Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 31 January 2007 at 21:32:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Reading vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.73     4.41    56.77    90.06    98.47   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.53     4.99    34.73     7.89    61.81    99.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   49  +22      74.31     4.88    33.68     1.58    23.90    96.30    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.23     4.99    39.03     0.47    15.66    91.51    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.99     5.23     4.16     0.00     0.12     7.58    67.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38  +10      56.63     5.20    11.27     0.00     0.01     1.90    37.27     0.00     0.00  
Reading         25   37   +3      56.10     5.05     4.65     0.00     0.00     1.21    31.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.92     5.21    12.36     0.00     0.03     2.06    40.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.87     5.29    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.22    10.26     0.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   31   +0      48.72     4.84    -0.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.62     0.17R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.44     5.01    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.39     0.18R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.40     5.43    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.38     0.51R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.40     4.88   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     2.02R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.72     5.34    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.95     0.42R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29  -12      41.33     4.63   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.48R    0.12  
Sheffield_U     25   27  -12      40.83     4.62   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     9.25R    0.28  
Wigan           24   22  -16      38.77     5.18   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.11R    1.95  
West_Ham        25   20  -22      30.24     4.29   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.06R   30.34  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.19     4.64   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.31R   24.84  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.71     4.99   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.42R   42.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Norwich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            30   59  +11      85.42     5.79    17.79    37.02    60.99    95.70    68.23P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   53  +18      83.66     6.27    27.22    29.64    51.23    91.63    61.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   53  +13      80.63     5.85    21.56    12.51    29.61    83.81    42.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.95     6.13    29.59     9.45    23.46    76.86    38.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.29     5.95    22.06     5.68    15.33    66.75    28.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.52     5.70    13.11     1.23     4.23    40.14    12.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   48  +14      74.78     5.66    21.21     2.12     6.91    51.80    20.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   47  +15      74.04     5.87    23.11     1.90     6.21    47.52    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       30   47   +7      69.89     5.64     8.20     0.28     1.11    19.07     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   46   -1      67.59     5.74    -1.07     0.07     0.41     9.57     2.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.56     6.13     3.88     0.07     0.35     8.52     2.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.36     6.06    -3.17     0.01     0.04     2.40     0.46P    0.27R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   30   39   +1      60.51     5.85     0.47     0.01     0.01     1.01     0.23P    0.40R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   39   +0      62.81     5.93     2.73     0.01     0.04     2.38     0.59P    0.20R    0.01  
Burnley          29   38   +2      62.84     6.02     4.46     0.02     0.07     2.68     0.69P    0.17R    0.01  
Coventry         30   37   -8      54.87     5.59   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.94R    0.29  
Norwich          29   34  -11      52.08     5.81   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.28R    1.83  
Leicester        29   33   -9      53.94     5.91   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.91R    0.81  
Barnsley         30   32  -15      47.94     5.42   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.25R    7.05  
Hull             30   31  -11      48.19     5.51   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.59R    6.24  
Luton            30   31  -14      50.38     5.83   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   21.26R    3.92  
Queens_PR        30   30  -12      48.33     5.72   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.23R    7.04  
Southend         30   27  -21      42.38     5.31   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.98R   35.99  
Leeds            29   27  -22      42.51     5.50   -35.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.46R   36.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 January 2007, Northampton vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.88     5.85    36.72    30.35    53.12    94.59    65.69P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.99     5.89    29.50    18.86    38.59    89.85    53.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.71     6.19    23.26    17.91    35.18    87.02    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.37     6.21    21.10    20.24    38.66    89.06    50.04P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.69     5.95    18.16     4.24    11.09    63.17    23.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.41     6.06    21.28     1.58     5.05    45.03    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.77     6.31    21.10     4.16    10.73    58.93    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.43     6.18    19.07     2.46     6.61    49.98    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.44     5.88    11.86     0.20     0.97    19.55     5.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      60.14     5.87    -9.13     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.07P    2.58R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.07     5.72   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    5.38R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.88     5.74   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    8.17R    0.04  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.31     6.14    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P    3.10R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.36     5.83    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    6.41R    0.04  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.57     5.99    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    6.01R    0.05  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.47     5.98    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    8.97R    0.03  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.65     6.12   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   12.18R    0.06  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.22     5.97   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   17.32R    0.20  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.45     6.10    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    7.00R    0.04  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.38     6.09   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    21.03R    0.26  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.69     5.95   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.92R    0.64  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.57     5.64   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.06R    5.79  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.46     5.47   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.32R   12.17  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.62     4.83   -44.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   80.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Peterborough vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          30   63  +28      94.38     5.34    42.10    73.54    96.90   100.00    97.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     30   60  +18      87.54     5.75    26.44    15.49    75.23    99.64    81.83P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      84.02     5.63    28.14     6.17    54.98    98.42    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.27     5.70    20.53     2.23    32.13    95.86    50.33P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.53     5.76    19.11     2.48    33.18    95.47    45.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        30   47   +8      70.31     5.98    10.18     0.02     1.76    45.15    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.64     5.79    10.22     0.03     1.84    53.84    14.96P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   42   +3      64.47     5.83     4.19     0.00     0.13    13.76     2.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         30   41   -4      60.66     5.74    -7.16     0.00     0.01     3.71     0.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.19     6.39     0.04     0.00     0.19    13.95     3.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     30   39   -6      61.14     5.90    -5.69     0.00     0.01     4.88     0.83P    0.07R    0.00  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.18     5.96    -1.36     0.00     0.03     3.97     0.95P    0.06R    0.01  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.86     5.98    -5.32     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.45P    0.21R    0.04  
Barnet           29   38   -7      58.44     5.94   -11.59     0.00     0.01     2.02     0.25P    0.27R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.68     6.48    24.76     0.04     3.54    58.19    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        29   37   +1      61.14     6.14     2.06     0.00     0.04     6.45     1.42P    0.09R    0.01  
Bury             30   37   -2      57.96     5.73    -3.39     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.42P    0.26R    0.01  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      53.79     6.02     2.46     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.12P    2.04R    0.39  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.18     5.65   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     7.83R    1.91  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.57     5.83   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    6.59R    1.50  
Wrexham          29   30  -18      46.20     5.63   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.84R    7.74  
Macclesfield     30   29  -12      47.74     5.67   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.98R    3.67  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      42.11     5.18   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.54R   22.86  
Torquay          30   24  -21      37.50     5.07   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R   61.85  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 January 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.46     5.66    51.17    88.98    99.96    92.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         29   52  +22      85.62     5.86    36.82     9.19    95.08    45.38P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.54     6.18    14.44     0.42    56.22    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.05     6.13    10.23     0.29    44.88     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.40     6.49    11.68     0.47    53.11    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.79     6.60     5.42     0.29    36.54     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.84     6.35     1.10     0.03    13.70     2.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      68.89     6.22     3.51     0.03    13.61     2.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.74     6.57    -3.76     0.01    13.43     2.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.83     6.82    17.74     0.23    40.84     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.14     6.36     8.70     0.03    12.71     2.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.90     6.74     6.60     0.04    16.14     3.01P    0.04R    0.01  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.51     6.09     1.95     0.00     2.04     0.35P    0.21R    0.01  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.52     5.92    -9.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.29R    0.30  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.94     6.31    -7.20     0.00     0.12     0.01P    5.39R    0.37  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.55     6.62   -19.32     0.00     0.11     0.01P    9.13R    0.87  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.77     5.68   -22.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.71R    3.04  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.56     6.48    13.50     0.00     1.23     0.32P    0.86R    0.07  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.28     6.35   -22.82     0.00     0.03     0.00    18.98R    2.60  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.21     6.62    -4.14     0.00     0.17     0.02P    5.98R    0.61  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.55     6.14   -18.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.41R    3.80  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.42     5.45   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.51R   10.94  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.78     5.81   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.95R   29.32  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.87     6.34   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.48R   48.05