Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 February 2007 at 21:33:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.94     3.83    61.39    92.97    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.48     4.26    38.65     6.97    89.00    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.97     4.37    30.04     0.01     3.92    90.54    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.76     4.51    36.73     0.04     7.16    91.86    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.46     4.39     2.37     0.00     0.01     8.08    67.86     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.95     4.54     9.77     0.00     0.01     5.83    57.77     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.41     4.60     9.24     0.00     0.00     1.01    21.94     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.31     4.67    13.35     0.00     0.00     2.67    45.05     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      50.87     4.59    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.90     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.18     4.41    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.74     4.68    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.17R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.07     4.40    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.87     4.50    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.46R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.52     4.10   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.47R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.76     4.01   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.55R    0.03  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.85     4.36   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.16R    0.03  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.30     4.84   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.92R    0.28  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.82     3.71   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   49.73  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.39     4.26   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.53R   18.02  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.95     4.27   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.84R   31.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Birmingham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.21     5.28    18.18    38.37    65.57    97.48    72.03P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.36     5.79    28.88    37.23    60.94    95.62    70.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    32   56  +21      80.36     5.34    29.19     9.73    26.39    84.69    41.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.56     5.28    22.08     9.24    24.65    84.69    40.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.15     5.24    20.38     1.93     7.50    58.70    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      73.95     5.24    13.88     1.01     3.73    39.88    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      74.15     5.29    13.88     0.95     3.88    41.59    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   51  +18      75.04     5.28    25.77     1.31     5.58    53.02    19.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.62     5.29     1.02     0.04     0.42    13.17     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.83     5.26    18.45     0.18     1.34    28.25     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.51     5.46     1.01     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.49     5.26     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.22R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.92     5.33    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.47R    0.02  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.62     5.50     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.53R    0.01  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.82     5.39    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.98R    0.10  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.56     5.07   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.67  
Leicester        31   37   -7      56.06     5.51    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.25R    0.40  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.27     5.54   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   10.15R    1.22  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.80     5.17   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.01R    9.97  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.55     5.13   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.91R    9.87  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.28     5.58   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.84R    5.00  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.44     4.90   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.90R   21.18  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.43     5.09   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.51R   15.49  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.72     5.05   -34.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.81R   36.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Tranmere vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.23     5.29    38.64    52.20    80.36    99.54    86.50P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.22     5.46    33.46    32.40    66.22    98.77    76.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      82.06     5.57    19.31     9.70    28.66    92.91    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.52     5.58    19.56     2.47     9.83    76.35    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.44     5.64    17.82     2.04     8.82    75.86    24.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.43     5.35    12.82     0.12     0.80    35.27     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.48     5.58    17.51     0.10     0.81    32.46     8.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.67     6.16    14.74     0.73     3.20    45.86    12.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.48     5.77    15.33     0.23     1.30    37.41    11.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.06     5.25    -8.94     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.32P    0.38R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.56     5.33    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P    1.50R    0.03  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      57.03     5.20   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    6.50R    0.12  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.03     5.61    -4.65     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.21P    2.31R    0.04  
Millwall            31   39   -6      56.99     5.53    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P    6.79R    0.11  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.69     5.85    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    6.51R    0.16  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.50     5.32    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.12R    0.34  
Brighton            31   36   -8      51.68     5.32   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.44R    1.47  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      54.00     5.44    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   15.02R    0.55  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.27     5.17    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.21R    1.33  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.46     5.32   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.70R    2.85  
Leyton_Orient       31   34  -13      49.80     5.33   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.73R    3.60  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      47.97     5.24   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.19R    8.46  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.14     4.60   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.25R   68.84  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      47.09     5.88    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.34R   12.10  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.61     5.07    37.17    54.80    89.46    99.96    92.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.06     5.19    25.48    15.18    63.92    99.31    74.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.60     5.54    24.46    15.06    59.37    99.00    69.78P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.19     5.29    23.55     5.65    34.59    97.07    48.80P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.80     5.53    22.19     8.93    44.91    97.70    56.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      74.18     5.44    13.99     0.28     4.00    67.21    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.59     5.29    11.76     0.04     1.63    54.94    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.78     5.40     7.65     0.00     0.12    16.50     3.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.38     5.24    -1.38     0.00     0.01     3.98     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      61.78     5.51    -3.14     0.00     0.01     3.90     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.59     5.44    -3.44     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.56     5.63     0.91     0.00     0.02     5.21     1.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.59     5.46   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.68     5.33   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.51R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.17     6.22    24.51     0.07     1.96    48.51    15.86P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.72     5.58     1.61     0.00     0.01     1.93     0.47P    0.10R    0.00  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.91     5.48    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    0.71R    0.07  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.82     5.01   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.77R    1.83  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.65     5.36   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    5.28R    1.02  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.32     5.81     3.80     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.53R    0.21  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.43     5.09   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.27R    8.62  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.00     5.45   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.70R    4.15  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.48     5.02   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   46.35R   16.41  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.19     4.73   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.61R   67.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.64     5.52    47.71    87.73    99.88    92.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.01     5.48    34.19     8.15    92.14    41.64P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.50     5.59    14.55     0.73    51.59    10.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.30     5.87    12.09     1.40    62.04    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.37     6.17    18.55     0.90    58.67    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.66     6.26    10.13     0.57    44.97     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.00     6.05     4.34     0.21    27.38     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.07     6.19    10.37     0.14    20.89     4.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.72     6.23     8.49     0.16    23.14     4.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.47     6.16     0.07     0.00    10.30     1.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      66.01     6.06    -6.21     0.01     6.21     0.98P    0.01R    0.01  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.21     5.63     5.55     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.58R    0.03  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.13     5.93     0.96     0.00     1.13     0.23P    0.52R    0.01  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.13     5.51    -9.64     0.00     0.06     0.00     4.47R    0.28  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.21     6.10    -3.48     0.00     0.52     0.14P    2.08R    0.14  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.96     5.96   -20.66     0.00     0.02     0.01P   13.98R    2.25  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      49.00     5.21   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.99R    5.79  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.58     5.44   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.09R    5.80  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.41     6.71   -19.50     0.00     0.17     0.02P   12.09R    1.96  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.25     5.98     8.16     0.00     0.10     0.03P    4.10R    0.40  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.55     6.58    -5.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    8.86R    1.40  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.77     5.49   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.58R   18.02  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.22     5.34   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.03R   29.32  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.27     6.09   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.58R   34.58  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10