Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 February 2007 at 21:32:53 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, Manchester_U vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    25   60  +39      88.23     4.27    58.77    90.25    98.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +25      79.45     4.82    36.48     8.41    68.69    99.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   49  +22      74.24     4.83    33.53     0.94    19.34    97.25    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.18     4.92    38.94     0.39    13.04    93.70    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          25   41   +2      59.26     4.89     1.93     0.00     0.04     3.71    56.95     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38  +10      56.59     5.20    11.28     0.00     0.01     2.01    40.31     0.00     0.00  
Reading         25   37   +3      56.17     5.07     4.88     0.00     0.00     1.43    34.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.75     5.18    12.05     0.00     0.00     1.95    42.06     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   33   -2      50.40     5.18    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.69     0.14R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.93     5.21    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.15    11.21     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   31   +0      48.78     4.86    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.06     0.21R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   31   -8      48.70     4.85    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.42     0.27R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.40     4.91   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     2.38R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     25   29   -4      46.38     5.06    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.72     0.83R    0.01  
Fulham          25   29  -12      41.49     4.67   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     6.61R    0.06  
Sheffield_U     25   27  -12      40.79     4.59   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.49R    0.28  
Wigan           24   22  -16      38.88     5.19   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.18R    1.69  
West_Ham        25   20  -22      30.32     4.29   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.11R   29.24  
Charlton        25   20  -24      32.07     4.49   -35.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.02R   17.14  
Watford         24   15  -22      27.88     4.76   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.72R   51.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, West_Bromwich vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            30   59  +11      85.54     5.74    17.99    36.12    60.26    95.72    67.82P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   53  +18      83.65     6.29    27.25    28.80    49.56    91.11    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   53  +13      80.76     5.83    21.69    12.55    29.05    84.09    42.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    30   52  +20      79.87     5.87    29.39    10.45    26.14    81.11    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   52  +15      78.30     5.76    22.01     6.67    17.27    71.92    30.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.50     5.75    13.11     1.28     4.13    38.66    11.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   48  +14      74.75     5.71    21.27     1.95     6.20    50.60    19.78P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   47  +15      74.00     5.85    23.05     1.75     5.60    46.26    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       30   47   +7      70.04     5.74     8.47     0.36     1.27    19.07     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   46   -1      67.46     5.72    -1.22     0.04     0.30     8.70     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         30   42   +1      65.70     5.92     3.80     0.02     0.10     5.76     1.35P    0.04R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      30   40   -2      61.66     5.83    -2.98     0.01     0.02     1.44     0.29P    0.28R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   30   39   +1      60.67     5.76     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.20P    0.43R    0.03  
Ipswich          30   39   +0      62.85     5.84     2.77     0.00     0.04     2.08     0.48P    0.20R    0.01  
Burnley          29   38   +2      62.71     6.04     4.30     0.01     0.04     2.56     0.67P    0.18R    0.01  
Coventry         30   37   -8      54.78     5.50   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.03R    0.27  
Norwich          29   34  -11      52.01     5.80   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.59R    1.85  
Leicester        29   33   -9      54.09     5.94   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.56R    0.91  
Barnsley         30   32  -15      48.08     5.42   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.49R    6.83  
Hull             30   31  -11      48.21     5.46   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.62R    5.74  
Luton            30   31  -14      50.17     5.75   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.05R    3.92  
Queens_PR        30   30  -12      48.21     5.74   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.01R    7.48  
Southend         30   27  -21      42.36     5.28   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.33R   36.02  
Leeds            29   27  -22      42.53     5.51   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.20R   36.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, Bristol_City vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.80     5.95    36.65    36.13    59.27    94.81    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.09     6.00    29.65    23.91    44.80    91.00    58.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        29   52  +13      79.45     6.07    19.39     8.90    21.21    75.79    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   29   52  +10      81.47     6.05    19.22    14.90    31.71    84.66    43.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.46     6.10    17.90     5.44    13.71    64.77    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.25     6.09    21.09     2.07     6.38    47.08    16.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.77     6.35    21.08     5.34    13.20    62.20    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.57     6.15    19.20     3.03     8.54    54.03    20.61P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.42     5.77    11.82     0.25     1.12    21.05     5.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            30   43   -4      62.36     5.69    -7.27     0.01     0.04     1.80     0.33P    0.86R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.25     5.77    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    6.00R    0.02  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.72     5.70   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    9.64R    0.06  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.44     6.10    -3.73     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.15P    2.97R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.49     5.82    -3.52     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P    6.83R    0.01  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.61     5.99    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    6.70R    0.04  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.63     5.94    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    9.35R    0.03  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.55     6.06   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   13.49R    0.10  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.31     6.05   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   19.72R    0.21  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.55     6.08    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P    7.29R    0.06  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.78     6.14   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.80R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.41     5.97   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.99R    0.81  
Cheltenham          30   29  -15      45.56     5.39   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.18R    5.04  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.39     5.58   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.50R    6.64  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.47     4.80   -44.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.66R   86.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Peterborough vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          30   63  +28      94.22     5.48    41.86    72.72    96.64   100.00    97.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     30   60  +18      87.49     5.66    26.34    15.42    74.98    99.61    81.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      84.05     5.66    28.22     6.70    55.55    98.63    66.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.13     5.67    20.30     2.35    31.03    95.62    48.76P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.68     5.79    19.31     2.70    34.17    95.61    47.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        30   47   +8      70.60     5.93    10.55     0.04     1.84    47.52    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.81     5.79    10.44     0.03     2.17    54.91    15.30P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   42   +3      64.43     5.82     4.06     0.00     0.17    12.99     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         30   41   -4      60.63     5.69    -7.19     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.54P    0.04R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      63.98     6.35    -0.22     0.00     0.14    12.81     2.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   39   -6      61.17     5.91    -5.60     0.00     0.01     4.87     0.86P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.19     5.98    -1.36     0.00     0.02     4.02     0.81P    0.10R    0.01  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.84     5.96    -5.27     0.00     0.02     2.42     0.43P    0.21R    0.01  
Barnet           29   38   -7      58.66     5.89   -11.36     0.01     0.01     2.25     0.35P    0.23R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.54     6.49    24.60     0.04     3.22    57.33    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        29   37   +1      61.15     5.99     1.94     0.00     0.01     5.84     1.20P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             30   37   -2      57.73     5.76    -3.70     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.38P    0.32R    0.02  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      53.85     6.01     2.52     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    1.94R    0.40  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.22     5.63   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    7.58R    1.77  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.72     5.84   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.49R    1.61  
Wrexham          29   30  -18      46.40     5.57   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.30R    7.38  
Macclesfield     30   29  -12      47.40     5.63   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.21R    4.04  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      42.07     5.15   -42.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.12R   23.02  
Torquay          30   24  -21      37.53     5.16   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.28R   61.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 January 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.61     5.57    51.48    89.67    99.95    93.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         29   52  +22      85.42     5.87    36.64     8.51    94.70    44.52P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.45     6.17    14.37     0.41    54.75    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.46     6.12    10.79     0.34    47.81     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.47     6.43    11.77     0.47    54.24    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.76     6.55     5.37     0.28    35.49     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.88     6.38     1.19     0.04    13.88     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      68.85     6.27     3.45     0.01    13.79     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.55     6.49    -4.03     0.04    12.75     1.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.39     6.70    17.07     0.18    37.78     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.52     6.44     9.42     0.02    13.98     2.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      69.12     6.74     6.95     0.04    17.07     3.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.43     6.11     1.94     0.00     2.04     0.39P    0.23R    0.01  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.57     5.90    -8.91     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.19R    0.29  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      55.01     6.37    -7.22     0.00     0.16     0.04P    5.67R    0.40  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.56     6.73   -19.26     0.00     0.18     0.04P    9.10R    1.00  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.60     5.68   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.64R    3.33  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.38     6.54    13.24     0.00     1.15     0.29P    1.14R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.20     6.32   -23.02     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.66R    2.70  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.09     6.67    -4.33     0.00     0.16     0.04P    6.57R    0.58  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.60     6.19   -18.34     0.00     0.02     0.00    25.70R    3.99  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.65     5.47   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.90R   10.34  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.95     5.87   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.05R   27.63  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.58     6.45   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   49.68