Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 February 2007 at 21:33:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.93     3.82    61.29    92.65    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.63     4.25    38.89     7.34    89.98    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.98     4.38    30.08     0.00     3.54    90.76    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.66     4.55    36.61     0.01     6.57    91.30    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.51     4.43     2.44     0.00     0.01     8.46    68.07     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.78     4.58     9.52     0.00     0.01     5.50    55.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.42     4.58     9.28     0.00     0.00     0.87    21.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.48     4.64    13.63     0.00     0.00     3.13    46.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.03     4.58    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.01     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.29     4.34    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.81     4.73    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.70     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.15     4.38    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.73     4.55    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.43R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.53     4.12   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.42R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.84     4.01   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.82R    0.03  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.82     4.33   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.05R    0.03  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.18     4.90   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.41R    0.28  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.74     3.69   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R   49.55  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.37     4.25   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.44R   17.91  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.81     4.22   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   32.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, Wolverhampton vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.16     5.22    18.15    31.72    60.22    97.30    68.19P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       31   60  +20      86.89     5.49    29.69    43.47    67.27    97.51    75.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    33   59  +22      82.46     5.06    31.01    13.78    34.92    92.08    50.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   56  +17      77.31     5.03    22.65     1.96     7.79    65.34    22.30P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       33   56  +15      75.51     5.01    17.49     0.98     4.12    50.40    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.44     5.32    21.86     6.92    19.98    83.17    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   56  +12      74.78     5.04    13.56     0.81     3.27    43.14    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   53   +1      71.19     5.10     1.86     0.09     0.56    17.43     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   51  +17      73.13     5.01    23.91     0.23     1.49    34.98    10.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   50  +13      70.25     5.02    16.70     0.04     0.39    16.49     4.99P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.68     5.43     1.30     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   42   +1      59.04     5.00    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      60.04     5.32    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.40R    0.02  
Leicester        32   40   -4      58.11     5.23    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.91R    0.05  
Burnley          32   39   -1      58.12     5.24    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.74R    0.04  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.58     5.36    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.89R    0.05  
Coventry         33   38  -13      52.05     4.79   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.02R    0.95  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.66     5.65   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.88R    0.86  
Luton            32   33  -14      50.89     5.43   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.91R    3.02  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.78     5.09   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.64R    7.73  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.64     5.17   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.27R    8.40  
Barnsley         33   32  -23      44.77     4.71   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.61R   22.50  
Southend         33   31  -20      45.18     4.85   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R   19.53  
Leeds            32   30  -23      43.06     4.84   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.25R   36.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, Scunthorpe vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          32   61  +23      87.23     5.23    33.27    50.80    79.07    99.37    85.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              32   58  +23      85.30     5.24    35.26    34.77    68.81    98.88    77.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.19     5.43    18.85     5.25    18.65    86.05    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   32   56  +10      79.76     5.34    16.94     6.59    20.73    88.27    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              32   54  +13      75.18     5.35    16.22     1.35     6.06    64.44    20.45P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            33   52  +10      73.65     5.14    15.53     0.48     2.56    54.70    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             32   48  +13      70.39     5.29    17.95     0.14     0.84    32.95     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           30   47  +10      70.96     5.85    13.11     0.40     2.01    36.17     9.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           31   47  +10      70.65     5.55    14.68     0.21     1.25    33.67     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            33   47   -6      62.77     4.99    -8.77     0.01     0.01     2.02     0.34P    0.23R    0.00  
Brighton            33   42   -4      57.05     4.96    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    5.08R    0.07  
Millwall            32   42   -5      60.44     5.39    -5.94     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.17P    1.68R    0.01  
Huddersfield        33   42   -7      57.77     5.01   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    4.12R    0.04  
Gillingham          33   42  -14      57.03     5.02   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    6.34R    0.23  
Crewe               31   41   -3      59.60     5.65    -6.68     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.18P    2.90R    0.05  
Port_Vale           32   40   -7      58.09     5.38    -8.62     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.12P    4.42R    0.14  
Chesterfield        32   38   +0      56.39     5.26    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    7.34R    0.21  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.41     4.94    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.35R    1.22  
Northampton         33   36   -7      51.47     4.89    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.68R    2.99  
Cheltenham          32   35  -13      49.73     5.01   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.59R    6.47  
Leyton_Orient       33   35  -16      47.09     4.73   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.23R   13.74  
Bournemouth         32   34  -10      49.17     5.10   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.44R    6.62  
Brentford           33   32  -23      43.21     4.47   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.38R   47.77  
Rotherham           31   25   -5      46.34     5.72    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.22R   20.45  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 February 2007, Wrexham vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          33   64  +25      88.43     4.78    34.92    39.33    81.19    99.77    87.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       33   64  +18      87.15     4.98    25.76    24.47    69.69    99.47    78.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   62  +18      84.73     5.08    25.97    13.89    52.33    98.58    62.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     32   61  +17      84.41     5.28    23.27    13.02    48.09    97.83    60.39P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    32   59  +13      83.06     5.28    21.53     8.45    37.08    96.09    48.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        33   56  +12      75.78     5.08    14.94     0.49     5.27    70.99    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.44     5.04    17.35     0.21     3.87    69.48    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     33   46   +4      64.89     5.12     5.84     0.00     0.02     5.68     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +1      62.71     5.02    -0.36     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.87     5.25    -2.45     0.00     0.01     2.04     0.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         32   44   -4      60.66     5.17    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester          31   42   +1      61.84     5.39     0.51     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     33   42   -5      59.83     5.13    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       29   41  +14      73.00     5.91    27.71     0.14     2.46    53.27    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           32   39  -10      53.65     5.02   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.92R    0.04  
Mansfield        32   38   -1      57.38     5.37    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.10P    0.21R    0.01  
Grimsby          33   38  -19      51.63     4.90   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.30R    0.21  
Bury             32   37   -8      53.76     5.25   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.25R    0.09  
Rochdale         31   35   +4      56.55     5.59     5.69     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.10P    0.34R    0.04  
Accrington       32   33   -9      49.00     5.11   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.88R    1.19  
Macclesfield     32   33  -11      48.76     5.20   -16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87R    1.25  
Wrexham          32   31  -23      43.45     4.76   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.98R   12.36  
Boston           33   31  -25      44.05     4.74   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.17R   10.06  
Torquay          33   25  -23      36.14     4.42   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.05R   74.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, York vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          31   64  +32      95.12     5.28    49.55    90.66    99.95    93.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.38     5.14    34.71     7.14    96.16    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.83     5.37    15.06     0.61    61.35    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          31   52   +6      76.16     5.64    11.36     0.28    55.54    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             30   51  +13      78.44     5.98    21.09     0.98    71.60    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.89     5.93     9.53     0.12    39.88     7.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          30   48  +10      72.58     5.88    13.83     0.14    33.19     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             30   48   +1      70.36     5.80     2.03     0.02    17.96     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.81     5.91     6.68     0.03    14.31     2.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      30   45   -1      65.02     5.85    -3.54     0.01     4.24     0.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth           30   45   -4      65.02     5.77    -6.58     0.01     3.71     0.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.20     5.47     4.65     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.79R    0.06  
Rushden_&_D        30   39   -1      59.78     5.88    -2.53     0.00     0.72     0.14P    0.93R    0.04  
Woking             31   38   -3      58.38     5.64    -3.01     0.00     0.24     0.06P    1.62R    0.12  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.28     5.14   -12.37     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.43R    0.96  
Northwich          27   35   -9      56.49     6.55   -16.66     0.00     0.34     0.03P    7.34R    1.21  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.13     4.98   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.61R    7.34  
Stafford_Rangers   30   34  -15      51.14     5.63   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.50R    6.08  
Halifax            28   33   -2      56.87     6.41    -3.16     0.00     0.46     0.07P    4.96R    0.74  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.63     5.22   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.66R   11.32  
Grays              31   31   +1      54.12     5.66     4.91     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.53R    1.51  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.52     5.05   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.41R   22.79  
Altrincham         31   31  -15      46.00     5.32   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.66R   23.88  
Tamworth           29   28  -14      46.18     5.88   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.49R   23.95  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10