Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 January 2007 at 21:33:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.91     4.36    57.25    90.81    98.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.70     4.96    34.95     7.66    65.00    99.19    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.58     4.99    33.81     1.03    19.95    94.88    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.19     5.00    38.71     0.49    16.07    91.56    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.81     5.07     3.87     0.00     0.10     7.17    65.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.64     5.48    12.27     0.00     0.04     3.46    45.30     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.76     5.15    12.15     0.00     0.01     2.04    38.18     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.34     5.35     5.12     0.00     0.00     1.27    27.23     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      52.03     5.30    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.25    10.34     0.07R    0.01  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.47     5.09    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.44     0.20R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.41     5.10    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.84     0.27R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.54     5.39    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.09     0.34R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.02     4.89   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     2.46R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.69     5.36    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.94     0.62R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      43.06     5.00   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     3.92R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.80     4.85   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.20R    1.41  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.28     5.38   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    18.82R    1.81  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      31.00     4.49   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.28R   26.21  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.20     4.65   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.66R   25.43  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.66     4.97   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R   45.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.88     6.04    16.99    20.55    45.12    91.97    54.99P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.61     6.43    33.31    49.93    70.85    97.05    77.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      82.11     6.10    22.77    14.66    34.84    87.91    48.08P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.58     6.15    29.03     5.89    18.02    74.75    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.51     6.04    22.45     4.62    14.03    67.48    27.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.23     5.73    12.71     0.80     3.33    37.42    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.71     5.95    22.16     2.29     8.16    57.03    22.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      70.97     5.94     9.30     0.42     1.66    24.73     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.45     6.09    22.20     0.74     3.42    37.10    12.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.12     6.03    -3.33     0.02     0.12     4.85     1.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.66     6.11     3.98     0.04     0.28     8.73     1.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.49     6.04    -3.00     0.01     0.04     2.44     0.48P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.16     6.28     5.32     0.02     0.09     4.72     1.26P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.58     6.05    -0.10     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.29P    0.40R    0.00  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.39     6.10     1.42     0.00     0.03     2.37     0.52P    0.29R    0.00  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.15     5.83   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.57R    0.32  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.87     6.19   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    8.73R    0.37  
Leicester        29   33   -9      54.10     5.96   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.68R    0.38  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.80     5.88   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.97R    1.35  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.76     6.09   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.46R    1.03  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.26     6.09   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.66R    2.04  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.04     5.64   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.78R    6.67  
Leeds            28   24  -23      40.09     5.75   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.17R   36.58  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.26     5.30   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.91R   51.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 January 2007, Northampton vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      85.02     5.83    36.91    30.36    54.36    94.78    66.34P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.04     5.98    29.55    19.23    38.54    89.78    53.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.71     6.28    23.20    17.84    35.07    86.72    46.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.57     6.25    21.36    20.59    38.75    89.57    50.05P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.65     5.98    18.05     4.17    10.87    62.77    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.19     6.09    20.98     1.45     4.49    43.17    13.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.85     6.30    21.18     3.92    10.52    59.27    21.80P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.50     6.17    19.23     2.27     6.56    50.82    18.33P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.61     5.78    12.07     0.17     0.82    20.14     5.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      60.05     5.94    -9.24     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.14P    2.84R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.42     5.81    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    4.92R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.69     5.75   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    8.64R    0.03  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.32     6.09    -3.85     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.14P    2.92R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.26     5.83    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    6.65R    0.03  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.90     5.92    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    5.14R    0.03  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.32     5.98    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    9.33R    0.03  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.54     6.05   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00    12.01R    0.04  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.35     5.98   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    16.79R    0.20  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.52     6.13    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    6.75R    0.03  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.66     6.12   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   19.72R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.30     5.93   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   39.17R    0.71  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.52     5.67   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R    5.17  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.32     5.50   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.54R   11.88  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.28     4.76   -44.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.64R   81.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Swindon_Town vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          29   60  +26      92.87     5.71    40.28    63.11    93.97    99.98    96.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     29   59  +18      88.25     6.01    26.90    22.04    77.62    99.72    83.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      84.21     5.69    28.35     8.37    55.79    98.67    66.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.21     5.72    20.36     3.02    30.99    95.73    49.02P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.81     5.74    19.59     3.33    34.67    96.22    47.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.45     5.80    10.01     0.04     1.82    53.31    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        29   44   +7      68.84     6.20     9.31     0.01     1.19    36.97     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   41   +3      65.82     6.15     5.68     0.01     0.28    20.85     5.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.49     6.40     0.48     0.00     0.25    15.05     3.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         29   40   -4      60.74     5.94    -7.49     0.00     0.01     4.47     0.80P    0.11R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.19     5.94    -1.32     0.00     0.01     4.04     0.91P    0.14R    0.03  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.59     5.91    -5.70     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.50P    0.32R    0.04  
Peterborough     29   38   -6      61.03     6.20    -6.39     0.00     0.01     5.65     1.03P    0.27R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.64     6.55    24.71     0.07     3.36    58.03    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.33     6.13   -12.36     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.32P    0.59R    0.14  
Bury             29   36   -2      58.56     6.07    -2.94     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.59P    0.41R    0.06  
Mansfield        28   34   -4      58.38     6.32    -4.89     0.00     0.01     2.87     0.56P    0.70R    0.12  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      53.89     6.04     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.14P    2.72R    0.55  
Boston           30   31  -14      49.98     5.64   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.06R    2.95  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.45     5.84   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.15R    2.69  
Wrexham          28   30  -17      47.61     5.82   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   21.88R    7.63  
Macclesfield     29   29  -10      48.98     5.94   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    13.84R    4.08  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      41.95     5.12   -42.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.69R   31.82  
Torquay          29   24  -16      39.58     5.46   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.09R   49.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 January 2007, Oxford_Utd vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.46     5.64    51.18    89.41    99.95    93.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         29   52  +22      85.35     5.82    36.52     8.78    95.11    43.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.54     6.15    14.51     0.51    55.69    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.30     6.14    10.49     0.27    46.51     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.12     6.44    11.30     0.34    51.68    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.87     6.60     5.56     0.30    36.95     7.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.86     6.42     1.05     0.04    13.86     2.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.08     6.20     3.77     0.01    13.78     2.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.79     6.50    -3.69     0.05    13.41     2.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.67     6.81    17.41     0.20    39.95     9.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.26     6.43     8.94     0.02    13.56     2.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.81     6.66     6.54     0.06    15.75     2.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.34     6.16     1.73     0.00     2.06     0.33P    0.23R    0.01  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.59     5.93    -8.98     0.00     0.07     0.02P    5.30R    0.27  
Rushden_&_D        28   33   -3      54.69     6.32    -7.56     0.00     0.12     0.03P    6.00R    0.48  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.40     6.62   -19.52     0.00     0.13     0.01P    9.62R    1.02  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.84     5.65   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.58R    2.90  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.55     6.43    13.49     0.00     1.13     0.30P    0.96R    0.04  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.04     6.37   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.62R    2.96  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.35     6.69    -3.87     0.00     0.27     0.04P    6.13R    0.64  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.71     6.15   -18.06     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.41R    3.88  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.51     5.44   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.02R   11.03  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.96     5.93   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.98R   28.61  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.92     6.40   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.08R   48.19