Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 February 2007 at 21:33:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      90.00     3.86    63.49    94.31    99.80   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.45     4.48    36.51     5.54    79.94    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      73.07     4.58    32.14     0.10    11.12    96.03    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.61     4.71    38.41     0.06     9.12    92.31    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.47     4.61     2.32     0.00     0.03     5.33    65.61     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.45     4.79     7.97     0.00     0.01     3.30    51.20     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.47     4.78     9.18     0.00     0.00     0.70    21.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.44     4.98    13.57     0.00     0.00     2.29    45.47     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      49.95     4.58    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.07     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.76     4.87    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.90     0.14R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.30     5.01    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.10     5.43     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.76     4.53    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.94     4.82    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.61     0.29R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.19     4.37   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.10R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.42     4.46   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     3.98R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.02     4.31   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.11R    0.22  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.23     4.96   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.01R    0.33  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.77     4.08   -34.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R   26.18  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.41     4.30   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.55R   16.36  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.64     4.52   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   56.90  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.51     5.52    19.46    44.99    69.84    98.44    76.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.85     5.53    24.41    15.69    37.37    91.91    51.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.33     5.60    30.15    10.96    29.59    87.97    45.01P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.72     5.96    27.85    23.73    45.40    92.52    57.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.31     5.50    19.99     2.15     7.42    60.78    20.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.66     5.47    14.43     1.17     4.11    46.83    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.63     5.52    10.46     0.28     1.27    26.95     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      72.69     5.50    18.68     0.42     1.92    36.10    12.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.53     5.51    22.85     0.57     2.92    42.77    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.81     5.51    -1.76     0.03     0.12     6.68     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.62     5.71     4.11     0.01     0.04     5.21     1.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.63     5.55     3.24     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.28P    0.09R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.77     5.56    -5.94     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.09P    0.51R    0.03  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.34     5.58     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.18P    0.34R    0.01  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.78     5.75     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.24P    0.30R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.39     5.55   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.00R    0.69  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.42     5.26   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.40R    0.39  
Leicester        30   34   -9      53.11     5.58   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.21R    0.98  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.54     5.51   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    2.60  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.44     5.54   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.43R    3.12  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.25     5.24   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.69R    8.39  
Hull             31   31  -12      46.82     5.22   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.77R    8.56  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.20     5.28   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.80R   29.89  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.55     5.27   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.26R   45.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Port_Vale vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      85.92     5.46    32.96    37.66    67.83    98.53    77.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.08     5.67    36.93    42.09    70.29    98.27    78.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.81     5.74    18.79    10.10    26.95    89.28    41.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        30   52  +12      78.75     5.85    19.29     5.46    16.91    81.06    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.13     5.78    15.55     1.92     6.34    60.56    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      72.08     5.86    18.90     0.78     3.08    43.05    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      73.13     6.15    15.36     1.13     4.42    48.53    14.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      72.85     5.96    16.41     0.78     3.54    47.05    14.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.37     5.57    11.20     0.09     0.54    23.47     5.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.08     5.52    -4.73     0.01     0.11     6.19     1.03P    0.18R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.84     5.47    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.14P    3.52R    0.03  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.37     5.60    -4.17     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.26P    2.74R    0.02  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.81     5.87    -8.07     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.12P    8.35R    0.17  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.21     5.50   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   18.35R    0.43  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.39     5.65    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    8.60R    0.14  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.73     5.72   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.89R    0.81  
Millwall            30   36   -7      55.06     5.69   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   17.95R    0.45  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.41     5.71    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   14.39R    0.26  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.15     5.91    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    9.78R    0.26  
Northampton         31   35   -6      53.24     5.41    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   25.00R    0.81  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.31     5.69   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.24R    1.23  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.09     5.22   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.59R    6.22  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.19     5.50   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.82R    7.75  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.14     4.82   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.56R   81.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.77     5.18    40.14    70.31    95.05    99.98    96.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.55     5.53    24.40    11.95    62.44    99.06    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.87     5.49    22.76     6.99    50.25    97.91    64.00P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.50     5.53    21.65     6.58    47.25    97.56    57.99P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.72     5.50    24.46     3.94    36.02    96.15    50.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.52     5.65    12.99     0.07     3.04    55.62    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.27     5.52    12.22     0.09     3.23    59.81    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.83     5.55     7.27     0.01     0.20    18.43     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   43   +0      63.90     5.72    -0.87     0.00     0.08     8.45     1.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       31   42   -1      60.79     5.52    -3.32     0.00     0.01     2.77     0.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.68     5.69     0.97     0.00     0.07     5.66     1.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.66     5.39   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.66     5.68   -12.07     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.21P    0.30R    0.04  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.78     5.70    -6.79     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.38P    0.14R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.26     6.12    24.56     0.07     2.35    50.15    16.87P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.77     5.83     2.11     0.00     0.01     3.70     0.83P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.74     5.49    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P    0.67R    0.10  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.73     5.91     4.42     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    1.31R    0.21  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.48     5.24   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.57R    5.92  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.61     5.31   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.37R    6.41  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.67     5.63   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   11.88R    3.21  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.02     5.39   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   18.16R    4.37  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.70     5.31   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.57R   12.82  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.52     4.85   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.84R   66.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Aldershot vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.60     5.62    51.37    92.20    99.97    95.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.88     5.72    34.87     6.00    92.80    41.03P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.53     6.00     9.95     0.18    36.27     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.44     6.08    10.74     0.37    47.99     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.39     6.45    11.69     0.47    53.81    12.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.50     6.35     5.42     0.23    35.16     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      71.05     5.93     6.26     0.01    21.50     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      75.02     6.47    17.99     0.36    48.12    11.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.61     6.38     0.81     0.04    13.78     2.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.24     6.29    -3.94     0.02    11.09     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          28   44   +5      70.74     6.39     7.95     0.08    23.14     4.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.25     6.34     8.91     0.03    13.51     2.62P    0.03R    0.01  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.46     6.06     1.95     0.00     2.04     0.41P    0.24R    0.02  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.25     5.72   -11.06     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.65R    0.99  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.86     6.26    -7.33     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.12R    0.78  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.25     6.65   -19.76     0.00     0.15     0.03P   10.97R    1.87  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.70     5.72   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.77R    5.43  
Grays              29   31   +5      58.67     6.19    11.73     0.00     0.40     0.07P    1.92R    0.23  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      49.89     6.10   -23.68     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.29R    6.34  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.90     6.56    -4.55     0.00     0.10     0.03P    7.31R    1.08  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.87     5.80   -19.90     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.27R    9.29  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.26     5.30   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.40R   13.62  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.63     5.60   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.67R   27.84  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.64     6.27   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.36R   32.50