Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 February 2007 at 01:16:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Middlesbrough vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    25   60  +39      88.25     4.26    58.83    89.39    99.23   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   57  +26      80.38     4.54    36.32    10.04    80.06    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   50  +22      72.98     4.62    32.03     0.37    11.56    95.76    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   46  +25      71.39     4.70    38.11     0.19     9.06    91.31    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          26   44   +3      60.71     4.63     2.73     0.00     0.07     6.19    65.86     0.00     0.00  
Reading         26   40   +5      58.42     4.78     7.89     0.00     0.01     3.40    49.26     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   38   +9      54.71     4.84     9.59     0.00     0.00     0.74    22.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   36   +8      57.50     4.98    13.66     0.00     0.01     2.36    43.97     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -7      49.89     4.57    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.67     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   33   -3      48.86     4.86    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.65     0.12R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.79     5.25    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.30     9.53     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   32   +0      48.82     4.48    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.80     0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   32   -3      46.90     4.78    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.28     0.33R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32  -11      43.22     4.38   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     2.00R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   30  -11      42.53     4.56   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.79R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     26   27  -13      40.04     4.33   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.20  
Wigan           25   25  -15      41.04     4.95   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     9.27R    0.33  
West_Ham        26   20  -23      29.76     4.13   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.61R   26.00  
Charlton        26   20  -25      31.41     4.27   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.67R   15.71  
Watford         25   15  -23      26.52     4.43   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.81R   57.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Stoke vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            31   62  +12      87.62     5.46    19.60    45.45    70.31    98.51    76.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   56  +15      82.89     5.50    24.52    15.63    37.45    92.05    50.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    31   55  +21      81.37     5.63    30.16    10.93    29.37    87.86    44.95P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   54  +18      83.74     5.99    27.90    23.50    45.10    92.59    57.60P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +14      76.10     5.47    19.69     1.77     6.93    59.31    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   52  +11      74.70     5.51    14.49     1.18     4.25    47.27    14.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       31   50   +9      71.47     5.47    10.25     0.30     1.16    25.64     6.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   49  +14      73.06     5.43    19.26     0.55     2.38    38.60    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       31   48  +15      73.47     5.54    22.79     0.66     2.84    42.59    13.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   47   -1      66.96     5.53    -1.55     0.02     0.14     6.71     1.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         31   43   +1      65.69     5.70     4.23     0.01     0.04     5.12     0.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   42   +3      62.42     5.49     2.93     0.00     0.01     1.48     0.32P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      31   40   -4      59.86     5.53    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.47R    0.01  
Ipswich          31   39   -2      61.25     5.65     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.20P    0.30R    0.01  
Burnley          30   38   +0      60.48     5.81     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.25P    0.39R    0.01  
Norwich          30   37  -10      53.34     5.52   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.79R    0.78  
Coventry         31   37  -10      53.70     5.33   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.13R    0.43  
Leicester        30   34   -9      52.91     5.60   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.44R    1.08  
Queens_PR        31   33  -10      50.61     5.47   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    2.67  
Luton            31   32  -14      50.35     5.59   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    3.31  
Barnsley         31   32  -17      47.09     5.20   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.27R    8.85  
Hull             31   31  -12      46.88     5.26   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.28R    8.74  
Southend         31   28  -21      43.41     5.21   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.56R   27.80  
Leeds            30   27  -23      41.47     5.28   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.95R   46.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Yeovil vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              30   55  +23      86.14     5.69    37.07    48.23    73.13    98.42    81.04P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   30   53  +10      80.71     5.79    18.69    11.70    30.12    89.22    43.90P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.89     6.06    29.26    23.48    48.66    93.71    61.84P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        29   52  +13      79.75     6.13    19.79    10.27    26.30    84.26    39.84P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              30   51  +12      75.00     5.77    15.34     2.30     7.41    60.42    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             30   47  +14      71.87     5.88    18.58     0.94     3.17    41.84    12.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           29   47  +11      73.27     6.17    15.54     1.82     5.82    49.91    15.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           29   46  +11      72.90     5.99    16.44     1.13     4.42    47.63    15.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            31   46   +7      69.57     5.59    11.51     0.11     0.86    24.67     6.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            31   46   -3      65.22     5.49    -4.56     0.03     0.11     6.33     1.01P    0.28R    0.00  
Huddersfield        31   41   -5      59.96     5.50    -7.84     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.13P    3.58R    0.04  
Crewe               30   38   -4      57.77     5.86    -8.17     0.01     0.01     0.52     0.10P    8.97R    0.18  
Gillingham          31   38  -15      55.45     5.54   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   17.91R    0.52  
Bradford            31   37   -3      57.16     5.56    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    9.22R    0.13  
Port_Vale           30   37   -5      58.58     5.86    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    6.75R    0.10  
Millwall            29   36   -4      56.40     5.93    -8.35     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.03P   13.56R    0.31  
Brighton            30   36   -7      53.93     5.73   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.69R    0.77  
Chesterfield        30   35   -2      55.33     5.77    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.08P   15.94R    0.26  
Rotherham           30   35   -4      57.06     5.84    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   10.27R    0.21  
Northampton         30   35   -5      54.59     5.63    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.05P   19.31R    0.48  
Leyton_Orient       30   34   -8      52.28     5.70   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.41R    1.28  
Cheltenham          31   32  -14      47.90     5.19   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.87R    6.39  
Bournemouth         30   31  -14      47.40     5.56   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.62R    7.12  
Brentford           31   26  -26      38.13     4.88   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   82.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, Torquay vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          31   64  +28      92.94     5.21    40.45    71.58    95.11    99.98    96.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     31   60  +17      85.40     5.56    24.23    11.05    61.37    98.83    71.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       31   58  +15      83.87     5.38    22.77     6.58    49.94    98.08    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    31   58  +13      83.65     5.46    21.93     6.61    48.35    97.58    58.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   56  +16      81.64     5.46    24.51     3.92    35.99    95.78    50.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        31   50  +10      72.53     5.64    13.00     0.14     3.18    54.41    14.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   50   +8      73.42     5.49    12.38     0.09     3.17    60.09    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   45   +5      66.67     5.49     7.04     0.00     0.20    16.95     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   43   +1      66.02     6.16     1.16     0.00     0.29    15.57     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          30   41   +1      62.80     5.68     1.24     0.00     0.01     5.63     1.28P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford         31   41   -6      58.87     5.45    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.15P    0.13R    0.01  
Darlington       30   39   -2      58.66     5.65    -4.92     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.25P    0.10R    0.02  
Barnet           30   39   -7      57.57     5.66   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.15P    0.23R    0.01  
Peterborough     31   39   -7      60.00     5.70    -6.42     0.00     0.01     1.89     0.29P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   38  +11      71.07     6.23    24.26     0.04     2.37    47.77    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        30   38   +1      60.79     5.87     2.12     0.00     0.02     3.62     0.74P    0.06R    0.01  
Bury             31   37   -4      55.60     5.49    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.74R    0.06  
Rochdale         30   32   +3      54.70     5.84     4.37     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    1.35R    0.21  
Grimsby          31   32  -21      46.60     5.22   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.35R    5.25  
Boston           31   31  -20      46.33     5.25   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.03R    6.89  
Accrington       30   30   -9      48.46     5.59   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.40R    3.13  
Macclesfield     31   30  -12      46.98     5.40   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    4.59  
Wrexham          30   30  -20      44.68     5.33   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.35R   12.73  
Torquay          31   25  -21      37.44     4.85   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.86R   67.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 February 2007, York vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.66     5.62    51.56    92.22    99.96    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         30   53  +22      83.97     5.71    34.99     5.95    92.76    41.35P    0.00     0.00  
York               30   49   +6      73.28     5.95     9.55     0.14    35.12     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.45     6.10    10.75     0.42    48.64    10.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.45     6.51    11.69     0.56    54.97    12.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             28   48   +4      73.42     6.34     5.39     0.22    35.56     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            30   47   +3      70.92     5.96     6.05     0.03    22.05     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             28   45  +10      75.29     6.50    18.41     0.29    50.95    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.83     6.39     1.02     0.07    14.43     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           28   45   -2      68.06     6.30    -4.22     0.01    10.87     1.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.29     6.49     8.96     0.04    14.48     2.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.84     6.62     6.54     0.03    16.39     3.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.24     6.22     1.59     0.00     2.15     0.43P    0.28R    0.02  
Forest_Green       30   35   -5      53.25     5.73   -10.99     0.00     0.03     0.00     8.74R    0.99  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.88     6.32    -7.32     0.00     0.17     0.03P    6.28R    0.81  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.23     6.68   -19.77     0.00     0.12     0.04P   11.31R    2.06  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.56     5.66   -22.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.42R    5.82  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.32     6.46    13.12     0.00     1.17     0.27P    1.31R    0.14  
Stafford_Rangers   28   31  -15      50.24     6.18   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.89R    6.26  
Halifax            27   30   -3      54.97     6.58    -4.52     0.00     0.18     0.04P    7.16R    1.14  
Altrincham         29   30  -11      47.81     5.80   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.98R    9.47  
Cambridge_U        31   30  -14      46.21     5.33   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.25R   13.65  
Southport          30   27  -13      43.86     5.62   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.11R   26.45  
Tamworth           27   24  -16      43.54     6.28   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.20R   33.19