10      84.10     5.03    15.10    22.36    46.22    95.19    56.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    34   62  +23      83.65     4.83    31.30    22.91    49.12    95.84    62.28P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       32   61  +20      86.00     5.24    28.92    41.72    64.92    97.34    73.40P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   59  +15      81.14     5.05    21.43    10.03    26.26    87.31    41.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       34   57  +15      75.77     4.80    18.42     1.18     4.83    53.66    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   56  +16      75.22     4.80    20.53     0.90     3.90    50.38    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   56  +11      73.90     4.80    13.33     0.47     2.19    36.66    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   56   +2      72.99     4.82     3.07     0.21     1.17    27.88     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.56     4.74    19.56     0.17     1.00    29.82    10.16P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   51  +14      71.30     4.72    20.14     0.07     0.39    21.84     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   46   +2      66.19     5.16     5.64     0.00     0.02     3.64     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   45   +2      60.74     4.70     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        33   43   -3      60.37     4.96    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.16R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      33   41   -5      58.76     5.04    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.56R    0.03  
Coventry         34   41  -12      54.36     4.62   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.17  
Burnley          33   39   -2      56.11     4.95    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.26R    0.10  
Ipswich          33   39   -5      56.92     5.13    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.57R    0.11  
Norwich          31   37  -11      53.01     5.44   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.12R    0.85  
Luton            33   36  -13      52.58     5.11   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91R    1.08  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.55     4.48   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.83R   10.46  
Queens_PR        33   34  -15      47.35     4.89   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.44R    7.16  
Hull             33   32  -15      45.81     4.78   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.56R   12.56  
Southend         34   31  -21      43.76     4.61   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.79R   27.51  
Leeds            33   31  -23      42.55     4.56   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.33R   39.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Gillingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          33   64  +25      88.99     4.93    35.51    72.55    89.67    99.89    92.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              33   58  +20      82.51     5.04    30.03    14.73    50.62    97.14    63.94P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              33   57  +15      77.27     5.04    18.84     2.38    12.53    81.59    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   33   57  +10      79.03     5.05    16.32     4.55    19.07    89.17    34.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.51     5.36    19.33     5.14    23.38    89.38    40.10P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            34   53  +10      72.36     4.92    14.26     0.21     1.62    48.46    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             33   48  +11      68.53     5.17    15.16     0.04     0.44    23.45     5.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           31   48  +10      71.10     5.64    13.90     0.36     2.08    40.05    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            34   48   -6      62.46     4.78    -8.66     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.33P    0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster           32   47   +9      68.66     5.29    12.83     0.04     0.56    23.26     6.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton            34   45   -3      58.83     4.76    -6.76     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.04P    1.76R    0.01  
Huddersfield        34   45   -6      59.95     4.80    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    1.41R    0.00  
Crewe               32   44   -2      61.98     5.39    -4.38     0.00     0.01     2.52     0.45P    0.74R    0.01  
Port_Vale           33   43   -4      61.22     5.21    -3.37     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.27P    0.95R    0.00  
Millwall            33   42   -8      57.81     5.09   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    4.71R    0.05  
Gillingham          34   42  -15      55.00     4.68   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.45R    0.34  
Chesterfield        33   39   +0      56.02     5.03    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    8.16R    0.09  
Northampton         34   39   -6      53.16     4.62    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   19.15R    0.55  
Leyton_Orient       34   38  -13      49.89     4.59   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.70R    2.96  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.33     5.04    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   19.52R    1.14  
Cheltenham          33   36  -13      50.09     4.83   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.09R    3.91  
Bournemouth         33   34  -12      47.79     4.84   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.85R    8.44  
Brentford           34   32  -24      41.99     4.25   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   54.06  
Rotherham           32   25   -6      44.22     5.43    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.19R   28.45  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Chester vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       34   67  +19      87.84     4.78    25.39    40.48    81.72    99.60    86.30P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   64  +24      86.67     4.61    33.24    33.66    79.06    99.50    85.67P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   62  +15      81.70     4.89    20.29     7.01    36.01    94.58    47.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     33   61  +16      82.36     5.02    21.33     9.06    41.15    95.26    55.16P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    33   60  +13      81.94     4.91    20.19     7.45    37.57    94.25    48.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.81     4.87    16.48     1.39    12.80    81.03    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.30     5.08    17.15     0.53     6.01    63.79    21.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   49   +2      63.88     4.78     0.02     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         33   47   -1      63.73     4.99    -2.27     0.00     0.01     2.45     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     34   46   +2      63.93     4.88     4.47     0.00     0.01     2.31     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          32   45   +2      63.48     5.12     1.52     0.00     0.03     2.77     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       30   44  +16      74.37     5.64    29.45     0.42     5.64    59.42    23.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.88     5.28    -2.49     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   43   -5      58.54     4.90    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnet           33   42   -9      56.15     4.86   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Grimsby          34   41  -18      52.71     4.62   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.01  
Mansfield        33   39   -1      57.69     5.10     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.10R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   38   +6      57.96     5.43     7.39     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury             33   37   -9      52.52     4.96   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.08  
Accrington       33   33  -10      48.07     4.85   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.39R    1.16  
Macclesfield     33   33  -12      48.23     4.99   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.96  
Boston           34   32  -25      44.27     4.56   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.37R    6.62  
Wrexham          33   31  -24      42.42     4.56   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.53R   13.21  
Torquay          34   25  -25      35.25     4.30   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.22R   77.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Burton vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          32   67  +35      96.85     4.88    53.05    95.12    99.99    96.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.39     5.12    34.76     3.97    96.19    41.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.85     5.37    15.06     0.32    61.24    12.64P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.07     5.41    11.71     0.15    54.73    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             31   52  +13      77.06     5.65    19.63     0.23    64.25    15.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      74.00     5.65    15.53     0.12    42.09     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             31   51   +2      71.61     5.56     2.50     0.02    23.23     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.96     5.92     9.62     0.07    39.23     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.68     5.96     6.44     0.00    13.67     2.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.50     5.52    -6.77     0.00     1.86     0.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      63.08     5.43   -10.63     0.00     1.36     0.17P    0.12R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        31   40   -1      59.90     5.57    -1.74     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.54R    0.02  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.24     5.47     4.67     0.00     0.35     0.10P    0.69R    0.03  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.32     5.44    -2.65     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.23R    0.09  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.04     5.16   -12.78     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.51R    1.08  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.44     6.27     1.20     0.00     0.90     0.17P    1.56R    0.17  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.43     6.13   -17.70     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.62R    1.18  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.23     4.99   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.86R    6.84  
Stafford_Rangers   31   34  -17      49.72     5.35   -24.59     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.15R    8.38  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.76     5.18   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.14R    9.70  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.08     5.03   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.95R   20.82  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.32     5.72     5.16     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.66R    1.39  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.47     5.03   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.65R   21.68  
Tamworth           30   28  -15      45.17     5.68   -22.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.27R   28.61  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10