Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 February 2007 at 21:32:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      89.83     3.89    63.25    94.20    99.78   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.33     4.55    36.28     5.64    79.44    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      72.95     4.58    31.95     0.07    11.38    95.80    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.57     4.70    38.40     0.09     9.38    92.06    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.64     4.65     2.59     0.00     0.02     5.83    66.39     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.45     4.80     7.91     0.00     0.01     3.35    50.96     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.63     4.82     9.45     0.00     0.00     0.68    22.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.45     4.96    13.57     0.00     0.01     2.37    45.28     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      49.94     4.56    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.80     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.94     4.81    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.75     0.12R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.27     5.04    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     5.17     0.14R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.79     4.63    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.21     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.83     4.77    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.31R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.25     4.39   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.10R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.29     4.51   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.12R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.03     4.30   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.38R    0.23  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.24     4.95   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.73R    0.28  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.66     4.10   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   27.49  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.52     4.36   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   15.91  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.78     4.48   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.36R   56.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.72     5.46    19.70    46.12    70.95    98.61    76.86P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.77     5.54    24.35    15.11    36.56    91.61    50.45P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.48     5.59    30.35    11.42    29.89    88.30    46.03P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.71     5.99    27.85    22.98    45.06    92.41    57.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.37     5.46    20.14     1.90     7.60    61.58    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.65     5.50    14.40     1.10     3.87    47.02    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.43     5.53    10.20     0.27     1.22    25.92     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      72.76     5.48    18.79     0.47     2.05    36.74    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.42     5.48    22.70     0.58     2.54    42.23    13.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.83     5.54    -1.74     0.03     0.18     6.70     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.47     5.66     3.91     0.02     0.06     5.01     0.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.76     5.57     3.42     0.01     0.01     1.82     0.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.71     5.59    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.11P    0.53R    0.04  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.15     5.66     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.13P    0.39R    0.01  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.59     5.70     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.18P    0.38R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.24     5.52   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.40R    0.80  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.67     5.32   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.00R    0.40  
Leicester        30   34   -9      53.07     5.60   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.07R    1.15  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.62     5.49   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.88R    2.69  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.41     5.56   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.73R    3.29  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      46.95     5.21   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.71R    9.56  
Hull             31   31  -12      47.19     5.23   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.89R    8.04  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.46     5.24   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.50R   28.00  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.57     5.29   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.44R   46.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Port_Vale vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.17     5.41    33.31    38.98    69.33    98.73    78.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.17     5.71    37.11    41.28    69.94    98.30    78.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.81     5.88    18.83     9.85    26.66    88.82    41.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        30   52  +12      78.63     5.87    19.05     5.03    16.10    80.60    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.01     5.84    15.36     1.77     6.21    60.05    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      71.84     5.83    18.53     0.69     2.56    41.27    12.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      73.35     6.11    15.70     1.35     4.79    49.51    14.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      73.06     6.04    16.60     0.97     3.75    48.16    15.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.41     5.54    11.34     0.06     0.56    24.09     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.21     5.53    -4.60     0.03     0.09     6.53     1.14P    0.27R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.98     5.51    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.13P    3.41R    0.01  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.34     5.61    -4.19     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.17P    3.02R    0.03  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.72     5.81    -8.22     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.08P    8.44R    0.10  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.40     5.45   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   16.81R    0.29  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.24     5.69    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    9.29R    0.14  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.73     5.65   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.62R    0.67  
Millwall            30   36   -7      54.98     5.74   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   18.30R    0.36  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.43     5.68    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   14.26R    0.24  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.05     5.80    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P    9.62R    0.20  
Northampton         31   35   -6      53.12     5.40    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.34R    0.86  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.31     5.70   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.17R    1.12  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      47.98     5.24   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.97R    6.38  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.17     5.44   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.88R    7.59  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.10     4.82   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   81.99  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.85     5.22    40.31    70.39    95.14    99.99    96.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.72     5.47    24.66    11.96    63.88    99.08    73.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.75     5.47    22.61     6.85    48.90    97.82    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.52     5.52    21.65     6.41    46.91    97.53    57.84P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.78     5.45    24.68     4.11    36.40    96.28    50.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.48     5.70    12.93     0.09     2.79    55.20    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.43     5.50    12.45     0.10     3.16    61.27    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.70     5.62     7.05     0.00     0.20    17.73     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   43   +0      63.96     5.89    -0.81     0.00     0.07     9.07     1.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       31   42   -1      60.94     5.46    -3.09     0.00     0.01     2.77     0.58P    0.01R    0.01  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.54     5.70     0.86     0.00     0.04     5.46     1.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.56     5.37   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.53     5.67   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.17P    0.28R    0.03  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.98     5.73    -6.48     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.35P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.18     6.31    24.49     0.08     2.50    49.66    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.79     5.79     2.12     0.00     0.01     3.58     0.79P    0.10R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.77     5.47    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.67R    0.06  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.55     5.91     4.13     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.09P    1.42R    0.29  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.55     5.25   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    5.85  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.57     5.31   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.09R    6.45  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.55     5.60   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.96R    2.99  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.96     5.43   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.11R    4.63  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.82     5.38   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.33R   12.80  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.48     4.87   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.61R   66.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Aldershot vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.58     5.64    51.33    92.81    99.98    95.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.65     5.69    34.58     5.29    92.18    40.91P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.31     5.92     9.57     0.18    35.19     7.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.13     6.10    10.33     0.35    46.27     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.05     6.43    11.19     0.52    52.77    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.61     6.40     5.69     0.28    36.10     7.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      71.02     6.01     6.21     0.01    22.34     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      75.01     6.43    17.91     0.32    48.62    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.74     6.41     0.96     0.04    14.01     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.22     6.29    -3.98     0.04    11.28     1.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          28   44   +5      70.92     6.38     8.26     0.13    24.07     4.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.43     6.40     9.20     0.03    14.08     2.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.44     6.13     1.87     0.00     2.21     0.48P    0.23R    0.01  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.24     5.73   -11.09     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.79R    0.94  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.84     6.29    -7.38     0.00     0.12     0.03P    6.25R    0.74  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.66     6.76   -19.14     0.00     0.18     0.01P   10.29R    1.76  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.98     5.71   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.38R    5.00  
Grays              29   31   +5      58.75     6.20    11.78     0.00     0.41     0.12P    1.67R    0.18  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      49.96     6.05   -23.53     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.82R    5.99  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.88     6.63    -4.61     0.00     0.17     0.03P    7.31R    1.07  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      48.03     5.80   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.43R    8.91  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.29     5.36   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.00R   13.29  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.55     5.57   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.29R   27.86  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.32     6.34   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R   34.24