Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 February 2007 at 21:33:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      89.84     3.89    63.16    94.10    99.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.44     4.54    36.45     5.76    79.51    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      73.07     4.60    32.13     0.10    11.54    96.08    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.55     4.71    38.34     0.04     9.11    91.72    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.55     4.63     2.43     0.00     0.03     5.93    65.99     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.43     4.80     7.96     0.00     0.00     3.42    51.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.66     4.84     9.48     0.00     0.00     0.83    23.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.33     4.91    13.41     0.00     0.01     2.06    43.95     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      50.00     4.60    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.12     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.76     4.84    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.14R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.19     5.03    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.55     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.89     4.57    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.09R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.90     4.77    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.17     4.36   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.09R    0.01  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.43     4.47   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.60R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.07     4.33   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.27R    0.26  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.11     4.90   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.91R    0.30  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.82     4.14   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.02R   26.35  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.36     4.32   -34.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.00R   16.86  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.74     4.46   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.39R   56.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.67     5.42    19.74    46.02    70.68    98.69    76.78P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.87     5.48    24.48    15.68    36.95    92.48    51.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.53     5.59    30.37    11.69    30.55    88.64    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.63     5.94    27.74    22.46    44.63    92.38    56.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.24     5.45    19.91     1.72     6.95    60.24    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.76     5.53    14.52     1.14     4.29    47.91    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.55     5.50    10.36     0.24     1.17    26.16     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      72.91     5.52    19.06     0.54     2.29    37.27    12.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.26     5.51    22.45     0.49     2.33    40.70    12.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.80     5.52    -1.71     0.02     0.12     6.42     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.74     5.67     4.26     0.01     0.04     5.38     1.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.52     5.53     3.09     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.39P    0.10R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      60.06     5.52    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P    0.61R    0.03  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.08     5.65     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.17P    0.43R    0.02  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.64     5.78     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.23P    0.41R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.40     5.52   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     8.89R    0.62  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.58     5.30   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.12R    0.50  
Leicester        30   34   -9      53.04     5.52   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.83R    0.90  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.15     5.54   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.04R    3.46  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.41     5.62   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.21R    3.60  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.04     5.18   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.91R    8.91  
Hull             31   31  -12      47.01     5.32   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.28R    8.41  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.42     5.16   -29.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.48R   27.73  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.57     5.32   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.67R   45.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 February 2007, Scunthorpe vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.17     5.67    37.03    46.58    72.58    98.47    80.47P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          30   55  +19      84.59     5.76    30.34    31.13    60.61    97.04    71.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.61     5.77    18.59    10.79    28.15    88.64    42.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        30   52  +12      78.51     5.85    18.89     5.93    17.71    80.84    33.17P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.17     5.85    15.57     2.24     7.58    60.91    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      71.93     5.87    18.69     0.80     3.15    42.54    12.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      73.10     6.15    15.39     1.46     5.31    48.38    15.16P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      72.95     5.98    16.44     0.89     4.10    48.19    15.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.46     5.58    11.40     0.14     0.65    24.45     6.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.31     5.55    -4.48     0.05     0.14     6.75     1.19P    0.34R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.92     5.51    -7.84     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.14P    3.52R    0.03  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.73     5.86    -8.16     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.12P    9.04R    0.14  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.44     5.47   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   17.45R    0.40  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.02     5.66    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.10P    9.94R    0.20  
Port_Vale           30   37   -5      58.46     5.84    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.16P    7.05R    0.10  
Millwall            29   36   -4      56.37     5.99    -8.30     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   13.59R    0.24  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.91     5.70   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   24.84R    0.64  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.37     5.70    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   15.53R    0.29  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.05     5.84    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P   10.09R    0.24  
Northampton         30   35   -5      54.61     5.66    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   19.58R    0.57  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.26     5.68   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    34.55R    1.24  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.10     5.27   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.58R    6.31  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.19     5.47   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.50R    7.93  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.25     4.90   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.38R   81.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Torquay vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.87     5.21    40.39    70.28    94.96   100.00    96.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.65     5.54    24.53    12.06    62.37    98.89    72.14P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.77     5.47    22.57     6.47    48.81    97.72    62.47P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.69     5.46    22.05     6.67    48.08    97.51    58.58P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.86     5.49    24.78     4.21    36.34    96.07    50.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.62     5.69    13.19     0.14     3.52    54.72    15.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.33     5.55    12.26     0.10     3.09    59.51    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.78     5.62     7.16     0.01     0.23    17.42     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   43   +1      66.01     6.09     1.20     0.01     0.28    15.58     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.45     5.65     0.73     0.00     0.04     4.84     1.14P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.87     5.37    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.15P    0.09R    0.01  
Darlington       30   39   -2      58.52     5.65    -5.15     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.22P    0.14R    0.03  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.73     5.65   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.14P    0.28R    0.03  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.96     5.73    -6.51     0.00     0.01     1.91     0.38P    0.19R    0.05  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.21     6.21    24.53     0.05     2.29    48.66    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.68     5.91     2.00     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.77P    0.11R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.74     5.44    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.10P    0.58R    0.07  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.51     5.87     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.10P    1.28R    0.17  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.49     5.27   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.77R    6.05  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.46     5.34   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.94R    6.74  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.37     5.60   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    12.63R    3.23  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      47.02     5.43   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.11R    4.33  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.62     5.33   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R   12.70  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.46     4.91   -33.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.22R   66.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.76     5.60    51.75    92.62    99.97    95.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.95     5.68    35.03     5.67    93.26    41.87P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.48     5.94     9.82     0.13    37.02     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.43     6.07    10.70     0.40    49.20    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.37     6.55    11.67     0.49    54.44    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.45     6.39     5.44     0.23    35.43     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      71.06     5.96     6.26     0.00    22.89     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      74.94     6.47    17.84     0.31    48.24    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.84     6.35     1.07     0.04    14.24     2.52P    0.01R    0.01  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.05     6.23    -4.23     0.04    10.71     1.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.22     6.39     8.84     0.04    14.03     2.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.81     6.69     6.43     0.04    16.59     3.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.37     6.13     1.74     0.00     2.23     0.40P    0.27R    0.01  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.32     5.70   -10.90     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.36R    0.77  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.85     6.37    -7.31     0.00     0.17     0.03P    6.48R    0.76  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.27     6.71   -19.74     0.00     0.17     0.03P   10.79R    2.01  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.62     5.67   -22.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.34R    5.36  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.44     6.52    13.32     0.00     1.25     0.39P    1.27R    0.10  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      49.90     6.11   -23.72     0.00     0.01     0.01P   26.55R    6.54  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.96     6.58    -4.49     0.00     0.16     0.03P    7.21R    1.18  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.96     5.92   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.44R    9.49  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.21     5.36   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.98R   14.10  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.81     5.54   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.50R   26.30  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.44     6.30   -26.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.78R   33.39