Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 January 2007 at 21:32:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.81     4.42    57.09    90.30    98.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.61     4.99    34.85     7.86    64.50    99.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.58     5.04    33.83     1.33    20.45    94.79    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.19     4.99    38.74     0.51    16.13    91.47    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.88     5.11     3.93     0.00     0.12     7.38    65.78     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.82     5.45    12.45     0.00     0.07     3.52    46.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.78     5.23    12.12     0.00     0.03     2.31    38.38     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.28     5.31     5.04     0.00     0.00     1.26    26.43     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.86     5.30    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.15     9.82     0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.58     5.08    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.58     0.24R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.33     5.09    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.71     0.26R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.43     5.34    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.10     0.44R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.37     4.92   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     2.28R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.62     5.29    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.82     0.65R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.98     4.96   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     4.22R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.84     4.81   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    19.14R    1.18  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.17     5.38   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    19.36R    1.85  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      31.01     4.52   -34.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.06R   26.45  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.30     4.66   -36.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   25.57  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.68     4.92   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.01R   44.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.83     6.06    16.84    20.48    44.49    91.61    54.20P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.60     6.40    33.28    50.64    70.93    97.03    78.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.88     6.06    22.43    13.32    33.29    86.78    45.99P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.74     6.15    29.20     6.79    19.25    75.11    34.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.67     5.99    22.69     4.34    14.50    68.61    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.42     5.74    12.97     0.79     3.79    38.51    12.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.86     5.95    22.35     2.50     8.46    57.93    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      70.88     5.97     9.16     0.36     1.60    24.29     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.19     6.13    21.78     0.74     3.13    35.16    11.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.10     6.01    -3.28     0.01     0.12     4.80     0.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.87     6.11     4.29     0.01     0.27     9.21     1.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.55     6.06    -2.86     0.01     0.03     2.30     0.45P    0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.23     6.34     5.51     0.01     0.12     4.85     1.42P    0.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.63     6.01     0.03     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.25P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.54     6.04     1.75     0.00     0.03     2.43     0.63P    0.23R    0.00  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.12     5.77   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.93R    0.29  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.90     6.09   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.28R    0.45  
Leicester        29   33   -9      53.92     5.85   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    6.46R    0.34  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.82     5.79   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   15.88R    1.24  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.78     6.08   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.76R    1.07  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.05     6.04   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.25R    2.06  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      45.94     5.68   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.25R    7.25  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.72     5.61   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.98R   39.59  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.66     5.30   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.27R   47.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 January 2007, Northampton vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.93     5.84    36.72    30.70    53.60    94.81    65.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.02     5.98    29.53    19.00    38.59    89.75    53.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.57     6.34    23.08    17.34    34.38    86.06    46.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.50     6.28    21.20    20.93    39.21    89.44    50.45P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.73     6.06    18.21     4.25    11.41    63.70    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.09     6.10    20.81     1.48     4.79    43.24    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.77     6.26    21.09     3.85    10.54    59.31    21.36P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.50     6.15    19.18     2.25     6.58    50.93    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.68     5.74    12.21     0.21     0.87    19.88     5.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      59.95     5.93    -9.35     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.10P    3.02R    0.01  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.28     5.75    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    5.23R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.82     5.72   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.40R    0.03  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.20     6.12    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.15P    2.90R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.22     5.81    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.74R    0.04  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.60     5.98    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    6.11R    0.01  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.57     5.94    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    8.41R    0.04  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.57     6.04   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   12.12R    0.10  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.38     5.94   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   16.69R    0.14  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.33     6.05    -4.35     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    7.01R    0.03  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.63     6.12   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   20.39R    0.20  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.44     5.88   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.73R    0.76  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.62     5.66   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.05R    5.75  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.55     5.49   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.70R   11.78  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.54     4.85   -44.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   81.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Swindon_Town vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          29   60  +26      92.75     5.69    40.00    60.95    94.28   100.00    96.30P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     29   59  +18      88.47     5.98    27.17    24.42    79.42    99.78    85.16P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      83.98     5.68    28.04     7.98    54.48    98.71    65.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.02     5.78    20.19     2.90    30.59    95.58    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.81     5.75    19.57     3.66    34.59    96.19    48.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.32     5.78     9.82     0.01     1.77    53.30    13.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        29   44   +7      68.61     6.15     9.07     0.01     1.10    35.52     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   41   +3      65.69     6.14     5.48     0.00     0.35    20.61     4.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.34     6.30     0.28     0.01     0.18    14.69     3.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford         29   40   -4      60.68     5.97    -7.56     0.00     0.03     4.54     0.81P    0.12R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.17     5.91    -1.29     0.00     0.01     4.13     0.92P    0.18R    0.03  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.94     6.01    -5.15     0.00     0.01     2.87     0.66P    0.30R    0.06  
Peterborough     29   38   -6      61.08     6.07    -6.23     0.00     0.03     5.55     0.94P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.50     6.47    24.51     0.07     3.15    58.10    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.33     6.20   -12.42     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.47P    0.53R    0.07  
Bury             29   36   -2      58.66     6.07    -2.86     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.58P    0.43R    0.07  
Mansfield        28   34   -4      58.75     6.40    -4.30     0.00     0.01     3.88     0.82P    0.71R    0.15  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      54.01     6.06     2.78     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P    2.38R    0.46  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.07     5.66   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.17R    2.75  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.52     5.80   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.76R    2.44  
Wrexham          28   30  -17      47.55     5.89   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.07R    7.91  
Macclesfield     29   29  -10      49.05     5.93   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.46R    3.92  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      41.95     5.15   -42.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.78R   31.44  
Torquay          29   24  -16      39.48     5.49   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.94R   50.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Gravesend vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.65     5.66    51.56    81.44    99.95    88.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.84     5.96    40.73    17.27    98.09    53.34P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.54     6.17    14.51     0.30    54.84    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.25     6.08    10.42     0.20    45.13     8.28P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.33     6.43    11.62     0.28    52.22    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.86     6.62     5.50     0.26    35.96     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      69.11     6.35     1.41     0.01    14.18     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.29     6.28     4.07     0.01    15.12     2.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.53     6.51    -4.11     0.01    11.99     1.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      74.03     6.73    18.03     0.17    41.23     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.01     6.39     8.51     0.01    12.12     2.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.90     6.68     6.66     0.04    15.45     2.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.55     6.17     2.03     0.00     2.13     0.39P    0.21R    0.00  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.55     5.89    -9.08     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.74R    0.28  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.50     6.64   -19.42     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.64R    0.98  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.57     5.64   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.73R    3.21  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.40     6.52    13.31     0.00     1.23     0.34P    1.02R    0.05  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.25     6.34   -22.92     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.28R    2.48  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.01     6.56    -4.41     0.00     0.15     0.03P    5.77R    0.54  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.44     6.38   -11.22     0.00     0.02     0.01P   14.55R    1.71  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.61     6.15   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.01P   23.40R    3.83  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.26     5.41   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.94R   11.62  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.85     5.83   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   27.76  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.81     6.35   -31.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.33R   47.55