Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 February 2007 at 21:32:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      89.77     3.92    62.97    94.17    99.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.34     4.52    36.30     5.57    78.93    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      73.10     4.58    32.16     0.17    12.27    96.00    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.63     4.68    38.42     0.09     9.02    92.22    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.68     4.63     2.71     0.00     0.05     5.84    67.22     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.49     4.81     8.03     0.00     0.01     3.12    50.60     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.68     4.84     9.51     0.00     0.00     0.64    22.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.43     4.98    13.59     0.00     0.01     2.19    44.56     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      50.00     4.59    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.83     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.58     4.79    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.18R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.25     4.99    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.20     0.11R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.95     4.52    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.23     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.77     4.74    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.31R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.11     4.38   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     2.17R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.41     4.56   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     4.25R    0.02  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.00     4.28   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.21R    0.23  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.27     4.92   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.55R    0.21  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.82     4.11   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.29R   26.16  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.44     4.34   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.35R   16.18  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.66     4.47   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.44R   57.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.74     5.46    19.71    46.51    71.32    98.67    77.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.68     5.54    24.21    14.95    36.09    91.38    49.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.33     5.63    30.13    11.36    29.65    87.96    44.88P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.59     6.01    27.73    22.36    44.60    92.13    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.30     5.51    20.01     2.08     7.64    60.68    20.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.62     5.50    14.31     1.18     4.25    46.97    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.61     5.51    10.47     0.31     1.28    26.64     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      72.82     5.50    18.96     0.59     2.25    36.94    12.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.56     5.51    22.96     0.63     2.67    42.90    13.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.96     5.47    -1.49     0.01     0.15     6.84     1.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.63     5.66     4.15     0.01     0.06     5.08     1.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.63     5.54     3.23     0.01     0.01     1.59     0.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.81     5.56    -5.79     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.11P    0.55R    0.01  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.23     5.60     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.20P    0.30R    0.00  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.54     5.75     1.00     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.24P    0.45R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.31     5.63   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     9.24R    0.66  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.57     5.26   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     6.82R    0.42  
Leicester        30   34   -9      53.18     5.68   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.30R    1.01  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.34     5.50   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.96R    2.79  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.32     5.59   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.73R    3.36  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.11     5.20   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.83R    8.62  
Hull             31   31  -12      47.24     5.30   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.52R    7.47  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.32     5.29   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.95R   29.11  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.42     5.23   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.27R   46.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Port_Vale vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          31   58  +22      86.04     5.48    33.14    37.70    68.10    98.55    77.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.36     5.67    37.36    42.67    71.23    98.69    79.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.98     5.81    18.99    10.41    27.56    89.75    42.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        30   52  +12      78.47     5.92    18.83     4.89    15.67    79.86    31.02P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.18     5.81    15.58     1.79     6.56    61.67    20.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      72.03     5.92    18.79     0.62     2.73    43.34    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.93     6.15    15.10     1.10     4.17    47.60    13.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      72.69     5.96    16.14     0.73     3.39    46.19    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.35     5.57    11.17     0.08     0.51    23.70     5.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.29     5.55    -4.53     0.00     0.07     6.82     1.05P    0.27R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.88     5.50    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.14P    3.58R    0.01  
Port_Vale           31   40   -4      60.20     5.59    -4.42     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.18P    3.18R    0.03  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.66     5.83    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.12P    8.82R    0.14  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.34     5.48   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   17.59R    0.44  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.25     5.59    -3.38     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P    8.72R    0.17  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.95     5.65   -12.90     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   23.27R    0.74  
Millwall            30   36   -7      55.25     5.78   -10.97     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   17.17R    0.36  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.32     5.73    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   15.02R    0.34  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.32     5.93    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.14P    9.69R    0.22  
Northampton         31   35   -6      53.07     5.39    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   25.91R    0.79  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.00     5.71   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.22R    1.32  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.06     5.27   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.00R    6.24  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.48     5.53   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.02R    7.08  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.11     4.87   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   82.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Bristol_Rovers vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.78     5.16    40.25    70.62    95.25    99.99    96.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.58     5.50    24.51    12.20    62.66    99.06    72.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.78     5.43    22.60     6.57    49.08    98.09    62.62P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.66     5.47    21.92     6.49    48.48    97.55    58.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.64     5.56    24.40     3.88    35.72    95.98    49.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.47     5.64    13.01     0.10     3.00    55.79    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.45     5.53    12.45     0.09     3.35    61.67    18.37P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.68     5.56     7.08     0.01     0.26    17.93     4.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   43   +0      63.88     5.84    -0.92     0.00     0.10     8.65     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       31   42   -1      60.97     5.51    -3.04     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.63     5.68     0.95     0.00     0.03     5.62     1.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.72     5.45    -9.97     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.16P    0.07R    0.01  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.74     5.69   -11.98     0.01     0.01     0.97     0.20P    0.34R    0.04  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.93     5.73    -6.53     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.28P    0.11R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      70.89     6.28    24.01     0.04     2.06    48.34    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.71     5.88     2.03     0.00     0.01     3.76     0.90P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.80     5.51    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    0.67R    0.04  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.53     5.89     4.11     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.10P    1.50R    0.23  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.50     5.26   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.41R    5.96  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.40     5.35   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.00R    7.12  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.66     5.60   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.37R    2.99  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.03     5.48   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.23R    4.62  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.98     5.31   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.69R   11.84  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.51     4.86   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.47R   67.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 February 2007, Aldershot vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.45     5.63    51.20    92.22    99.96    95.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.76     5.67    34.70     5.96    92.83    41.01P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.40     5.88     9.69     0.17    35.16     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.35     6.07    10.63     0.40    48.16     9.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.22     6.47    11.44     0.49    53.03    11.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.65     6.42     5.68     0.30    36.06     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      70.81     6.02     5.91     0.03    21.07     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      75.16     6.42    18.22     0.28    49.30    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      69.08     6.31     1.39     0.04    14.81     2.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.01     6.28    -4.33     0.03    10.61     1.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          28   44   +5      70.73     6.42     8.07     0.09    22.75     4.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.30     6.33     9.00     0.02    13.40     2.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.26     6.15     1.66     0.00     2.02     0.41P    0.39R    0.01  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.43     5.72   -10.77     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.23R    0.86  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.86     6.28    -7.34     0.00     0.10     0.01P    6.37R    0.71  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.45     6.78   -19.47     0.00     0.19     0.03P   11.08R    1.91  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.88     5.66   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.70R    5.12  
Grays              29   31   +5      58.61     6.21    11.64     0.00     0.34     0.06P    1.98R    0.16  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      49.98     6.09   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.74R    6.30  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.90     6.64    -4.59     0.00     0.20     0.04P    7.70R    1.16  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.91     5.87   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.28R    9.41  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.28     5.37   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.78R   13.85  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.63     5.58   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.93R   27.66  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.55     6.35   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.78R   32.84