Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 February 2007 at 22:49:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Everton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      90.05     3.83    61.41    92.92    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.60     4.27    38.80     7.00    89.23    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.92     4.33    29.99     0.03     3.67    91.52    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.77     4.53    36.77     0.04     7.16    92.53    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.69     4.35     2.72     0.00     0.01     8.82    74.38     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.76     4.52     9.48     0.00     0.00     5.35    60.76     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.52     4.59     9.42     0.00     0.00     1.00    25.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   39   +8      55.66     4.39    10.52     0.00     0.00     0.69    25.55     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.03     4.59    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.75     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       27   36   -7      51.54     4.57    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.97     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.06     4.39    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.00     4.41    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.93     4.56    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.43R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.60     4.17   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.56R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.89     4.06   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.88R    0.04  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.67     4.30   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.20R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      40.74     4.60   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.74R    0.20  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.73     3.72   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   49.14  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.40     4.30   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.74R   17.40  
Watford         27   19  -22      28.57     3.97   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.61R   33.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Derby vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            33   63  +10      84.11     5.05    15.06    21.93    46.08    94.96    56.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    34   62  +23      83.70     4.80    31.36    23.21    49.19    95.98    62.09P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       32   61  +20      86.11     5.20    29.08    42.33    65.48    97.47    74.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   59  +15      81.11     5.10    21.41     9.67    25.61    86.47    40.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       34   57  +15      75.85     4.77    18.57     0.95     4.72    54.15    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   56  +16      75.24     4.73    20.59     0.95     3.91    50.38    15.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   56  +11      73.93     4.77    13.42     0.44     2.11    37.12    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   56   +2      73.08     4.77     3.25     0.22     1.10    27.95     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   53  +15      72.71     4.80    19.77     0.26     1.31    31.14    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   51  +14      71.12     4.77    19.89     0.04     0.46    20.84     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   46   +2      66.01     5.16     5.40     0.00     0.01     3.15     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   45   +2      60.72     4.70     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        33   43   -3      60.30     5.02    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.17R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      33   41   -5      58.76     5.01    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.38R    0.01  
Coventry         34   41  -12      54.36     4.53   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.08R    0.11  
Burnley          33   39   -2      56.05     4.94    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    1.50R    0.08  
Ipswich          33   39   -5      56.89     5.07    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.38R    0.12  
Norwich          31   37  -11      53.10     5.45   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.40R    0.91  
Luton            33   36  -13      52.65     5.18   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91R    1.20  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.69     4.54   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.16R   10.04  
Queens_PR        33   34  -15      47.23     4.85   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R    7.45  
Hull             33   32  -15      45.74     4.77   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.85R   12.85  
Southend         34   31  -21      43.57     4.51   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.39R   28.20  
Leeds            33   31  -23      42.67     4.63   -33.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R   39.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Gillingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          33   64  +25      88.90     4.88    35.38    71.83    89.94    99.92    93.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              33   58  +20      82.52     5.08    30.02    15.01    50.55    97.26    64.23P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              33   57  +15      77.19     5.05    18.74     2.77    12.59    81.30    30.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   33   57  +10      79.17     5.03    16.56     4.44    19.23    89.75    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.41     5.42    19.22     5.36    22.80    89.36    39.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            34   53  +10      72.35     4.95    14.25     0.19     1.66    48.95    12.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             33   48  +11      68.42     5.14    14.99     0.01     0.33    22.92     5.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           31   48  +10      71.11     5.64    13.92     0.34     2.17    39.78    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            34   48   -6      62.57     4.75    -8.52     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.30P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster           32   47   +9      68.68     5.30    12.83     0.04     0.73    23.07     6.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton            34   45   -3      58.94     4.77    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    1.75R    0.00  
Huddersfield        34   45   -6      59.87     4.79    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P    1.43R    0.01  
Crewe               32   44   -2      62.02     5.39    -4.28     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.47P    0.79R    0.00  
Port_Vale           33   43   -4      61.07     5.18    -3.55     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.34P    1.20R    0.01  
Millwall            33   42   -8      57.57     5.06   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P    5.19R    0.04  
Gillingham          34   42  -15      55.01     4.73   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.82R    0.29  
Chesterfield        33   39   +0      56.00     4.97    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    7.93R    0.13  
Northampton         34   39   -6      53.16     4.66    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.39R    0.58  
Leyton_Orient       34   38  -13      49.98     4.60   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.04R    2.63  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.58     4.98    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.50R    0.81  
Cheltenham          33   36  -13      50.08     4.83   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.80R    3.79  
Bournemouth         33   34  -12      48.00     4.87   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.68R    7.40  
Brentford           34   32  -24      41.68     4.18   -34.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.89R   57.30  
Rotherham           32   25   -6      44.32     5.35    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.35R   27.01  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 February 2007, Chester vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       34   67  +19      87.84     4.80    25.41    40.16    81.95    99.66    86.44P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   64  +24      86.72     4.54    33.36    33.98    79.54    99.65    86.24P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   62  +15      81.64     4.89    20.21     7.08    35.84    94.56    47.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     33   61  +16      82.09     5.00    20.93     8.39    39.03    94.85    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    33   60  +13      81.87     4.98    20.10     7.74    37.38    93.89    49.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.89     4.89    16.62     1.58    13.54    81.55    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.34     5.08    17.21     0.54     6.13    64.25    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   49   +2      63.97     4.74     0.10     0.00     0.02     2.69     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         33   47   -1      63.71     4.98    -2.30     0.00     0.03     2.27     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     34   46   +2      63.81     4.89     4.24     0.00     0.01     2.37     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          32   45   +2      63.37     5.19     1.37     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       30   44  +16      74.48     5.65    29.61     0.54     6.49    58.97    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.92     5.24    -2.45     0.00     0.01     1.61     0.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     34   43   -5      58.49     4.88    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.03R    0.01  
Barnet           33   42   -9      56.10     4.81   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Grimsby          34   41  -18      52.80     4.59   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.01  
Mansfield        33   39   -1      57.86     5.12     0.61     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   38   +6      58.09     5.36     7.54     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             33   37   -9      52.46     4.95   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.05  
Accrington       33   33  -10      48.10     4.85   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    1.07  
Macclesfield     33   33  -12      48.18     5.02   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.91R    1.08  
Boston           34   32  -25      44.32     4.58   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.81R    6.78  
Wrexham          33   31  -24      42.38     4.50   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.05R   12.88  
Torquay          34   25  -25      35.29     4.26   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.14R   78.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Burton vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          32   67  +35      96.94     4.94    53.14    94.96   100.00    96.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.26     5.19    34.58     4.26    95.89    41.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.83     5.35    15.01     0.20    61.70    13.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      75.97     5.40    11.60     0.12    54.27    10.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             31   52  +13      77.27     5.66    19.85     0.27    65.53    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      73.75     5.66    15.08     0.09    40.31     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             31   51   +2      71.75     5.54     2.72     0.01    23.89     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.81     6.01     9.46     0.07    38.60     7.67P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.60     5.96     6.28     0.02    13.77     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.89     5.55    -6.18     0.00     2.33     0.35P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      62.87     5.43   -10.89     0.00     1.33     0.17P    0.10R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        31   40   -1      60.01     5.63    -1.63     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.57R    0.02  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.35     5.48     4.83     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.69R    0.06  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.35     5.42    -2.60     0.00     0.19     0.04P    1.29R    0.09  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.06     5.11   -12.72     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.29R    1.16  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.46     6.16     1.26     0.00     0.93     0.16P    1.50R    0.13  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.49     6.12   -17.63     0.00     0.15     0.03P    7.32R    1.12  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.23     4.97   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.55R    6.86  
Stafford_Rangers   31   34  -17      49.75     5.36   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.69R    8.20  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.81     5.16   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.63R    9.72  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      46.22     5.05   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.41R   19.71  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.13     5.72     4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.51R    1.48  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.41     5.06   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.30R   21.86  
Tamworth           30   28  -15      44.97     5.68   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   29.59  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10