Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 February 2007 at 21:33:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.88     3.86    61.15    92.89    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.44     4.27    38.62     7.01    88.55    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.97     4.38    30.09     0.01     3.87    90.25    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.77     4.59    36.80     0.07     7.66    91.82    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.66     4.30     2.68     0.00     0.03     8.34    69.41     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.76     4.58     9.44     0.00     0.01     5.70    55.44     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.48     4.61     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.98    21.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.41     4.66    13.53     0.00     0.01     2.93    45.66     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.03     4.57    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.07     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.07     4.37    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.74     4.76    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.86     0.15R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.10     4.35    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.75     4.50    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.45R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.56     4.10   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.39R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.79     4.05   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.49R    0.10  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.92     4.37   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.93R    0.05  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.16     4.81   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.16R    0.26  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.77     3.71   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   50.02  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.39     4.21   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.80R   18.12  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.96     4.27   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.70R   31.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Birmingham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.17     5.25    18.07    38.66    66.05    97.38    72.11P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.21     5.73    28.64    36.65    60.38    95.51    70.07P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    32   56  +21      80.42     5.33    29.26     9.90    26.70    84.61    42.40P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.47     5.31    21.94     9.09    24.70    84.31    39.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.22     5.28    20.49     2.02     7.54    59.02    20.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.18     5.30    14.20     1.06     3.94    41.79    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      74.01     5.21    13.67     0.92     3.38    40.25    11.57P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   51  +18      75.16     5.25    25.92     1.35     5.62    53.70    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.42     5.27     0.75     0.06     0.37    12.35     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.89     5.20    18.47     0.29     1.33    28.14     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.57     5.49     1.02     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.35     5.27     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.18R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      60.00     5.31    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.45     5.52     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.59R    0.03  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.68     5.42    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.03R    0.07  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.67     5.07   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.10R    0.77  
Leicester        31   37   -7      56.24     5.43    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.18R    0.32  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.21     5.58   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.86R    1.34  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.83     5.10   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.69R    9.23  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.64     5.13   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.39R    9.52  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.27     5.58   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.09R    5.25  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.43     4.89   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.56R   21.09  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.48     5.05   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.51R   15.43  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.74     5.12   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.35R   36.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Tranmere vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.11     5.33    38.44    52.08    79.95    99.54    86.31P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.14     5.43    33.28    32.02    65.89    98.77    76.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      82.04     5.53    19.27     9.65    29.14    93.31    44.39P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.56     5.53    19.61     2.81    10.10    76.89    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.31     5.56    17.60     2.08     8.62    75.71    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.32     5.32    12.66     0.08     0.70    34.34     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.60     5.56    17.77     0.14     0.88    33.26     8.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.74     6.18    14.83     0.92     3.40    46.61    12.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.08     5.77    14.75     0.21     1.29    35.48     9.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.19     5.31    -8.78     0.01     0.03     2.93     0.47P    0.27R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.65     5.26    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.13P    1.40R    0.04  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      57.08     5.14   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    6.46R    0.12  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.07     5.60    -4.58     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.21P    2.35R    0.03  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.05     5.48    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    6.74R    0.09  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.86     5.89    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    6.19R    0.16  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.51     5.33    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.15R    0.30  
Brighton            31   36   -8      51.85     5.38   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    29.16R    1.40  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      53.94     5.44    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   15.78R    0.56  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.34     5.19    -9.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.82R    1.50  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.32     5.37   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.60R    2.94  
Leyton_Orient       31   34  -13      49.71     5.30   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.55R    3.79  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.16     5.28   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.80R    8.04  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.10     4.61   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.36R   68.83  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      46.94     5.83    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   59.38R   12.20  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.72     5.04    37.30    55.47    89.95    99.95    93.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.12     5.20    25.55    14.86    64.08    99.26    74.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.50     5.54    24.41    14.63    57.82    98.97    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.41     5.25    23.90     5.66    36.02    97.44    50.56P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.76     5.50    22.15     9.01    44.59    97.57    56.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      74.01     5.49    13.74     0.30     3.92    65.97    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.48     5.29    11.63     0.04     1.51    53.84    14.64P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.84     5.31     7.73     0.00     0.12    16.68     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.27     5.17    -1.49     0.00     0.00     3.69     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      61.96     5.54    -2.87     0.00     0.02     4.18     0.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.45     5.40    -3.63     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.62     5.68     0.90     0.00     0.01     5.25     1.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.54     5.40   -10.26     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.53     5.33   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.51R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.32     6.27    24.66     0.04     1.94    50.60    16.86P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.77     5.60     1.70     0.00     0.01     1.82     0.45P    0.12R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.93     5.47    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.54R    0.03  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.98     5.07   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.03R    1.64  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.56     5.38   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.32R    0.99  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.38     5.91     3.91     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.10P    1.42R    0.28  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.35     5.05   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.41R    8.74  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.12     5.39   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.44R    4.07  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.24     4.95   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.76R   17.28  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.28     4.68   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.36R   66.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.68     5.61    47.74    87.75    99.88    92.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      82.98     5.44    34.08     8.12    92.34    42.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.67     5.65    14.82     0.76    52.34    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.39     5.81    12.30     1.51    62.30    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.24     6.17    18.34     0.81    57.55    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.83     6.30    10.35     0.48    45.62     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.22     6.07     4.65     0.26    27.98     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.15     6.21    10.50     0.11    20.90     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.91     6.17     8.84     0.14    23.71     4.19P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.18     6.06    -0.37     0.04     8.88     1.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.82     6.03    -6.59     0.01     5.63     0.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.50     5.67     5.93     0.00     0.70     0.18P    0.47R    0.01  
Woking             30   38   -1      60.99     5.89     0.78     0.00     1.05     0.23P    0.48R    0.01  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      54.88     5.47    -9.98     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.69R    0.26  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.21     6.15    -3.49     0.00     0.50     0.12P    2.12R    0.15  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.55     5.90   -21.25     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.42R    2.54  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.78     5.15   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.07R    5.92  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.74     5.49   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.51R    5.30  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.56     6.76   -19.24     0.00     0.24     0.04P   11.29R    1.99  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.25     5.98     8.08     0.00     0.08     0.03P    4.04R    0.36  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.97     6.64    -4.47     0.00     0.23     0.04P    7.94R    1.26  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.69     5.48   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.73R   17.99  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.38     5.31   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.79R   27.61  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      42.94     6.00   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.41R   36.59  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10