Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 February 2007 at 21:33:33 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 February 2007, Tottenham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    26   63  +43      89.94     3.88    63.37    94.34    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.37     4.50    36.42     5.46    80.00    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      73.02     4.59    32.10     0.14    11.49    95.84    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.52     4.68    38.28     0.05     8.71    91.92    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.52     4.67     2.42     0.00     0.02     5.88    65.47     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.54     4.82     8.08     0.00     0.00     3.42    51.21     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.57     4.87     9.33     0.00     0.00     0.67    22.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.48     4.96    13.62     0.00     0.01     2.31    45.51     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      49.91     4.61    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.94     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.82     4.82    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.83     0.12R    0.00  
Tottenham       25   33   -7      50.28     5.00    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.50     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.77     4.50    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.03     0.07R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.91     4.73    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.28R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.11     4.37   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.00R    0.01  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.48     4.53   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.69R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.08     4.32   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.57R    0.23  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.33     4.95   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.27R    0.29  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.67     4.03   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.90R   26.21  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.37     4.26   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.22R   16.76  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.67     4.46   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.69R   56.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.60     5.54    19.58    45.14    69.50    98.50    76.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.92     5.52    24.54    15.84    37.63    92.03    51.51P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.41     5.60    30.20    11.13    29.56    88.12    45.30P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.83     6.00    28.09    23.59    45.78    92.64    57.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.12     5.51    19.70     1.86     6.92    59.45    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.62     5.51    14.32     1.11     4.15    46.93    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.53     5.47    10.34     0.28     1.21    26.59     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      73.01     5.53    19.20     0.48     2.33    38.30    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.42     5.55    22.66     0.55     2.74    42.15    13.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.71     5.53    -1.87     0.01     0.10     6.16     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.56     5.70     4.01     0.01     0.05     5.26     1.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.70     5.57     3.32     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.42P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.91     5.51    -5.64     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.04P    0.49R    0.02  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.02     5.65     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    0.45R    0.01  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.57     5.80     1.08     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.27P    0.40R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.33     5.53   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.13R    0.72  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.70     5.30   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.21R    0.50  
Leicester        30   34   -9      52.86     5.62   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.95R    1.11  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.39     5.50   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    2.81  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.52     5.54   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.46R    2.96  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.09     5.18   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.29R    8.88  
Hull             31   31  -12      47.09     5.27   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.89R    8.37  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.30     5.15   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.71R   29.27  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.66     5.31   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.31R   45.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Yeovil vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.30     5.65    37.28    48.65    73.54    98.61    81.23P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.89     5.82    18.94    12.23    30.58    89.45    44.32P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.98     6.02    29.44    23.50    49.00    94.06    62.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        29   52  +13      79.70     6.10    19.71     9.77    25.32    84.32    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.09     5.83    15.43     2.30     7.54    60.08    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      72.01     5.92    18.75     0.86     3.37    43.10    13.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      72.93     6.26    15.05     1.48     5.12    47.23    14.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      73.05     6.02    16.66     1.02     4.62    48.27    16.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.59     5.53    11.56     0.17     0.81    24.58     6.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.28     5.53    -4.51     0.01     0.09     6.69     1.17P    0.23R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.76     5.50    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.12P    3.96R    0.02  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.94     5.88    -7.93     0.01     0.01     0.57     0.12P    8.54R    0.10  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.45     5.45   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   17.34R    0.43  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.24     5.68    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    9.05R    0.17  
Port_Vale           30   37   -5      58.53     5.84    -5.48     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.08P    6.72R    0.11  
Millwall            29   36   -4      56.23     6.01    -8.55     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   14.29R    0.26  
Brighton            30   36   -7      54.00     5.79   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   24.55R    0.69  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.12     5.73    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   16.70R    0.30  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.10     5.83    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.04P   10.09R    0.21  
Northampton         30   35   -5      54.72     5.66    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P   18.80R    0.39  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.31     5.72   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    33.63R    1.27  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      48.10     5.28   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.97R    5.67  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.00     5.38   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.31R    7.56  
Brentford           31   26  -26      37.98     4.82   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.80R   82.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Torquay vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.94     5.21    40.44    71.66    95.19    99.98    96.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.51     5.50    24.42    11.44    62.47    99.05    72.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.61     5.44    22.39     5.97    48.27    97.92    62.24P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.67     5.52    21.92     6.86    48.58    97.40    59.31P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.72     5.47    24.57     3.90    36.42    95.75    50.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.47     5.68    12.94     0.09     3.07    54.09    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.31     5.49    12.26     0.07     3.02    59.62    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.91     5.51     7.44     0.00     0.24    18.20     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   43   +1      66.08     6.08     1.28     0.01     0.33    15.71     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.63     5.71     0.96     0.00     0.05     5.55     1.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.88     5.42    -9.80     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Darlington       30   39   -2      58.62     5.70    -4.98     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.31P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.66     5.63   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.15P    0.23R    0.01  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      59.97     5.77    -6.47     0.00     0.01     1.99     0.41P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      70.98     6.21    24.19     0.02     2.33    47.27    16.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.70     5.85     2.03     0.00     0.01     3.46     0.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.70     5.40    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.58R    0.06  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.63     5.83     4.27     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.12P    1.34R    0.28  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.47     5.20   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    5.96  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.45     5.28   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.34R    7.00  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.48     5.61   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.34R    3.69  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.81     5.44   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.68R    5.29  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.70     5.28   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.28R   12.68  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.69     4.84   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.60R   65.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.60     5.65    51.43    92.19    99.95    94.93P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.98     5.70    35.10     5.97    92.97    41.80P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.37     5.97     9.63     0.15    35.73     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.59     6.10    11.01     0.45    50.13    10.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.45     6.53    11.80     0.57    54.78    12.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.47     6.35     5.47     0.23    35.78     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      70.85     5.98     5.94     0.03    21.50     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      74.97     6.43    17.90     0.28    48.82    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.69     6.36     0.83     0.04    13.89     2.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.17     6.25    -4.11     0.02    11.09     1.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.39     6.29     9.12     0.02    14.31     2.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.95     6.69     6.70     0.04    17.33     3.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.22     6.11     1.56     0.00     1.97     0.39P    0.24R    0.01  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.21     5.75   -11.11     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.06R    0.99  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.72     6.19    -7.52     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.33R    0.74  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.53     6.74   -19.37     0.00     0.18     0.04P   10.39R    1.77  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.74     5.71   -22.05     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.52R    5.56  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.51     6.47    13.42     0.00     1.20     0.34P    1.24R    0.10  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      49.75     6.04   -24.02     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.88R    6.42  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.90     6.64    -4.63     0.00     0.20     0.06P    7.70R    1.09  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.90     5.84   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.01R    9.55  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.32     5.32   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.25R   13.38  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.82     5.61   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.60R   26.88  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.46     6.26   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.73R   33.49