Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 February 2007 at 21:33:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Everton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      90.15     3.84    61.67    93.27    99.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.37     4.30    38.47     6.65    88.52    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.99     4.37    30.01     0.01     3.83    91.53    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.77     4.60    36.78     0.07     7.75    92.27    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.64     4.38     2.57     0.00     0.02     8.73    73.58     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.73     4.56     9.48     0.00     0.01     5.53    60.44     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.56     4.60     9.49     0.00     0.00     1.11    25.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   39   +8      55.79     4.41    10.67     0.00     0.00     0.74    26.64     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.14     4.57    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.01     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       27   36   -7      51.51     4.55    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.94     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.12     4.39    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      47.93     4.42    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.16R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.75     4.54    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.45R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.56     4.15   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.31R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.84     4.06   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.13R    0.04  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.76     4.35   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.72R    0.05  
Wigan           27   26  -16      40.91     4.57   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.53R    0.20  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.73     3.72   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   49.41  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.29     4.23   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   17.46  
Watford         27   19  -22      28.64     4.00   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   32.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Derby vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            33   63  +10      84.10     5.02    15.05    22.35    47.37    94.78    57.24P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    34   62  +23      83.55     4.85    31.14    22.89    48.39    95.36    61.17P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       32   61  +20      85.87     5.27    28.71    40.94    63.56    97.25    72.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   59  +15      81.20     5.12    21.56    10.76    26.73    86.83    41.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       34   57  +15      75.83     4.73    18.47     1.12     4.73    53.73    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   56  +16      75.24     4.81    20.61     0.88     4.08    50.70    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   56  +11      73.96     4.77    13.45     0.51     2.22    37.06    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   56   +2      73.11     4.80     3.24     0.27     1.31    28.13     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.67     4.76    19.72     0.23     1.00    30.29    10.38P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   51  +14      71.33     4.76    20.12     0.05     0.56    21.91     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   46   +2      66.14     5.21     5.59     0.02     0.04     3.57     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   45   +2      60.93     4.75     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester        33   43   -3      60.28     4.96    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.05P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      33   41   -5      58.51     5.06    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.55R    0.02  
Coventry         34   41  -12      54.35     4.60   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.40R    0.17  
Burnley          33   39   -2      55.91     4.98    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.49R    0.07  
Ipswich          33   39   -5      57.05     5.11    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.47R    0.06  
Norwich          31   37  -11      53.26     5.47   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.30R    0.85  
Luton            33   36  -13      52.57     5.13   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.27R    1.29  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.47     4.47   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.95R   10.49  
Queens_PR        33   34  -15      47.33     4.80   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.69R    6.79  
Hull             33   32  -15      45.67     4.78   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.28R   13.07  
Southend         34   31  -21      43.77     4.61   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.53R   27.37  
Leeds            33   31  -23      42.58     4.61   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.86R   39.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Gillingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          33   64  +25      89.03     4.91    35.58    72.19    89.79    99.89    92.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              33   58  +20      82.55     5.07    30.09    14.61    50.46    97.23    63.53P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              33   57  +15      77.23     5.05    18.78     2.71    12.37    81.45    30.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   33   57  +10      79.13     5.02    16.53     4.44    19.14    89.55    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.62     5.36    19.47     5.43    23.61    90.14    40.52P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            34   53  +10      72.42     4.88    14.35     0.20     1.47    48.66    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             33   48  +11      68.47     5.14    15.09     0.01     0.40    22.77     5.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           31   48  +10      71.21     5.65    14.05     0.38     2.28    40.24    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            34   48   -6      62.42     4.74    -8.80     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.28P    0.24R    0.00  
Doncaster           32   47   +9      68.55     5.30    12.64     0.02     0.47    22.61     5.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton            34   45   -3      58.81     4.70    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    1.97R    0.01  
Huddersfield        34   45   -6      59.94     4.82    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    1.31R    0.01  
Crewe               32   44   -2      61.85     5.42    -4.57     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.44P    0.79R    0.01  
Port_Vale           33   43   -4      61.36     5.20    -3.14     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.39P    0.97R    0.01  
Millwall            33   42   -8      57.59     5.12   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    5.45R    0.04  
Gillingham          34   42  -15      54.94     4.66   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.57R    0.28  
Chesterfield        33   39   +0      56.17     4.97    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.43R    0.09  
Northampton         34   39   -6      53.03     4.66    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    0.57  
Leyton_Orient       34   38  -13      49.86     4.57   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.96R    2.67  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.43     4.99    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   18.84R    0.93  
Cheltenham          33   36  -13      50.28     4.93   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.49R    3.63  
Bournemouth         33   34  -12      47.90     4.84   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.33R    7.57  
Brentford           34   32  -24      41.74     4.22   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   55.85  
Rotherham           32   25   -6      44.11     5.40    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.67R   28.32  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Chester vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       34   67  +19      87.92     4.73    25.53    40.72    82.36    99.69    86.86P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   64  +24      86.65     4.56    33.22    33.34    78.75    99.55    85.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   62  +15      81.74     4.84    20.40     6.95    35.78    94.91    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     33   61  +16      82.26     5.03    21.19     8.80    40.05    95.03    54.22P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    33   60  +13      81.93     4.99    20.21     7.55    37.77    94.01    49.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.86     4.86    16.55     1.57    12.90    81.25    28.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.39     5.05    17.24     0.61     6.29    64.48    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   49   +2      63.85     4.74    -0.10     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         33   47   -1      63.78     4.98    -2.19     0.00     0.02     2.29     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     34   46   +2      63.76     4.89     4.22     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          32   45   +2      63.28     5.16     1.28     0.00     0.03     2.63     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       30   44  +16      74.38     5.65    29.50     0.45     6.02    59.22    23.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.95     5.26    -2.39     0.00     0.01     1.82     0.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     34   43   -5      58.52     4.92    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet           33   42   -9      56.17     4.82   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.12R    0.00  
Grimsby          34   41  -18      52.95     4.64   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.78R    0.02  
Mansfield        33   39   -1      57.60     5.17     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   38   +6      58.07     5.40     7.55     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             33   37   -9      52.50     5.00   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.56R    0.09  
Accrington       33   33  -10      47.86     4.81   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.71R    1.31  
Macclesfield     33   33  -12      48.28     5.00   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.22R    0.98  
Boston           34   32  -25      44.20     4.51   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R    6.93  
Wrexham          33   31  -24      42.38     4.50   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.93R   12.96  
Torquay          34   25  -25      35.36     4.28   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.06R   77.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Burton vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          32   67  +35      97.02     4.92    53.38    95.20   100.00    96.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.39     5.13    34.74     4.04    95.98    41.31P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.66     5.38    14.74     0.20    59.55    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      76.08     5.36    11.70     0.13    54.52    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             31   52  +13      77.29     5.70    19.92     0.22    65.41    16.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.91     5.62    15.33     0.11    41.59     7.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             31   51   +2      71.63     5.58     2.60     0.01    23.50     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.78     5.99     9.40     0.07    38.91     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.94     5.85     6.80     0.01    14.45     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.67     5.63    -6.54     0.00     2.40     0.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.97     5.50   -10.76     0.00     1.47     0.17P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D        31   40   -1      60.12     5.64    -1.43     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.42R    0.04  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.39     5.46     4.88     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.64R    0.01  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.39     5.38    -2.57     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.16R    0.07  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.05     5.13   -12.79     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.11R    0.95  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.21     6.24     0.89     0.00     0.96     0.16P    1.66R    0.18  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.56     6.15   -17.44     0.00     0.13     0.01P    7.10R    1.28  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.20     4.95   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.98R    6.54  
Stafford_Rangers   31   34  -17      49.66     5.31   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.21R    8.05  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.85     5.25   -21.55     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.41R    9.61  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.00     4.99   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.95R   20.52  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.07     5.74     4.87     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.20R    1.27  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.32     5.02   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.34R   22.32  
Tamworth           30   28  -15      44.96     5.60   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.70R   29.14  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10