Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 February 2007 at 21:33:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.98     3.84    61.38    93.34    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.43     4.22    38.61     6.55    89.06    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      71.01     4.34    30.13     0.04     3.73    90.89    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.86     4.59    36.95     0.07     7.28    91.98    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.50     4.38     2.42     0.00     0.01     7.84    67.88     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.95     4.56     9.76     0.00     0.00     5.64    57.60     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.32     4.59     9.13     0.00     0.00     0.77    21.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.36     4.68    13.44     0.00     0.00     2.87    45.28     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      50.98     4.64    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.39     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.23     4.41    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.72     4.73    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.15R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      47.91     4.35    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.91     4.54    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.42R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.43     4.10   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.67R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.74     4.01   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.38R    0.04  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.77     4.34   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.45R    0.03  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.36     4.76   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.23R    0.24  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.72     3.65   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   50.80  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.34     4.27   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.72R   18.17  
Watford         26   18  -22      29.06     4.25   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.70R   30.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Colchester vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.24     5.26    18.20    36.96    64.05    97.90    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    33   59  +22      82.46     5.08    30.95    15.72    38.83    93.25    53.88P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.35     5.68    28.84    35.29    58.81    96.00    68.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.29     5.30    21.61     7.86    21.76    84.47    37.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.21     5.27    20.49     1.79     6.59    60.59    20.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.19     5.24    14.24     0.91     3.60    43.03    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      73.96     5.27    13.62     0.86     3.14    41.34    11.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   51  +17      73.09     4.99    23.78     0.34     1.74    39.00    11.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.35     5.30     0.62     0.06     0.29    12.52     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.73     5.25    18.26     0.21     1.19    28.41     8.79P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.57     5.47     1.09     0.00     0.01     1.89     0.41P    0.07R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.56     5.24     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.13P    0.19R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.72     5.35    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.61R    0.02  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.50     5.54     0.13     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.10P    0.61R    0.03  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.85     5.37    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    1.08R    0.08  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.78     5.09   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.66R    0.58  
Leicester        31   37   -7      55.96     5.39    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.52R    0.33  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.54     5.57   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.59R    1.15  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      48.05     5.16   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.62R    8.90  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.64     5.12   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.41R    9.68  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.23     5.58   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.44R    5.13  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.25     4.85   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.43R   22.31  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.62     5.09   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.78R   15.01  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.76     5.12   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.00R   36.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Leyton_Orient vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.07     5.39    38.38    52.20    79.67    99.53    85.72P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.13     5.47    33.28    32.59    66.47    98.66    76.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      81.88     5.50    19.02     9.20    28.14    92.84    43.51P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.56     5.44    19.71     2.58    10.25    77.46    27.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.37     5.63    17.71     2.19     9.01    75.52    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.24     5.37    12.52     0.05     0.81    34.26     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.33     5.63    17.35     0.11     0.83    31.95     8.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.81     6.19    14.97     0.82     3.33    46.62    12.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.45     5.74    15.27     0.26     1.47    37.19    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.31     5.28    -8.57     0.00     0.01     2.75     0.36P    0.35R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.58     5.31    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.17P    1.31R    0.01  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      56.96     5.13   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    6.24R    0.12  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.00     5.62    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.14P    2.26R    0.01  
Brighton            32   39   -5      54.73     5.24   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   12.14R    0.20  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.11     5.49    -9.70     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P    6.28R    0.09  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.61     5.87    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P    6.41R    0.14  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.49     5.33    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   10.14R    0.26  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      54.14     5.44    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    14.56R    0.46  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.40     5.16    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   23.14R    1.19  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.12     5.33   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.59R    2.83  
Leyton_Orient       32   34  -16      47.56     4.99   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.17R    7.33  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.18     5.27   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R    7.40  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.03     4.50   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.70R   68.09  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      46.88     5.84    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.49R   11.88  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.65     5.10    37.27    55.01    89.61    99.94    93.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.04     5.26    25.48    15.24    63.60    99.33    74.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.65     5.52    24.51    15.40    59.19    99.06    69.86P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.25     5.29    23.65     5.48    36.16    97.28    50.62P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.69     5.50    21.98     8.61    44.35    97.76    55.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      73.88     5.42    13.57     0.18     3.56    65.11    17.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.54     5.27    11.69     0.03     1.51    54.94    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.70     5.30     7.56     0.00     0.11    16.27     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.39     5.21    -1.32     0.00     0.01     3.93     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      62.00     5.52    -2.84     0.00     0.01     4.07     0.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.54     5.45    -3.56     0.00     0.01     3.23     0.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.48     5.68     0.71     0.00     0.03     5.36     1.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.59     5.42   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.17P    0.15R    0.00  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.79     5.33   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.41R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.25     6.24    24.60     0.04     1.85    50.13    16.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.63     5.52     1.56     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.38P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      56.01     5.53    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    0.63R    0.07  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.85     4.99   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.52R    1.74  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.52     5.35   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.33R    0.95  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.66     5.86     4.29     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.10P    1.36R    0.22  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.18     5.02   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.63R    8.95  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.02     5.39   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    4.23  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.51     5.05   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R   16.25  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.23     4.70   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.30R   67.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.48     5.53    47.51    87.41    99.84    91.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      82.86     5.44    33.95     8.13    92.06    41.81P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.72     5.68    14.84     0.82    53.30    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.40     5.82    12.24     1.50    62.28    13.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.38     6.21    18.57     1.05    58.16    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.77     6.18    10.26     0.47    45.52     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.20     6.00     4.66     0.28    27.89     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.02     6.18    10.22     0.11    19.96     3.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.83     6.14     8.69     0.17    23.25     4.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.32     6.14    -0.15     0.04     9.34     1.76P    0.01R    0.01  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.84     5.99    -6.46     0.03     5.67     0.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.27     5.73     5.59     0.00     0.74     0.20P    0.52R    0.01  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.07     5.86     0.88     0.00     0.96     0.19P    0.44R    0.01  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.13     5.49    -9.68     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.44R    0.28  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.05     6.10    -3.72     0.00     0.45     0.08P    2.02R    0.14  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.70     5.95   -20.89     0.00     0.05     0.01P   15.11R    2.46  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.82     5.21   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.52R    6.13  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.83     5.45   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.59R    5.34  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.15     6.64   -19.82     0.00     0.17     0.03P   12.52R    2.23  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.22     6.00     8.08     0.00     0.10     0.04P    3.94R    0.46  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.09     6.66    -4.29     0.00     0.18     0.03P    7.51R    1.26  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.84     5.50   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.60R   17.34  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.24     5.29   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.39R   28.79  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.14     6.10   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.36R   35.52  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10