Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 February 2007 at 21:33:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.93     3.81    61.29    92.88    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.60     4.29    38.75     7.05    89.42    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      71.08     4.37    30.23     0.03     3.92    91.19    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.73     4.56    36.65     0.05     6.72    91.46    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.60     4.34     2.59     0.00     0.02     8.00    69.11     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.84     4.57     9.63     0.00     0.01     5.49    56.76     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.44     4.63     9.32     0.00     0.00     0.93    21.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.37     4.65    13.51     0.00     0.00     2.88    45.12     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.02     4.59    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     4.13     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.19     4.37    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.64     4.74    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.25R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      47.97     4.36    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.68     4.46    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.41R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.49     4.14   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.77R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.73     4.01   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.58R    0.07  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.78     4.28   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.87R    0.04  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.24     4.84   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.26R    0.28  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.88     3.74   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.50R   49.74  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.40     4.25   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.62R   18.08  
Watford         26   18  -22      29.03     4.27   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.58R   31.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Colchester vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.40     5.31    18.43    38.40    64.67    97.63    71.37P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    33   59  +22      82.58     5.06    31.19    16.26    39.10    93.24    53.74P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.02     5.70    28.31    33.16    56.51    95.72    66.67P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.49     5.27    21.90     8.18    22.66    85.06    38.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.40     5.24    20.76     1.66     7.09    61.45    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.13     5.26    14.14     0.96     3.54    42.77    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      74.06     5.25    13.71     0.81     3.34    42.02    11.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   51  +17      73.14     5.00    23.87     0.32     1.65    38.12    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.57     5.39     0.91     0.07     0.40    13.51     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.60     5.24    18.07     0.17     1.02    27.41     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.54     5.43     1.04     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.31P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.65     5.25     1.34     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.12P    0.14R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.84     5.36    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.55R    0.01  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.49     5.48     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.10P    0.61R    0.03  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.71     5.45    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P    1.18R    0.12  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.56     5.12   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.51R    0.80  
Leicester        31   37   -7      55.94     5.43    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.60R    0.40  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.53     5.64   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.94R    1.18  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.85     5.16   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.26R    9.65  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.64     5.13   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.84R    9.38  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.15     5.58   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.34R    5.29  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.34     4.88   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.99R   21.63  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.46     5.10   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.72R   15.38  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.80     5.09   -34.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.22R   36.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Leyton_Orient vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      87.98     5.34    38.27    50.87    79.00    99.50    85.08P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.21     5.44    33.42    32.82    66.44    98.85    76.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      81.99     5.60    19.20     9.97    29.14    92.57    44.16P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.61     5.50    19.73     2.84    10.16    77.82    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.49     5.66    17.86     2.27     9.36    76.10    25.11P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.39     5.34    12.79     0.12     0.76    35.15     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.45     5.56    17.47     0.12     0.90    32.15     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.58     6.14    14.49     0.76     2.94    45.27    12.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.34     5.72    15.18     0.21     1.28    36.85    10.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.14     5.27    -8.83     0.00     0.01     2.67     0.48P    0.33R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.56     5.26    -6.24     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.15P    1.28R    0.01  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      56.97     5.21   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    6.55R    0.10  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.11     5.57    -4.50     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.14P    2.17R    0.01  
Brighton            32   39   -5      54.58     5.17   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    12.38R    0.20  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.31     5.45    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    5.88R    0.10  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.56     5.89    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.07P    6.44R    0.17  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.57     5.35    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.79R    0.35  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      53.90     5.49    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.71R    0.57  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.19     5.16    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.51R    1.33  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.37     5.37   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.58R    2.91  
Leyton_Orient       32   34  -16      47.47     4.97   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.29R    7.78  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      47.97     5.21   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.81R    8.43  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.29     4.62   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.94R   66.08  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      46.93     5.79    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.33R   11.94  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.60     5.02    37.08    54.95    89.50    99.94    93.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.09     5.22    25.54    15.05    64.00    99.45    74.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.61     5.55    24.47    15.48    59.34    98.97    69.94P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.29     5.31    23.69     5.67    36.08    97.18    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.53     5.57    21.74     8.53    43.41    97.31    54.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      74.02     5.44    13.77     0.21     3.95    65.51    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.67     5.22    11.89     0.05     1.60    55.65    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.82     5.34     7.73     0.00     0.10    16.81     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.41     5.21    -1.36     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      62.03     5.48    -2.77     0.00     0.01     3.96     0.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.43     5.43    -3.72     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.47     5.61     0.78     0.00     0.01     4.80     1.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.52     5.43   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17P    0.07R    0.01  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.67     5.27   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.41R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.35     6.21    24.72     0.06     2.00    49.92    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.78     5.57     1.76     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.42P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      56.08     5.48    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.67R    0.07  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.92     5.05   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.36R    1.69  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.65     5.30   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.87R    0.88  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.46     5.86     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    1.37R    0.21  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.33     5.03   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.87R    8.73  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.84     5.41   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.74R    4.43  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.25     5.01   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.87R   16.91  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.23     4.67   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.66R   67.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.54     5.56    47.55    87.11    99.86    91.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.18     5.37    34.35     8.66    93.11    42.42P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.57     5.65    14.64     0.62    52.31    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.29     5.85    12.10     1.50    62.42    13.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.10     6.25    18.06     1.03    56.63    13.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.79     6.33    10.31     0.65    45.50    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      71.93     6.04     4.31     0.20    26.79     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.27     6.14    10.65     0.14    21.75     4.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.69     6.17     8.45     0.07    22.95     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.33     6.12    -0.18     0.01     9.57     1.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.94     6.00    -6.39     0.01     5.88     0.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.30     5.73     5.65     0.00     0.72     0.16P    0.60R    0.02  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.14     5.89     1.05     0.01     1.33     0.29P    0.41R    0.02  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.05     5.45    -9.71     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.63R    0.23  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.38     6.18    -3.28     0.00     0.59     0.10P    2.06R    0.16  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.48     5.89   -21.37     0.00     0.03     0.00    15.89R    2.56  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.90     5.18   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.77R    5.63  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.86     5.41   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.31R    4.96  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.21     6.64   -19.80     0.00     0.17     0.01P   12.20R    2.16  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.30     5.95     8.18     0.00     0.10     0.04P    3.87R    0.36  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.02     6.66    -4.39     0.00     0.23     0.04P    8.18R    1.32  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.84     5.51   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.65R   17.32  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.34     5.32   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.46R   28.18  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.01     6.04   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.91R   37.07  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10