Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 February 2007 at 21:33:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Arsenal vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      90.02     3.83    61.52    92.92    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.50     4.29    38.70     7.03    88.88    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.96     4.41    30.05     0.03     3.79    90.31    99.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   49  +26      71.82     4.57    36.85     0.03     7.39    91.94    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          27   47   +4      61.62     4.37     2.55     0.00     0.03     8.41    69.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.81     4.54     9.57     0.00     0.01     5.53    56.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.36     4.60     9.21     0.00     0.00     1.00    21.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.31     4.69    13.37     0.00     0.01     2.79    45.15     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.02     4.61    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.03     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.13     4.38    -8.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.10R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.76     4.70    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      47.94     4.39    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.15R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.77     4.55    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.38R    0.00  
Fulham          27   32  -12      42.56     4.16   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.42R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.78     4.01   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.51R    0.10  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.72     4.32   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.35R    0.03  
Wigan           26   25  -16      41.33     4.87   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.89R    0.26  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.83     3.75   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.54R   49.62  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.36     4.22   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.73R   18.11  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.94     4.27   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.77R   31.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 February 2007, Birmingham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.47     5.27    18.56    40.31    67.93    97.87    74.25P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   57  +19      85.27     5.73    28.77    36.17    60.70    95.69    69.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    32   56  +21      80.55     5.34    29.44    10.04    27.14    85.25    43.22P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.29     5.31    21.68     8.21    23.07    83.70    37.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.04     5.25    20.18     1.84     6.83    58.02    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.07     5.25    14.09     0.97     3.72    40.62    12.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      73.79     5.22    13.40     0.82     3.23    39.14    11.26P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   51  +18      75.26     5.26    26.09     1.30     5.60    55.24    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.61     5.38     1.01     0.09     0.43    13.51     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   49  +13      71.77     5.24    18.31     0.24     1.33    27.64     9.13P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.69     5.44     1.25     0.00     0.01     1.90     0.40P    0.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.28     5.25     0.85     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.14P    0.28R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.92     5.35    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.48R    0.04  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.50     5.47     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    0.54R    0.04  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.82     5.45    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.05R    0.07  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.64     5.09   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.05R    0.71  
Leicester        31   37   -7      55.83     5.41    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.44R    0.41  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.47     5.59   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.70R    1.25  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.92     5.16   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.48R    9.32  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.63     5.12   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.16R    9.80  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.29     5.60   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    5.00  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.39     4.91   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R   21.76  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.47     5.03   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.17R   14.87  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.67     5.08   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.98R   36.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Tranmere vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.32     5.28    38.75    52.52    81.22    99.56    86.80P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.28     5.45    33.53    32.59    66.98    98.80    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      81.89     5.56    19.04     9.12    28.00    92.75    43.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.30     5.48    19.25     2.37     8.80    75.69    26.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.41     5.67    17.74     2.15     8.88    75.67    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.45     5.33    12.79     0.14     0.79    34.84     9.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.51     5.64    17.61     0.09     0.86    32.85     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.78     6.10    14.87     0.81     3.19    46.60    12.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.50     5.73    15.30     0.20     1.25    37.73    10.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.08     5.27    -8.99     0.01     0.01     2.38     0.32P    0.32R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.62     5.30    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.17P    1.34R    0.01  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      57.22     5.20   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    6.17R    0.10  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      59.89     5.60    -4.80     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.17P    2.26R    0.04  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.06     5.60    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    6.82R    0.13  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.81     5.82    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    5.88R    0.17  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.39     5.28    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    10.35R    0.28  
Brighton            31   36   -8      51.84     5.38   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    29.75R    1.48  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      53.90     5.45    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   15.90R    0.60  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.23     5.17    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.66R    1.33  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.43     5.33   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.44R    2.81  
Leyton_Orient       31   34  -13      49.68     5.24   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.70R    3.94  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.09     5.24   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.06R    8.13  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.13     4.60   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.57R   68.50  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      47.03     5.85    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.80R   12.48  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.67     5.04    37.27    55.47    89.59    99.97    93.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.08     5.16    25.51    14.83    64.31    99.33    74.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.54     5.53    24.36    15.02    59.42    99.03    70.25P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.08     5.28    23.39     5.46    34.66    96.97    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.62     5.53    21.85     8.87    44.35    97.55    55.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      74.10     5.42    13.88     0.23     3.96    66.56    18.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.62     5.26    11.81     0.06     1.67    54.83    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.65     5.34     7.45     0.00     0.10    15.74     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.41     5.27    -1.32     0.00     0.01     4.29     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      62.11     5.52    -2.68     0.00     0.03     4.39     0.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.62     5.50    -3.44     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.54     5.68     0.85     0.00     0.02     5.26     1.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.75     5.37    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.77     5.31   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.45R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.21     6.23    24.53     0.07     1.88    49.02    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.84     5.59     1.81     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.38P    0.10R    0.00  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.78     5.51    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.62R    0.06  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.86     5.04   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.37R    1.48  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.67     5.36   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.02R    0.95  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.37     5.87     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    1.54R    0.23  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.13     5.00   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.38R    8.88  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.17     5.46   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.38R    3.67  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.46     5.02   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.48R   15.60  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.01     4.63   -32.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.52R   69.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.74     5.53    47.87    88.02    99.86    92.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.14     5.37    34.37     8.20    92.83    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.71     5.65    14.90     0.66    53.30    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.38     5.82    12.19     1.35    62.74    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.31     6.20    18.41     0.79    57.73    14.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.85     6.25    10.37     0.51    45.36     9.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.07     6.02     4.50     0.20    27.14     5.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.07     6.18    10.35     0.10    20.48     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.67     6.18     8.41     0.12    22.54     4.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.39     6.10    -0.06     0.04     9.45     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.96     6.01    -6.33     0.02     5.72     0.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            31   38   +3      60.23     5.77     5.65     0.00     0.76     0.19P    0.57R    0.03  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.05     5.89     0.89     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.43R    0.01  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.11     5.52    -9.74     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.55R    0.29  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.24     6.12    -3.43     0.00     0.55     0.10P    1.83R    0.12  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.59     5.86   -21.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.16R    2.53  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      49.02     5.16   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.88R    5.65  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.73     5.44   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.05R    5.43  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.20     6.70   -19.83     0.00     0.18     0.04P   12.02R    2.20  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.22     5.97     8.10     0.00     0.06     0.02P    3.93R    0.47  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.61     6.68    -4.96     0.00     0.18     0.04P    9.11R    1.52  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.68     5.53   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.98R   18.27  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.34     5.30   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.14R   28.10  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.12     6.07   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.31R   35.37  

Adjustments:
Crawley            -10