Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 February 2007 at 21:33:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      89.83     3.91    63.13    94.28    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.32     4.57    36.27     5.49    79.11    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      72.99     4.62    31.95     0.15    11.54    95.71    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.59     4.70    38.39     0.07     9.54    92.07    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.75     4.63     2.79     0.00     0.04     6.11    67.65     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.54     4.75     8.05     0.00     0.01     3.21    50.65     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.60     4.85     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.63    22.41     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.44     4.92    13.55     0.00     0.01     2.31    44.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      49.96     4.67    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.22     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.76     4.77    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.14R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.09     5.02    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     5.13     0.15R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.99     4.54     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.31     0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.85     4.75    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.38     0.34R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.12     4.33   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.20R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.36     4.51   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     4.03R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      39.99     4.34   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.73R    0.26  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.28     4.91   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.38R    0.26  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.80     4.10   -34.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.78R   26.45  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.42     4.29   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R   15.97  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.68     4.47   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.41R   57.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.64     5.48    19.60    45.86    70.58    98.57    76.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.73     5.48    24.24    15.10    36.10    91.94    50.37P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.33     5.66    30.19    11.09    29.68    87.45    45.24P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.73     6.02    27.88    23.39    45.25    92.36    57.80P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.12     5.46    19.68     1.77     7.13    59.61    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.86     5.55    14.68     1.26     4.62    47.83    14.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.73     5.46    10.60     0.29     1.32    26.99     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      72.87     5.57    19.03     0.61     2.40    37.11    11.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.53     5.50    22.90     0.58     2.67    42.38    13.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      67.08     5.57    -1.36     0.03     0.17     6.97     1.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.49     5.73     3.92     0.01     0.06     4.82     1.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.64     5.59     3.23     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.35P    0.07R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.81     5.51    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.54R    0.02  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.15     5.63     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.30R    0.01  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.51     5.79     1.06     0.01     0.01     0.79     0.18P    0.35R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.30     5.53   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.02R    0.61  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.43     5.28   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.39R    0.47  
Leicester        30   34   -9      53.28     5.65   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.57R    0.96  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.40     5.51   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.75R    2.92  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.24     5.51   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    3.37  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.01     5.20   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.35R    9.20  
Hull             31   31  -12      47.06     5.25   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.49R    8.19  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.39     5.18   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.02R   27.80  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.47     5.27   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.72R   46.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Yeovil vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.05     5.64    36.79    47.46    72.62    98.53    80.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.92     5.82    18.96    12.54    31.12    89.03    45.08P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.90     5.95    29.29    23.46    48.42    94.16    62.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        29   52  +13      79.89     6.11    19.96    10.52    26.68    84.81    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.13     5.72    15.53     2.21     7.32    60.65    20.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      71.99     5.84    18.76     0.85     3.23    42.49    13.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      73.20     6.15    15.44     1.67     5.34    48.81    15.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      72.94     6.01    16.53     1.18     4.46    47.31    15.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.48     5.63    11.37     0.10     0.68    24.32     6.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.17     5.53    -4.66     0.02     0.09     6.42     1.20P    0.25R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.89     5.50    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.14P    3.60R    0.01  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.77     5.87    -8.16     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.11P    8.82R    0.08  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.51     5.51   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   17.62R    0.40  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.22     5.62    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    9.18R    0.18  
Port_Vale           30   37   -5      58.71     5.83    -5.27     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.11P    6.24R    0.14  
Millwall            29   36   -4      56.25     5.99    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   14.12R    0.22  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.84     5.68   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   25.14R    0.79  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.37     5.74    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   15.53R    0.27  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      56.88     5.84    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   10.63R    0.23  
Northampton         30   35   -5      54.48     5.67    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.19R    0.49  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.15     5.70   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   35.32R    1.46  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.23     5.33   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.06R    6.04  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.24     5.45   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.67R    7.46  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.10     4.85   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   82.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Torquay vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.72     5.16    40.12    70.67    95.16    99.99    96.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.43     5.54    24.26    11.97    62.39    98.81    72.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.50     5.47    22.24     6.48    47.77    97.55    61.63P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.50     5.50    21.70     6.64    48.20    97.38    58.54P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.69     5.48    24.54     4.00    36.66    95.66    50.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.73     5.65    13.32     0.09     3.39    55.76    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.39     5.61    12.37     0.12     3.50    59.15    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.78     5.58     7.21     0.01     0.23    17.55     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   43   +1      66.13     6.07     1.27     0.00     0.35    15.81     3.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.72     5.67     1.07     0.00     0.04     5.39     1.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.76     5.47    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.13P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington       30   39   -2      58.48     5.64    -5.17     0.01     0.01     1.29     0.27P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.52     5.65   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.12P    0.24R    0.01  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.97     5.73    -6.52     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.38P    0.16R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.08     6.22    24.33     0.03     2.28    47.35    16.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.81     5.87     2.17     0.00     0.03     3.69     0.84P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.56     5.46    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.73R    0.06  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.67     5.82     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    1.31R    0.20  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.51     5.26   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.15R    6.14  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.52     5.30   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.03R    6.86  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.58     5.65   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.20R    3.19  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.96     5.48   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.25R    5.03  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.83     5.36   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.94R   12.54  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.67     4.83   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.67R   65.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.73     5.70    51.61    92.70    99.97    95.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.69     5.64    34.61     5.48    92.88    40.45P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.39     5.96     9.67     0.12    36.25     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.48     6.06    10.85     0.48    49.88    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.37     6.47    11.67     0.56    54.58    12.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.24     6.39     5.16     0.24    34.02     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      71.06     5.94     6.27     0.00    22.34     4.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      74.99     6.55    17.87     0.24    48.67    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.70     6.44     0.90     0.06    14.28     2.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.06     6.26    -4.24     0.03    11.01     1.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.40     6.43     9.13     0.02    14.60     2.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      69.18     6.64     7.05     0.05    17.75     3.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.31     6.06     1.68     0.00     2.02     0.40P    0.24R    0.01  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.32     5.67   -10.93     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.29R    0.87  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.96     6.38    -7.13     0.00     0.18     0.06P    6.38R    0.66  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.32     6.69   -19.66     0.00     0.13     0.03P   10.83R    1.87  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.71     5.61   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.34R    5.29  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.39     6.49    13.24     0.00     1.29     0.34P    1.25R    0.10  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      50.04     6.10   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.59R    6.18  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.97     6.59    -4.49     0.00     0.14     0.03P    7.09R    1.16  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.90     5.82   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.19R    9.29  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.05     5.39   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.23R   14.16  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.72     5.62   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.21R   27.00  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.47     6.30   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.30R   33.40