Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 February 2007 at 05:27:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Portsmouth vs Manchester_C; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.80     3.83    61.05    92.47    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.46     4.26    38.56     7.49    89.22    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.86     4.31    29.92     0.01     3.59    91.08    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.64     4.66    38.62     0.03     7.26    91.72    99.42     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.70     4.59     2.67     0.00     0.02     7.26    62.45     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.83     4.56     9.60     0.00     0.00     5.84    58.03     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.43     4.66     9.26     0.00     0.01     1.01    23.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.35     4.65    13.47     0.00     0.00     3.06    47.21     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.13     4.60    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.58     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.15     4.37    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.64     4.74    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.21R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.03     4.40    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.85     4.54    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.36R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.39     4.40   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.66     4.02   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.64R    0.05  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.80     4.37   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.93R    0.01  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.40     4.95   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.40R    0.31  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.84     3.70   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.80R   48.56  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.37     4.30   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.35R   18.65  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.90     4.27   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   32.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, West_Bromwich vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.47     5.21    18.49    44.65    69.75    97.76    75.67P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    32   56  +21      80.44     5.34    29.31    11.05    28.59    84.73    43.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.41     5.34    21.81     9.81    25.62    83.41    39.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.47     6.03    27.53    27.55    49.54    91.03    59.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.30     5.23    20.57     2.29     8.28    59.16    21.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.22     5.22    14.25     1.15     4.28    41.66    12.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      73.82     5.25    13.42     0.85     3.67    38.10    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   51  +18      74.94     5.31    25.61     1.64     6.17    51.20    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.60     5.32     0.96     0.09     0.50    13.05     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      73.14     5.51    19.38     0.92     3.59    37.10    13.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.50     5.39     1.00     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.42     5.19     1.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P    0.17R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.95     5.34    -5.01     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    0.53R    0.04  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.52     5.46     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.56R    0.02  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.75     5.39    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P    1.09R    0.10  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.52     5.01   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.99R    0.75  
Leicester        31   37   -7      56.03     5.35    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.17R    0.31  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.47     5.48   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.74R    1.18  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.72     5.16   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.02R   10.02  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.64     5.07   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.10R    9.37  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.34     5.53   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.51R    5.13  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.49     4.92   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.49R   21.14  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.54     5.07   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.46R   14.96  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.70     5.07   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R   36.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Tranmere vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.12     5.37    38.46    50.97    79.58    99.51    85.78P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.29     5.45    33.45    32.83    66.56    98.72    76.97P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      82.02     5.58    19.23    10.06    28.55    93.20    44.26P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.61     5.54    19.68     2.80     9.88    77.64    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.60     5.64    18.04     2.21     9.55    77.72    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.06     5.35    12.26     0.09     0.73    33.02     7.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.40     5.56    17.48     0.17     0.96    32.34     8.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.64     6.15    14.67     0.62     2.86    46.05    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.09     5.80    14.80     0.24     1.31    35.72     9.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.00     5.30    -9.00     0.01     0.01     2.71     0.34P    0.43R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.56     5.31    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.14P    1.56R    0.00  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      57.15     5.25   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    6.32R    0.08  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.25     5.65    -4.27     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.15P    2.12R    0.04  
Millwall            31   39   -6      57.09     5.49    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.63R    0.11  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.82     5.87    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.09P    6.20R    0.17  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.53     5.33    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    9.99R    0.38  
Brighton            31   36   -8      52.00     5.41   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    28.19R    1.53  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      53.94     5.50    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   15.99R    0.69  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.13     5.17    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.07R    1.51  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.52     5.33   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.20R    2.72  
Leyton_Orient       31   34  -13      49.74     5.33   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.63R    3.90  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.08     5.16   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.38R    8.29  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.28     4.58   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.23R   67.42  
Rotherham           30   25   -4      46.87     5.90    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.05R   13.16  

Adjustments:
Rotherham           -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.61     4.98    37.13    54.63    89.25    99.97    93.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      86.13     5.18    25.58    14.72    64.06    99.44    74.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.70     5.53    24.58    15.78    59.54    99.11    70.50P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.25     5.33    23.61     5.73    34.59    97.16    49.16P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.86     5.49    22.35     8.81    45.20    97.55    56.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      73.79     5.45    13.49     0.23     3.63    64.03    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.83     5.28    12.05     0.04     1.73    56.60    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.87     5.38     7.74     0.00     0.09    17.59     3.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.36     5.18    -1.35     0.00     0.01     3.71     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      61.77     5.55    -3.19     0.00     0.01     3.98     0.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.48     5.50    -3.68     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.61     5.61     0.95     0.00     0.03     4.92     0.96P    0.02R    0.01  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.53     5.34   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.15P    0.09R    0.00  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.72     5.35   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.42R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.21     6.23    24.56     0.06     1.85    48.97    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.91     5.57     1.90     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.36P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.91     5.57    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.69R    0.09  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.82     5.05   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.64R    1.79  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.64     5.34   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    5.12R    1.04  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.33     5.83     3.82     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    1.39R    0.17  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.23     4.99   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.13R    9.01  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.99     5.40   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.39R    4.04  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.41     5.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.55R   16.37  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.22     4.75   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.42R   67.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.54     5.55    47.53    86.94    99.86    91.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.11     5.48    34.30     8.65    91.62    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.62     5.64    14.69     0.73    50.03    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.08     5.85    11.80     1.38    58.15    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.47     6.19    18.66     1.11    56.72    14.96P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.79     6.22    10.28     0.57    43.30     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            31   48   +3      70.27     5.66     5.69     0.04    16.70     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      72.17     6.11     4.59     0.23    26.36     5.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.10     6.21    10.39     0.17    18.99     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.84     6.27     8.71     0.12    22.58     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.08     6.19    -0.52     0.04     8.35     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.95     6.03    -6.35     0.01     5.33     0.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.00     5.90     0.82     0.00     1.02     0.18P    0.52R    0.03  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      55.09     5.53    -9.71     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.62R    0.27  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.06     6.15    -3.72     0.00     0.47     0.06P    2.29R    0.21  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.71     5.97   -21.04     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.56R    2.40  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.88     5.15   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.84R    6.01  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.82     5.46   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.68R    5.49  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.37     6.74   -19.59     0.00     0.17     0.03P   12.15R    2.12  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.38     6.06     8.26     0.00     0.07     0.03P    4.05R    0.49  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.99     6.60    -4.44     0.00     0.20     0.02P    8.16R    1.14  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.81     5.53   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.33R   17.36  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.25     5.34   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R   29.22  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.21     6.10   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.81R   35.26