Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 February 2007 at 21:34:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Portsmouth vs Manchester_C; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    27   66  +45      89.97     3.78    61.44    93.44    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   60  +29      81.39     4.27    38.58     6.49    88.91    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +21      70.85     4.32    29.91     0.02     3.82    90.89    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.64     4.67    38.64     0.06     7.33    92.00    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.47     4.65     2.25     0.00     0.02     6.75    60.19     0.00     0.00  
Reading         27   43   +7      59.92     4.57     9.71     0.00     0.00     6.03    59.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   41  +10      55.42     4.63     9.29     0.00     0.00     1.14    23.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   39   +9      58.48     4.63    13.63     0.00     0.00     3.17    49.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       27   36   -2      51.00     4.58    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.43     0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   34   -8      49.15     4.38    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.06R    0.00  
Tottenham       26   33   -8      48.70     4.72    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.00     0.14R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   27   32   -3      48.03     4.40    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.12R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   32   -5      45.86     4.50    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.42R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.17     4.36   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.19R    0.00  
Sheffield_U     27   30  -12      41.79     4.06   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.56R    0.07  
Manchester_C    26   30  -12      41.90     4.34   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.01R    0.05  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.39     4.93   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.30R    0.34  
West_Ham        27   20  -24      27.82     3.72   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   49.46  
Charlton        27   20  -27      31.44     4.28   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.41R   17.82  
Watford         26   18  -22      28.88     4.21   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.05R   32.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, West_Bromwich vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            32   63  +12      86.34     5.21    18.38    43.38    68.83    97.64    74.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    32   56  +21      80.40     5.35    29.21    10.89    28.48    84.14    43.33P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   56  +14      80.44     5.30    21.95     9.95    26.23    83.80    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.56     6.03    27.64    28.99    50.60    91.31    61.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   53  +14      76.21     5.21    20.46     2.29     8.31    58.07    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   53  +11      74.10     5.23    14.12     1.15     4.25    40.25    12.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       32   53  +11      74.07     5.23    13.79     1.10     4.04    40.48    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       32   51  +18      75.05     5.25    25.69     1.47     5.67    52.37    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   50   +0      69.48     5.34     0.82     0.07     0.48    12.44     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      73.07     5.43    19.30     0.72     3.08    36.41    13.12P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         32   43   -1      63.50     5.48     1.03     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.38P    0.09R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   +2      60.54     5.21     1.15     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.08P    0.25R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      32   41   -4      59.94     5.35    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.45R    0.01  
Burnley          31   39   +0      59.47     5.51     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.09P    0.59R    0.04  
Ipswich          32   39   -4      58.82     5.39    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.94R    0.10  
Coventry         32   38  -10      53.69     5.06   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.79R    0.65  
Leicester        31   37   -7      56.00     5.45    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.43R    0.40  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.35     5.53   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.12R    1.27  
Queens_PR        32   33  -15      47.77     5.16   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.28R    9.98  
Hull             32   32  -12      47.69     5.09   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R    9.12  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.37     5.55   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.21R    4.86  
Barnsley         32   32  -20      45.33     4.86   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.60R   21.45  
Southend         32   31  -16      46.44     5.10   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.01R   15.49  
Leeds            31   30  -22      43.76     5.11   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.42R   36.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Tranmere vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              31   58  +24      88.08     5.40    38.41    51.63    79.24    99.50    85.79P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.22     5.44    33.40    32.49    66.40    98.67    76.03P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   31   56  +11      82.01     5.58    19.21     9.85    29.11    92.57    44.57P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              31   54  +15      77.56     5.45    19.60     2.61     9.82    77.19    27.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        31   53  +12      77.57     5.61    17.94     2.22     9.38    76.95    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            32   49   +8      71.27     5.30    12.59     0.10     0.69    33.91     8.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             31   47  +13      70.36     5.58    17.44     0.12     0.91    32.03     8.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.66     6.11    14.66     0.78     3.07    45.90    12.35P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           30   46  +10      71.33     5.77    15.11     0.20     1.36    37.11    10.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            32   46   -6      63.15     5.24    -8.86     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.47P    0.49R    0.00  
Huddersfield        32   42   -5      60.66     5.28    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P    2.02R    0.02  
Gillingham          32   41  -14      56.96     5.22   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.61R    0.18  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.12     5.64    -4.50     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.24P    3.36R    0.07  
Millwall            31   39   -6      56.94     5.50    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    9.57R    0.19  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.78     5.75    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    7.98R    0.17  
Bradford            32   37   -4      55.63     5.28    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   12.79R    0.45  
Brighton            31   36   -8      51.87     5.35   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    35.80R    1.93  
Chesterfield        31   35   -3      53.94     5.45    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   19.91R    0.69  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      56.79     5.89    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   10.78R    0.52  
Northampton         32   35   -7      52.25     5.19    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.20R    1.76  
Bournemouth         31   34   -9      50.69     5.35   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   43.33R    3.00  
Leyton_Orient       31   34  -13      49.65     5.31   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   53.30R    5.02  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.14     5.28   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.50R    9.43  
Brentford           32   29  -25      40.11     4.61   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R   76.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          32   64  +26      90.69     5.00    37.24    56.30    90.32    99.96    93.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       32   61  +17      85.98     5.18    25.42    14.29    63.85    99.33    74.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.49     5.55    24.27    15.19    59.15    98.97    69.83P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   59  +17      82.18     5.31    23.55     5.61    35.72    96.97    50.33P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.51     5.53    21.70     8.22    43.62    97.44    54.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   53  +11      73.96     5.41    13.70     0.21     3.56    66.00    17.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   51   +8      72.57     5.25    11.78     0.09     1.56    54.30    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   46   +5      66.86     5.37     7.79     0.00     0.14    17.02     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   45   +1      62.50     5.26    -1.21     0.00     0.01     4.16     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   43   -1      62.26     5.56    -2.41     0.00     0.01     4.55     0.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     32   42   -4      61.60     5.44    -3.48     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.60     5.65     0.88     0.00     0.01     4.88     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.63     5.46   -10.09     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    0.11R    0.01  
Barnet           31   39   -8      55.68     5.35   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P    0.49R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.29     6.30    24.64     0.07     2.06    49.58    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        31   38   +0      59.77     5.56     1.70     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.31P    0.10R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.74     5.54    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.77R    0.07  
Grimsby          32   35  -20      48.76     4.99   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.60R    1.70  
Accrington       31   33   -8      50.65     5.35   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.12R    0.96  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.44     5.89     3.98     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    1.72R    0.27  
Boston           32   31  -22      45.22     5.04   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.55R    8.95  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.90     5.47   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.68R    4.10  
Wrexham          31   30  -23      43.61     5.00   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.10R   15.45  
Torquay          32   25  -22      37.15     4.71   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.75R   68.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 February 2007, Weymouth vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          30   61  +30      93.63     5.53    47.65    87.33    99.86    91.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         31   54  +22      83.29     5.36    34.56     8.68    92.54    42.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   52  +10      75.68     5.65    14.80     0.72    50.26    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          30   52   +7      77.33     5.84    12.17     1.41    60.09    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             29   48  +11      76.53     6.14    18.74     0.89    57.47    14.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          29   48   +5      74.61     6.27    10.08     0.48    42.15     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            31   48   +3      70.42     5.64     5.85     0.03    17.16     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             29   48   +3      71.92     5.99     4.26     0.20    24.43     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          29   45   +8      70.11     6.17    10.45     0.12    19.25     3.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          29   45   +5      70.81     6.21     8.62     0.13    22.07     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   45   +1      67.15     6.14    -0.41     0.01     8.27     1.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           29   45   -3      65.67     5.96    -6.74     0.00     4.51     0.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Woking             30   38   -1      61.12     5.91     1.03     0.00     1.06     0.17P    0.46R    0.01  
Forest_Green       31   38   -4      54.99     5.50    -9.88     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.84R    0.28  
Rushden_&_D        29   36   -2      58.46     6.18    -3.14     0.00     0.49     0.11P    1.89R    0.17  
Stafford_Rangers   29   34  -14      52.60     5.93   -21.22     0.00     0.01     0.01P   15.43R    2.58  
Cambridge_U        32   33  -12      48.94     5.19   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.04R    5.92  
St_Albans          31   33  -14      49.79     5.42   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.29R    5.33  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.16     6.64   -19.87     0.00     0.14     0.03P   12.24R    2.16  
Grays              30   31   +3      56.44     5.93     8.36     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.85R    0.38  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.80     6.64    -4.68     0.00     0.17     0.04P    8.34R    1.19  
Altrincham         30   30  -15      45.66     5.54   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.27R   18.14  
Southport          31   28  -13      43.23     5.39   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.89R   29.14  
Tamworth           28   25  -16      43.17     6.11   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.39R   34.69