Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 February 2007 at 21:33:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.94     3.81    61.29    92.98    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.44     4.28    38.60     6.96    88.95    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.94     4.33    29.99     0.03     3.60    90.56    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.85     4.52    36.91     0.04     7.50    91.90    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.72     4.36     2.77     0.00     0.03     8.30    69.84     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.78     4.61     9.51     0.00     0.00     5.57    55.34     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.55     4.58     9.43     0.00     0.00     0.97    22.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.27     4.70    13.32     0.00     0.00     2.69    44.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.10     4.60    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.42     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.22     4.38    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.12R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.64     4.74    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.73     0.17R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.02     4.40    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.81     4.50    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.47R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.52     4.13   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.54R    0.02  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.76     4.03   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.43R    0.07  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.78     4.39   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.17R    0.06  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.27     4.78   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.86R    0.25  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.76     3.72   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   49.52  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.36     4.25   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.55R   17.68  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.87     4.28   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.79R   32.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, Wolverhampton vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.23     5.24    18.15    31.82    60.31    97.33    68.12P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       31   60  +20      86.92     5.50    29.79    43.28    67.27    97.55    74.99P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    33   59  +22      82.63     5.03    31.23    13.88    35.77    92.56    51.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   56  +17      77.29     4.99    22.66     2.15     7.71    65.91    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       33   56  +15      75.52     5.01    17.56     1.17     4.26    50.45    15.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.45     5.30    21.91     6.63    19.38    82.88    35.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   56  +12      74.76     5.02    13.51     0.74     3.13    42.98    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   53   +1      70.95     5.07     1.55     0.04     0.44    16.28     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   51  +17      73.12     5.00    23.88     0.25     1.40    35.59    11.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   50  +13      70.23     4.98    16.66     0.03     0.33    16.40     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.67     5.43     1.26     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   42   +1      59.08     4.99     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.23R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      60.20     5.34    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.34R    0.01  
Leicester        32   40   -4      58.36     5.21    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.78R    0.02  
Burnley          32   39   -1      58.02     5.20    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.69R    0.01  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.77     5.40    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.88R    0.05  
Coventry         33   38  -13      51.99     4.78   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.94R    1.03  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.27     5.56   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.96R    0.93  
Luton            32   33  -14      50.76     5.36   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.23R    3.12  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.83     5.15   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.86R    8.10  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.66     5.09   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.88R    8.01  
Barnsley         33   32  -23      44.67     4.73   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.74R   23.16  
Southend         33   31  -20      45.16     4.84   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.23R   19.38  
Leeds            32   30  -23      43.14     4.91   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.20R   36.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, Scunthorpe vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          32   61  +23      87.14     5.19    33.14    50.66    79.01    99.47    85.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              32   58  +23      85.25     5.19    35.15    35.11    69.11    98.91    78.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        32   56  +13      79.37     5.36    19.18     5.21    18.97    86.98    35.96P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   32   56  +10      79.64     5.33    16.77     6.21    19.99    87.99    36.15P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              32   54  +13      75.26     5.32    16.26     1.58     6.32    65.48    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            33   52  +10      73.53     5.11    15.39     0.41     2.38    53.84    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             32   48  +13      70.30     5.34    17.85     0.14     0.98    31.91     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           30   47  +10      71.01     5.93    13.18     0.49     2.03    35.94     9.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           31   47  +10      70.67     5.49    14.63     0.18     1.20    33.92     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            33   47   -6      62.74     4.98    -8.84     0.01     0.01     2.06     0.29P    0.21R    0.00  
Brighton            33   42   -4      56.99     4.98    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    5.09R    0.04  
Millwall            32   42   -5      60.44     5.38    -5.95     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.14P    1.68R    0.02  
Huddersfield        33   42   -7      57.76     5.05   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    4.58R    0.09  
Gillingham          33   42  -14      56.96     4.94   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    6.18R    0.10  
Crewe               31   41   -3      59.83     5.62    -6.36     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.21P    2.56R    0.04  
Port_Vale           32   40   -7      57.92     5.41    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    5.12R    0.18  
Chesterfield        32   38   +0      56.50     5.25    -0.56     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    6.84R    0.20  
Bradford            33   37   -5      53.48     5.03    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.84R    1.26  
Northampton         33   36   -7      51.37     4.93    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.11R    3.06  
Cheltenham          32   35  -13      49.80     5.02   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.77R    6.67  
Leyton_Orient       33   35  -16      47.20     4.70   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.68R   12.88  
Bournemouth         32   34  -10      49.09     5.13   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.42R    6.86  
Brentford           33   32  -23      43.15     4.50   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.47R   48.47  
Rotherham           31   25   -5      46.42     5.67    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.44R   20.14  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, Notts_County vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          33   64  +25      88.30     4.81    34.75    38.51    79.83    99.83    86.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       33   64  +18      87.11     4.96    25.66    24.84    69.40    99.51    77.52P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   62  +18      84.86     5.06    26.25    14.69    53.56    98.72    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     32   61  +17      84.42     5.28    23.26    12.90    48.07    97.88    60.58P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    32   59  +13      83.00     5.24    21.45     8.06    37.21    95.97    48.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        33   56  +12      75.69     5.11    14.83     0.47     4.82    69.90    19.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          33   54  +12      75.35     5.08    17.17     0.35     4.20    68.20    21.70P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     33   46   +4      64.98     5.12     5.97     0.00     0.01     5.84     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +1      62.64     5.02    -0.44     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   -1      61.85     5.29    -2.48     0.00     0.01     2.21     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         32   44   -4      60.33     5.14    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     33   42   -5      59.93     5.22    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       29   41  +14      73.15     5.93    28.05     0.18     2.84    53.44    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.89     5.74     1.33     0.01     0.03     3.90     0.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           32   39  -10      53.69     4.99   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.81R    0.04  
Mansfield        32   38   -1      57.39     5.36    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.23R    0.01  
Grimsby          33   38  -19      51.49     4.92   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    3.42R    0.26  
Bury             32   37   -8      53.65     5.30   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.49R    0.10  
Rochdale         31   35   +4      56.60     5.64     5.78     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    0.45R    0.03  
Accrington       32   33   -9      49.04     5.07   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.66R    1.31  
Macclesfield     32   33  -11      48.89     5.25   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.77R    1.25  
Boston           33   31  -25      44.06     4.76   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.87R    9.95  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.45     5.05   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.23R   13.51  
Torquay          33   25  -23      36.17     4.48   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.98R   73.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 February 2007, York vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          31   64  +32      95.20     5.28    49.63    90.50    99.97    93.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         32   57  +23      84.26     5.19    34.59     7.21    95.57    42.95P    0.00     0.00  
York               32   55  +11      76.83     5.45    15.06     0.56    60.69    12.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          31   52   +6      76.30     5.68    11.54     0.41    56.22    10.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             30   51  +13      78.47     5.96    21.20     0.96    71.80    18.19P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          30   49   +5      73.92     6.02     9.53     0.20    40.08     7.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          30   48  +10      72.58     5.87    13.88     0.12    33.16     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             30   48   +1      70.42     5.75     2.13     0.01    18.34     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          30   45   +4      68.66     5.95     6.47     0.01    13.87     2.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      30   45   -1      65.10     5.80    -3.40     0.00     4.34     0.75P    0.07R    0.00  
Weymouth           30   45   -4      65.04     5.85    -6.63     0.01     3.85     0.56P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley            32   39   +3      59.16     5.40     4.57     0.00     0.29     0.09P    0.79R    0.04  
Rushden_&_D        30   39   -1      59.70     5.90    -2.68     0.00     0.79     0.20P    0.88R    0.06  
Woking             31   38   -3      58.63     5.60    -2.66     0.00     0.28     0.07P    1.42R    0.08  
Forest_Green       32   38   -6      53.19     5.14   -12.54     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.62R    1.15  
Northwich          27   35   -9      56.35     6.49   -16.84     0.00     0.34     0.06P    7.31R    1.21  
Cambridge_U        33   34  -12      49.14     5.01   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.48R    7.55  
Stafford_Rangers   30   34  -15      51.07     5.62   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.75R    5.99  
Halifax            28   33   -2      56.93     6.37    -3.06     0.00     0.40     0.07P    4.83R    0.68  
St_Albans          32   33  -15      48.66     5.21   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.21R   10.78  
Grays              31   31   +1      53.99     5.70     4.77     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.07R    1.69  
Southport          32   31  -12      45.45     5.03   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.20R   23.11  
Altrincham         31   31  -15      46.03     5.29   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.57R   23.42  
Tamworth           29   28  -14      46.22     5.93   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.70R   24.25  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10