Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 January 2007 at 21:55:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.71     4.45    56.84    89.81    98.62   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.43     5.06    34.62     8.29    63.45    98.88    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.55     5.03    33.77     1.30    20.89    94.79    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.24     4.95    38.87     0.60    16.80    91.89    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.97     5.15     4.07     0.00     0.17     7.38    66.67     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.66     5.43    12.21     0.00     0.06     3.27    44.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.86     5.22    12.21     0.00     0.01     2.19    38.73     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.40     5.33     5.26     0.00     0.00     1.20    27.11     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.79     5.29    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.23     9.52     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.68     5.04    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.54     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.48     5.08    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.26R    0.01  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.46     5.42    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.46     0.36R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.35     4.91   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     2.21R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.58     5.28    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.75     0.59R    0.01  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.80     4.89   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     4.37R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      39.18     4.88   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.30R    1.15  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.09     5.33   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    19.41R    1.76  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.88     4.47   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.41R   27.43  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.21     4.65   -37.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   25.88  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.77     4.97   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   43.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.85     6.01    16.91    20.06    44.74    92.09    55.14P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.63     6.39    33.32    50.80    71.47    97.17    78.42P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      82.00     6.07    22.57    13.91    33.90    87.33    47.03P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.68     6.17    29.18     6.26    18.64    75.09    33.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.49     6.02    22.47     4.62    14.02    67.22    27.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.21     5.75    12.71     0.82     3.35    37.48    10.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.88     5.92    22.39     2.31     8.37    58.10    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.12     5.90     9.51     0.38     1.71    25.33     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.32     6.04    21.99     0.73     3.19    35.85    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.08     6.07    -3.32     0.03     0.17     5.08     1.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.73     6.14     4.07     0.03     0.26     8.70     1.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.40     6.00    -3.07     0.01     0.03     2.19     0.47P    0.19R    0.01  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.02     6.25     5.18     0.03     0.12     4.57     1.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.44     6.02    -0.30     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.27P    0.50R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.72     6.05     2.00     0.00     0.01     2.49     0.45P    0.20R    0.02  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.26     5.79   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     8.57R    0.28  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.87     6.10   -18.13     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.01P    8.39R    0.38  
Leicester        29   33   -9      53.93     5.88   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.79R    0.38  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.78     5.78   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.30R    1.27  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.75     6.01   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.15R    1.10  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.26     6.04   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.96R    1.94  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      45.91     5.62   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.87R    6.94  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.93     5.70   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.05R   38.66  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.60     5.29   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.86R   48.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 January 2007, Northampton vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Oldham              29   52  +22      84.78     5.91    36.60    30.12    52.89    94.19    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.97     5.99    29.48    19.11    38.55    89.31    52.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.56     6.27    23.01    17.27    34.28    86.20    45.97P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.52     6.29    21.28    21.05    39.63    89.23    50.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.63     5.98    18.08     4.29    11.35    63.40    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.21     6.07    21.01     1.56     4.76    43.38    14.20P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.90     6.26    21.28     4.01    10.54    60.66    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.36     6.31    19.03     2.42     7.07    50.04    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.72     5.80    12.26     0.17     0.90    20.61     5.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      60.17     5.92    -9.12     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.10P    2.85R    0.01  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.25     5.76   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    4.98R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.69     5.69   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.71R    0.03  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.48     6.10    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.14P    2.83R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.40     5.81    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.06P    6.08R    0.03  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.55     5.94    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.09P    5.84R    0.01  
Northampton         29   35   -4      56.54     5.91    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.84R    0.02  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.62     6.03   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   11.97R    0.08  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.30     5.99   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.68R    0.16  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.54     6.11    -3.93     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P    6.67R    0.06  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.53     6.11   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.82R    0.22  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.42     5.94   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.59R    0.71  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.46     5.55   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.73R    5.62  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.50     5.56   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   11.80  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.45     4.78   -44.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   81.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Swindon_Town vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          29   60  +26      92.58     5.69    39.83    60.55    93.72    99.98    95.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     29   59  +18      88.56     5.95    27.32    24.88    79.21    99.71    84.79P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      83.90     5.70    27.90     7.99    53.47    98.44    64.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.27     5.66    20.45     2.95    31.84    95.86    49.66P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.74     5.74    19.48     3.48    34.65    95.83    47.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.69     5.82    10.30     0.06     2.08    55.48    15.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        29   44   +7      68.87     6.19     9.42     0.01     1.21    36.79     9.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   41   +3      65.83     6.03     5.68     0.01     0.25    20.43     4.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.39     6.31     0.28     0.00     0.21    14.55     3.46P    0.03R    0.01  
Hereford         29   40   -4      60.50     5.94    -7.84     0.00     0.03     4.21     0.81P    0.12R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.16     5.98    -1.39     0.00     0.01     3.98     0.87P    0.17R    0.03  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.79     5.91    -5.37     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.61P    0.23R    0.03  
Peterborough     29   38   -6      60.98     6.14    -6.40     0.00     0.01     5.29     0.82P    0.20R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.51     6.52    24.44     0.07     3.27    57.53    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.42     6.17   -12.22     0.00     0.01     2.59     0.39P    0.55R    0.10  
Bury             29   36   -2      58.80     6.03    -2.65     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.62P    0.32R    0.04  
Mansfield        28   34   -4      58.49     6.32    -4.75     0.00     0.01     3.10     0.62P    0.78R    0.14  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      54.09     6.08     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.15P    2.37R    0.49  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.11     5.68   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     9.86R    2.90  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.53     5.83   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.65R    2.44  
Wrexham          28   30  -17      47.53     5.87   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   22.02R    8.06  
Macclesfield     29   29  -10      48.64     5.83   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    15.07R    4.53  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      42.03     5.11   -42.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.00R   30.96  
Torquay          29   24  -16      39.48     5.46   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.64R   50.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Gravesend vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.50     5.66    51.27    81.69    99.95    88.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.47     5.98    40.23    16.90    98.00    52.03P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.62     6.17    14.59     0.36    55.83    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.17     6.02    10.32     0.20    44.70     8.30P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.71     6.52    12.09     0.34    54.67    12.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.68     6.52     5.29     0.25    34.67     6.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.66     6.33     0.80     0.01    12.85     2.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.28     6.25     4.05     0.01    14.51     2.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.61     6.55    -3.94     0.01    12.60     1.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.67     6.70    17.48     0.14    39.38     8.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.37     6.36     9.05     0.03    12.98     2.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      69.06     6.71     6.86     0.05    16.38     2.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.43     6.12     1.85     0.00     1.92     0.38P    0.20R    0.00  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.52     5.95    -9.09     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.79R    0.28  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.56     6.65   -19.33     0.00     0.12     0.03P    8.51R    0.95  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      49.68     5.65   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.82R    3.06  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.61     6.50    13.65     0.00     1.13     0.23P    0.74R    0.07  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.08     6.30   -23.21     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.73R    2.50  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.31     6.71    -3.94     0.00     0.21     0.04P    5.79R    0.65  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.56     6.39   -10.99     0.00     0.02     0.00    13.83R    1.50  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.43     6.17   -18.51     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.59R    4.26  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.30     5.42   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.52R   11.13  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.97     5.86   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.97R   27.42  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.86     6.33   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.45R   48.20