Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 February 2007 at 21:33:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      90.01     3.81    61.53    93.43    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.45     4.27    38.59     6.51    88.83    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.79     4.36    29.79     0.01     3.57    89.86    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.88     4.54    36.94     0.04     7.67    92.18    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.61     4.35     2.56     0.00     0.03     8.46    68.83     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.81     4.54     9.58     0.00     0.01     5.58    55.72     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.60     4.56     9.51     0.00     0.00     0.90    22.20     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.46     4.67    13.56     0.00     0.01     2.96    46.25     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.03     4.58    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.98     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.11     4.42    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.73     4.68    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.64     0.20R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.03     4.40    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.79     4.50    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.38R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.45     4.05   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.54R    0.02  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.59     3.99   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.44R    0.04  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.85     4.34   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.91R    0.03  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.42     4.81   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.18R    0.22  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.82     3.72   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.76R   48.62  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.33     4.22   -32.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   18.00  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.81     4.26   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.36R   33.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Burnley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.18     5.24    18.11    33.59    60.14    97.75    68.34P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    34   62  +23      83.74     4.83    31.43    20.09    45.09    96.23    59.41P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       32   61  +20      85.84     5.24    28.69    35.49    60.11    97.39    70.37P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   59  +15      81.31     5.04    21.66     8.44    23.72    88.46    39.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       34   57  +15      75.78     4.83    18.45     0.84     4.00    55.43    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   56  +16      75.39     4.81    20.87     0.79     3.46    53.44    16.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   56  +11      73.96     4.77    13.42     0.46     1.78    38.26    10.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   56   +2      73.06     4.81     3.20     0.17     1.00    29.18     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       34   51  +14      71.38     4.74    20.23     0.07     0.38    23.30     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   50  +13      70.08     4.98    16.53     0.07     0.33    16.54     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   46   +2      66.06     5.20     5.41     0.00     0.01     3.50     0.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   45   +2      60.83     4.75     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Leicester        33   43   -3      60.37     4.99    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.11R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      33   41   -5      58.70     5.07    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.47R    0.04  
Coventry         34   41  -12      54.34     4.50   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.15R    0.14  
Burnley          33   39   -2      56.06     4.98    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.50R    0.10  
Ipswich          33   39   -5      56.74     5.11    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.73R    0.16  
Norwich          31   37  -11      53.04     5.42   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.69R    0.94  
Luton            33   36  -13      52.52     5.18   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.48R    1.24  
Barnsley         34   35  -20      46.61     4.51   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.12R   10.21  
Queens_PR        33   34  -15      47.33     4.79   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.23R    7.05  
Hull             33   32  -15      45.79     4.80   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.30R   13.24  
Southend         34   31  -21      43.74     4.52   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.34R   26.92  
Leeds            33   31  -23      42.58     4.63   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.86R   39.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Gillingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          33   64  +25      88.97     4.84    35.41    72.30    89.76    99.89    92.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              33   58  +20      82.49     5.04    30.00    14.36    50.01    97.32    63.55P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              33   57  +15      77.28     5.06    18.85     2.61    12.80    81.23    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   33   57  +10      79.32     5.08    16.83     4.94    20.32    89.78    37.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.47     5.34    19.29     5.25    22.65    89.36    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            34   53  +10      72.35     4.93    14.22     0.16     1.54    48.05    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             33   48  +11      68.51     5.15    15.15     0.03     0.31    23.06     5.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           31   48  +10      71.24     5.61    14.13     0.30     2.08    40.77    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            34   48   -6      62.47     4.69    -8.66     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.28P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster           32   47   +9      68.75     5.22    12.92     0.06     0.53    23.35     6.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton            34   45   -3      58.90     4.75    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P    1.81R    0.00  
Huddersfield        34   45   -6      59.85     4.79    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    1.54R    0.01  
Crewe               32   44   -2      61.91     5.39    -4.45     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.43P    0.83R    0.01  
Port_Vale           33   43   -4      61.19     5.16    -3.40     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.24P    0.84R    0.01  
Millwall            33   42   -8      57.62     5.07   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    4.97R    0.03  
Gillingham          34   42  -15      54.86     4.68   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    13.13R    0.32  
Chesterfield        33   39   +0      56.01     5.04    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.99R    0.15  
Northampton         34   39   -6      53.11     4.59    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.06R    0.56  
Leyton_Orient       34   38  -13      49.96     4.59   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    2.73  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.42     5.00    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.09R    0.88  
Cheltenham          33   36  -13      50.20     4.83   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.00R    3.76  
Bournemouth         33   34  -12      47.73     4.80   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.58R    7.96  
Brentford           34   32  -24      41.85     4.24   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.39R   55.62  
Rotherham           32   25   -6      44.17     5.36    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.73R   27.95  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Lincoln_C vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Hartlepool       34   67  +19      87.73     4.79    25.29    39.81    81.05    99.67    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   64  +24      86.61     4.54    33.18    33.73    78.69    99.62    84.94P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   62  +15      81.76     4.83    20.39     7.14    36.34    95.04    48.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     33   61  +16      82.41     5.01    21.40     9.23    41.68    95.50    55.59P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    33   60  +13      81.81     4.98    19.99     7.57    36.37    93.68    47.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        34   59  +13      77.99     4.84    16.72     1.55    13.67    82.10    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.37     5.00    17.27     0.51     6.17    64.51    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       34   49   +2      63.92     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.34     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         33   47   -1      63.78     4.96    -2.19     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     34   46   +2      63.79     4.90     4.23     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       30   44  +16      74.40     5.61    29.48     0.45     5.98    58.77    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      62.00     5.18    -2.32     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   43   -5      58.60     4.90    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester          31   42   +1      61.89     5.41     0.55     0.00     0.02     1.83     0.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           33   42   -9      56.01     4.82   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Grimsby          34   41  -18      52.86     4.64   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.81R    0.03  
Mansfield        33   39   -1      57.62     5.12     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.13R    0.01  
Rochdale         32   38   +6      57.97     5.40     7.46     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Bury             32   37   -8      53.72     5.28   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.22R    0.02  
Accrington       33   33  -10      48.00     4.89   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.60R    1.16  
Macclesfield     33   33  -12      48.18     4.94   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.43R    1.02  
Boston           34   32  -25      44.24     4.54   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.49R    6.70  
Wrexham          33   31  -24      42.40     4.52   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.80R   12.96  
Torquay          34   25  -25      35.28     4.24   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.25R   78.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 February 2007, Burton vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          32   67  +35      96.78     4.95    52.90    94.83   100.00    96.78P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.45     5.10    34.86     4.34    96.17    42.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.62     5.39    14.74     0.27    59.43    12.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          32   53   +6      75.95     5.37    11.50     0.14    54.34     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             31   52  +13      77.12     5.66    19.61     0.28    64.53    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          31   51  +12      74.09     5.60    15.64     0.07    43.03     7.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             31   51   +2      71.87     5.50     2.84     0.01    24.38     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.73     6.01     9.27     0.06    38.01     7.46P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.78     5.97     6.56     0.01    13.99     2.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster      31   45   -4      63.68     5.56    -6.49     0.00     2.25     0.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth           31   45   -7      63.27     5.46   -10.30     0.00     1.62     0.25P    0.08R    0.01  
Rushden_&_D        31   40   -1      59.85     5.63    -1.85     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.55R    0.02  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.37     5.46     4.88     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.72R    0.04  
Woking             32   39   -3      58.32     5.47    -2.64     0.00     0.18     0.05P    1.28R    0.10  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.13     5.19   -12.63     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.28R    1.03  
Halifax            29   36   +1      59.47     6.22     1.27     0.00     0.87     0.17P    1.45R    0.17  
Northwich          28   36   -9      55.54     6.16   -17.42     0.00     0.20     0.03P    7.26R    1.19  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.19     4.99   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.83R    6.67  
Stafford_Rangers   31   34  -17      49.77     5.31   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.18R    7.67  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.88     5.23   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.23R    9.45  
Altrincham         32   32  -15      45.98     5.07   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.88R   20.94  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.04     5.70     4.80     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.22R    1.36  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.52     5.07   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.89R   21.09  
Tamworth           30   28  -15      44.79     5.61   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.08R   30.27  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10