Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 February 2007 at 21:33:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.84     3.87    61.16    92.57    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.45     4.26    38.64     7.36    88.77    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.95     4.39    30.03     0.03     3.75    90.56    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.80     4.54    36.74     0.04     7.57    91.75    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.64     4.38     2.63     0.00     0.04     8.46    69.41     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.69     4.58     9.35     0.00     0.02     5.23    55.15     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.64     4.60     9.60     0.00     0.00     1.07    23.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.26     4.69    13.33     0.00     0.00     2.92    44.56     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.06     4.61    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.34     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.18     4.37    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.76     4.73    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.17R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.02     4.39    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.80     4.52    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.49R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.54     4.15   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.46R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.75     4.06   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.75R    0.07  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.79     4.33   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.17R    0.04  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.15     4.81   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.45R    0.25  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.84     3.71   -36.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   49.58  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.40     4.24   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.17R   18.02  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.99     4.29   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.59R   32.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Colchester vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.37     5.28    18.37    37.92    64.72    97.72    71.76P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    33   59  +22      82.53     5.07    31.06    15.82    38.84    93.24    53.89P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.11     5.73    28.42    33.95    57.34    95.66    67.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.36     5.34    21.84     8.06    22.11    84.36    37.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.26     5.25    20.57     1.88     6.98    59.94    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.16     5.27    14.16     0.93     3.52    42.59    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      74.02     5.23    13.68     0.75     3.12    41.65    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       33   51  +17      73.16     5.06    23.98     0.36     1.86    39.41    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.60     5.35     1.01     0.09     0.34    13.69     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.77     5.23    18.33     0.23     1.18    28.48     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.58     5.44     1.08     0.00     0.01     1.86     0.28P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.52     5.25     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.20R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      60.04     5.33    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.47R    0.03  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.30     5.52    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.09P    0.66R    0.06  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.70     5.36    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.15R    0.09  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.81     5.00   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    6.39R    0.57  
Leicester        31   37   -7      55.97     5.45    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.32R    0.28  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.53     5.55   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.89R    1.32  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.90     5.15   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.80R    9.43  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.58     5.15   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.80R    9.62  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.18     5.55   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.88R    5.43  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.25     4.86   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.98R   21.27  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.53     5.09   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.23R   14.99  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.66     5.10   -34.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.16R   36.92  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 13 February 2007, Leyton_Orient vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.12     5.31    38.49    52.08    79.92    99.62    86.04P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.16     5.40    33.31    31.84    66.07    98.91    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      82.01     5.52    19.18    10.17    29.09    93.35    44.59P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.50     5.48    19.59     2.69    10.16    77.14    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.32     5.63    17.60     2.10     8.72    75.78    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.32     5.27    12.68     0.07     0.69    34.48     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.43     5.51    17.54     0.09     0.71    32.23     8.49P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.78     6.14    14.88     0.76     3.40    46.30    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.16     5.76    14.86     0.21     1.22    35.85    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.24     5.32    -8.71     0.00     0.01     3.02     0.48P    0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.52     5.32    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.20P    1.41R    0.01  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      56.99     5.23   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    6.83R    0.12  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.14     5.61    -4.53     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.22P    2.23R    0.03  
Brighton            32   39   -5      54.80     5.19    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.03P   11.72R    0.18  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.02     5.54    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.92R    0.15  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.63     5.87    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    6.42R    0.18  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.61     5.30    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.22R    0.29  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      54.07     5.43    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   14.72R    0.54  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.17     5.21    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    24.77R    1.50  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.34     5.29   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.17R    2.60  
Leyton_Orient       32   34  -16      47.59     4.99   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   62.36R    7.43  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      47.90     5.25   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.10R    8.55  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.25     4.60   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.82R   66.03  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      46.87     5.80    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.01R   12.38  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.61     5.04    37.14    55.51    89.83    99.97    93.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.07     5.18    25.45    14.66    64.36    99.34    75.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.65     5.54    24.53    15.52    59.70    98.95    70.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.15     5.25    23.47     5.51    34.52    97.05    49.06P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.56     5.50    21.79     8.49    44.16    97.57    55.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      73.83     5.37    13.47     0.20     3.65    64.70    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.75     5.27    11.97     0.06     1.72    55.87    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.92     5.41     7.88     0.01     0.13    17.77     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.44     5.22    -1.28     0.00     0.01     3.90     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      62.09     5.56    -2.71     0.00     0.01     4.34     0.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.53     5.49    -3.56     0.00     0.00     3.17     0.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.74     5.64     1.15     0.00     0.03     5.42     1.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.70     5.42    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.22P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.66     5.31   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.49R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.16     6.21    24.50     0.04     1.88    48.13    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.87     5.63     1.96     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.47P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.81     5.48    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.66R    0.06  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.74     5.05   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.80R    1.80  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.90     5.36   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     4.72R    0.81  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.27     5.81     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    1.36R    0.17  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.34     5.03   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.85R    8.24  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.89     5.42   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.82R    4.18  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.44     5.04   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.56R   15.88  
Torquay          32   25  -22      36.99     4.66   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.50R   68.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.59     5.50    47.61    86.80    99.90    91.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.15     5.46    34.35     8.95    92.52    42.53P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.71     5.67    14.85     0.72    53.05    12.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.28     5.88    12.09     1.45    61.76    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.31     6.24    18.42     0.94    57.44    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.86     6.26    10.40     0.53    46.03     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.18     6.04     4.59     0.28    27.80     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.20     6.12    10.60     0.15    20.47     3.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.89     6.19     8.73     0.17    23.71     4.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.11     6.13    -0.41     0.02     8.90     1.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.82     5.97    -6.55     0.00     5.46     0.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.32     5.74     5.70     0.00     0.76     0.17P    0.58R    0.00  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.13     5.88     0.93     0.00     1.08     0.27P    0.41R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.15     5.51    -9.67     0.00     0.08     0.03P    4.46R    0.28  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.12     6.17    -3.63     0.00     0.59     0.10P    2.19R    0.15  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.50     5.94   -21.31     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.83R    2.61  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.87     5.21   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.08R    5.86  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.69     5.43   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.66R    5.26  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.43     6.73   -19.49     0.00     0.17     0.02P   11.63R    2.03  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.33     6.00     8.27     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.16R    0.43  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.72     6.60    -4.83     0.00     0.15     0.03P    8.29R    1.22  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.83     5.54   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.44R   17.55  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.18     5.29   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.08R   29.19  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.16     6.14   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.16R   35.42  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10