Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 February 2007 at 21:32:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, Manchester_U vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    25   60  +39      88.31     4.29    58.77    90.53    98.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +25      79.40     4.80    36.37     7.91    67.74    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   49  +22      74.24     4.82    33.45     1.07    19.52    97.29    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.26     4.96    39.05     0.49    13.87    93.78    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          25   41   +2      59.23     4.89     1.85     0.00     0.03     3.45    56.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38  +10      56.68     5.17    11.35     0.00     0.00     1.82    40.20     0.00     0.00  
Reading         25   37   +3      56.22     5.08     4.91     0.00     0.00     1.35    35.12     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.93     5.20    12.31     0.00     0.01     2.35    42.16     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   33   -2      50.29     5.15    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.24     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.86     5.28    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.20    11.48     0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   31   +0      48.84     4.82    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.09     0.13R    0.00  
Blackburn       25   31   -8      48.79     4.87    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.44     0.27R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.24     4.91   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     2.41R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     25   29   -4      46.15     4.99    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.46     1.00R    0.01  
Fulham          25   29  -12      41.36     4.64   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     7.11R    0.09  
Sheffield_U     25   27  -12      40.72     4.56   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.35R    0.37  
Wigan           24   22  -16      38.90     5.16   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.18R    1.66  
West_Ham        25   20  -22      30.50     4.33   -34.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.31R   28.30  
Charlton        25   20  -24      31.97     4.50   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.09R   19.31  
Watford         24   15  -22      28.07     4.77   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.02R   50.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, West_Bromwich vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            30   59  +11      85.55     5.71    18.02    35.89    59.80    95.85    67.57P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   53  +18      83.79     6.29    27.38    29.53    50.98    91.47    61.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   53  +13      80.70     5.76    21.67    12.03    27.82    83.93    41.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    30   52  +20      79.93     5.92    29.51    10.48    26.48    80.90    41.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   52  +15      78.18     5.79    21.84     6.89    17.32    71.32    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.44     5.72    13.01     1.17     4.01    38.48    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   48  +14      74.81     5.64    21.30     1.88     6.29    50.80    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   47  +15      74.12     5.78    23.24     1.77     5.48    46.70    16.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       30   47   +7      70.13     5.76     8.61     0.28     1.26    19.51     5.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   46   -1      67.32     5.67    -1.43     0.05     0.34     8.17     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         30   42   +1      65.72     5.85     3.78     0.01     0.12     5.71     1.14P    0.02R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      30   40   -2      61.56     5.86    -3.16     0.01     0.02     1.34     0.24P    0.28R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   30   39   +1      60.68     5.76     0.76     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.23P    0.34R    0.02  
Ipswich          30   39   +0      63.06     5.86     3.05     0.01     0.03     2.21     0.48P    0.20R    0.01  
Burnley          29   38   +2      62.80     6.02     4.37     0.00     0.04     2.65     0.62P    0.17R    0.01  
Coventry         30   37   -8      54.76     5.48   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     4.95R    0.22  
Norwich          29   34  -11      51.95     5.82   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.73R    1.79  
Leicester        29   33   -9      53.87     5.89   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.03R    0.98  
Barnsley         30   32  -15      47.98     5.39   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.65R    6.79  
Hull             30   31  -11      48.14     5.59   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.69R    6.03  
Luton            30   31  -14      50.29     5.70   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.96R    3.71  
Queens_PR        30   30  -12      48.14     5.69   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.46R    7.03  
Southend         30   27  -21      42.57     5.32   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.97R   34.96  
Leeds            29   27  -22      42.41     5.50   -35.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.55R   38.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 31 January 2007, Bristol_City vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.85     5.87    36.53    36.38    59.70    95.02    70.16P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.04     6.05    29.51    23.56    44.80    90.49    57.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        29   52  +13      79.70     6.07    19.69     9.78    22.23    76.77    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   29   52  +10      81.47     6.00    19.27    14.57    30.87    84.95    43.46P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.44     6.06    17.87     5.17    13.50    64.19    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.18     6.08    20.99     1.93     5.88    46.38    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.93     6.29    21.38     5.41    13.54    62.97    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.44     6.19    19.08     2.94     8.27    53.34    19.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.32     5.82    11.72     0.26     1.18    21.38     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            30   43   -4      62.52     5.74    -7.07     0.01     0.04     1.72     0.31P    0.84R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.32     5.80    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    6.05R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.80     5.73   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    9.38R    0.07  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.31     6.17    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    3.39R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.04     5.82    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    8.18R    0.01  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.71     5.97    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    6.63R    0.01  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.68     6.02    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    9.02R    0.07  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.61     6.05   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   13.29R    0.15  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.38     6.06   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   19.17R    0.18  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.36     6.11    -4.23     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.05P    7.82R    0.07  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.65     6.13   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   22.02R    0.27  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.46     5.96   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.48R    0.84  
Cheltenham          30   29  -15      45.61     5.47   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.58R    5.25  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.54     5.57   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.62R    6.20  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.52     4.84   -44.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   86.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Peterborough vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          30   63  +28      94.38     5.34    42.07    72.90    97.00    99.99    98.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     30   60  +18      87.75     5.70    26.72    16.14    76.19    99.73    82.72P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      84.12     5.66    28.27     6.34    55.51    98.72    66.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.16     5.64    20.40     1.97    30.88    95.77    48.94P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.64     5.71    19.30     2.53    33.09    95.99    46.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        30   47   +8      70.39     5.93    10.29     0.02     1.68    45.72    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.60     5.78    10.15     0.03     1.95    53.18    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   42   +3      64.47     5.89     4.13     0.00     0.12    13.80     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         30   41   -4      60.62     5.64    -7.21     0.00     0.04     3.56     0.62P    0.05R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.10     6.27    -0.08     0.00     0.18    13.04     3.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   39   -6      61.27     5.98    -5.51     0.00     0.00     5.12     0.96P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.04     5.98    -1.57     0.00     0.03     3.79     0.79P    0.08R    0.01  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.92     5.95    -5.16     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.55P    0.17R    0.01  
Barnet           29   38   -7      58.49     5.87   -11.52     0.00     0.01     1.99     0.35P    0.28R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.69     6.42    24.85     0.07     3.29    58.34    19.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        29   37   +1      61.16     6.12     1.97     0.00     0.04     6.29     1.36P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             30   37   -2      57.63     5.70    -3.86     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.33P    0.30R    0.02  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      53.81     6.07     2.45     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.11P    2.00R    0.40  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.37     5.72   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.54R    1.77  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.54     5.78   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.71R    1.59  
Wrexham          29   30  -18      46.33     5.58   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.66R    7.59  
Macclesfield     30   29  -12      47.50     5.66   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.05R    4.25  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      41.99     5.18   -42.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.70R   23.81  
Torquay          30   24  -21      37.65     5.17   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.26R   60.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 January 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.60     5.68    51.37    89.36    99.91    93.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         29   52  +22      85.48     5.88    36.72     8.69    94.67    44.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.66     6.14    14.68     0.66    56.02    12.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.56     6.02    10.89     0.32    48.28     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.25     6.51    11.48     0.38    52.28    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.68     6.56     5.22     0.29    35.27     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      69.04     6.30     1.38     0.02    13.69     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.16     6.23     3.93     0.01    14.21     2.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.55     6.49    -4.03     0.06    12.62     1.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.74     6.72    17.56     0.14    40.09     9.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.25     6.42     8.92     0.03    12.94     2.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      69.01     6.68     6.81     0.04    16.18     2.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.37     6.15     1.74     0.00     1.98     0.43P    0.18R    0.01  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.62     5.93    -8.92     0.00     0.07     0.03P    4.83R    0.23  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.77     6.33    -7.45     0.00     0.14     0.02P    5.79R    0.34  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.38     6.66   -19.62     0.00     0.17     0.02P    9.13R    1.06  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.73     5.62   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.01P   23.12R    3.04  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.59     6.48    13.58     0.00     1.21     0.32P    0.89R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.17     6.31   -23.08     0.00     0.03     0.00    19.46R    2.76  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.13     6.73    -4.26     0.00     0.23     0.04P    6.36R    0.68  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.38     6.10   -18.60     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.46R    3.98  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.45     5.51   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.55R   11.36  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.85     5.81   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.25R   27.95  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.71     6.36   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.92R   48.55