Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 January 2007 at 22:44:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Reading vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.87     4.39    57.02    90.41    98.68   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.50     5.02    34.59     7.74    61.61    99.05    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   49  +22      74.30     4.81    33.57     1.28    22.98    96.39    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.43     4.96    39.26     0.57    16.55    92.31    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      61.03     5.15     4.19     0.00     0.12     7.12    67.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38  +10      56.57     5.20    11.21     0.00     0.03     1.69    37.48     0.00     0.00  
Reading         25   37   +3      56.08     5.13     4.62     0.00     0.01     1.31    31.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.64     5.21    11.97     0.00     0.01     1.83    38.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.87     5.31    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.17    10.38     0.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   31   +0      48.68     4.88    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.81     0.16R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.63     5.04    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.96     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.25     5.34    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.23     0.47R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.38     4.91   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     2.31R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.57     5.28    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.92     0.59R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29  -12      41.28     4.63   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     7.05R    0.10  
Sheffield_U     25   27  -12      40.81     4.55   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.71R    0.24  
Wigan           24   22  -16      38.81     5.14   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.14R    1.88  
West_Ham        25   20  -22      30.33     4.27   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.90R   30.12  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.24     4.64   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.97R   24.53  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.75     4.93   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.45R   43.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Norwich vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            30   59  +11      85.28     5.71    17.59    36.22    60.37    95.84    67.56P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   53  +18      83.51     6.34    26.94    29.77    50.36    90.94    60.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   53  +13      80.47     5.83    21.32    12.09    28.54    83.41    42.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      79.08     6.09    29.74     9.72    24.45    77.67    39.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.50     6.05    22.28     6.63    16.91    67.50    29.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.61     5.78    13.24     1.33     4.74    40.62    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   48  +14      74.66     5.69    21.04     1.99     6.71    50.73    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   47  +15      73.99     5.80    22.98     1.74     5.83    46.95    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       30   47   +7      70.14     5.76     8.60     0.33     1.32    20.52     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   46   -1      67.26     5.79    -1.54     0.09     0.40     8.88     1.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.36     6.10     3.46     0.05     0.25     8.48     1.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.51     6.02    -2.92     0.01     0.06     2.37     0.52P    0.26R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   30   39   +1      60.82     5.83     0.88     0.01     0.01     1.06     0.22P    0.34R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   39   +0      62.90     5.86     2.87     0.01     0.01     2.29     0.46P    0.21R    0.01  
Burnley          29   38   +2      62.70     6.11     4.22     0.01     0.06     2.63     0.72P    0.25R    0.00  
Coventry         30   37   -8      55.00     5.57   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     4.61R    0.32  
Norwich          29   34  -11      51.87     5.84   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.48R    2.11  
Leicester        29   33   -9      54.16     5.88   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.42R    0.89  
Barnsley         30   32  -15      48.02     5.43   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.56R    6.99  
Hull             30   31  -11      48.19     5.50   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.83R    5.86  
Luton            30   31  -14      50.28     5.79   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.23R    3.94  
Queens_PR        30   30  -12      48.12     5.74   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.34R    7.16  
Southend         30   27  -21      42.53     5.31   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.09R   35.50  
Leeds            29   27  -22      42.61     5.60   -35.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.34R   37.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 January 2007, Northampton vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.87     5.84    36.72    30.33    53.45    94.68    65.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.85     5.97    29.28    18.73    37.50    89.56    52.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.58     6.25    23.03    17.25    34.50    86.53    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.54     6.25    21.38    20.95    39.31    89.62    50.77P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.65     6.06    18.16     4.54    11.63    63.37    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.03     6.06    20.72     1.49     4.36    42.09    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.90     6.34    21.26     4.22    11.32    60.22    22.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.43     6.28    19.08     2.24     6.92    50.05    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.70     5.84    12.23     0.24     0.99    20.95     5.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      60.11     5.93    -9.17     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.11P    2.68R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.22     5.74   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    5.09R    0.02  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.67     5.73   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.01R    0.04  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.63     6.13    -3.42     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.17P    2.46R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.16     5.84    -4.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P    6.94R    0.03  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.65     6.00    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    6.06R    0.01  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.57     5.98    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    8.73R    0.01  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.41     6.07   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   12.52R    0.09  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.70     5.98   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   15.56R    0.14  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.48     6.15    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    7.09R    0.05  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.60     6.14   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   20.35R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.19     5.93   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.04R    0.74  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.69     5.59   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.36R    5.53  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.51     5.53   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.58R   11.97  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.45     4.85   -44.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.50R   81.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 January 2007, Peterborough vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          30   63  +28      94.26     5.40    41.98    71.98    96.89   100.00    97.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     30   60  +18      87.72     5.72    26.74    16.38    76.28    99.66    82.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      84.08     5.67    28.21     6.49    55.06    98.76    66.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.30     5.68    20.53     2.58    32.26    96.00    50.27P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.45     5.77    18.98     2.46    32.22    95.42    45.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        30   47   +8      70.32     5.91    10.22     0.01     1.64    45.70    11.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.78     5.74    10.37     0.03     2.00    55.27    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   42   +3      64.52     5.73     4.22     0.00     0.14    13.26     3.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         30   41   -4      60.84     5.70    -6.89     0.00     0.02     3.94     0.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.19     6.30     0.08     0.00     0.17    13.51     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   39   -6      61.27     5.89    -5.51     0.00     0.01     4.89     0.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.18     6.01    -1.37     0.00     0.03     3.97     0.92P    0.08R    0.00  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.84     5.95    -5.25     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.48P    0.17R    0.03  
Barnet           29   38   -7      58.35     5.88   -11.78     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.33P    0.26R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.45     6.53    24.42     0.07     3.21    56.54    19.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        29   37   +1      61.15     6.06     2.01     0.00     0.07     6.38     1.47P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             30   37   -2      57.89     5.81    -3.53     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.39P    0.29R    0.03  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      53.87     6.06     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.17P    1.86R    0.34  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.04     5.71   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     8.27R    1.88  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.75     5.90   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    6.62R    1.50  
Wrexham          29   30  -18      46.37     5.59   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.28R    7.25  
Macclesfield     30   29  -12      47.45     5.60   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.54R    3.97  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      41.93     5.15   -42.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.71R   23.64  
Torquay          30   24  -21      37.54     5.11   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.73R   61.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 January 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.64     5.64    51.62    89.29    99.96    93.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         29   52  +22      85.69     5.84    37.02     8.96    95.36    44.90P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.69     6.16    14.75     0.49    56.25    11.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.42     6.13    10.74     0.28    46.83     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.29     6.51    11.50     0.45    52.41    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.66     6.55     5.19     0.21    35.45     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.79     6.43     0.96     0.02    13.44     2.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.00     6.22     3.65     0.01    13.68     2.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.53     6.50    -4.07     0.02    12.28     1.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.82     6.71    17.63     0.18    40.55     9.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.36     6.38     9.06     0.03    13.12     2.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      69.11     6.67     6.89     0.06    16.62     3.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.37     6.14     1.80     0.00     2.20     0.39P    0.20R    0.00  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.66     5.91    -8.83     0.00     0.07     0.03P    4.87R    0.26  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.65     6.25    -7.65     0.00     0.14     0.01P    5.71R    0.40  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.57     6.72   -19.30     0.00     0.20     0.02P    8.86R    0.90  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.86     5.64   -21.95     0.00     0.01     0.01P   21.82R    3.16  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.42     6.44    13.32     0.00     1.20     0.28P    0.95R    0.05  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.09     6.26   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.44R    2.54  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.18     6.66    -4.09     0.00     0.21     0.06P    6.13R    0.56  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.61     6.15   -18.27     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.58R    3.81  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.17     5.50   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.76R   11.74  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.76     5.81   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.86R   28.96  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.77     6.31   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.77R   47.62