Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 January 2007 at 21:32:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.92     4.41    57.21    90.53    98.85   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.68     5.02    34.90     7.84    65.61    99.11    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.57     5.02    33.85     1.13    19.86    94.78    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.18     4.95    38.73     0.50    15.55    91.64    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.85     5.17     3.89     0.00     0.10     7.37    65.76     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.55     5.44    12.15     0.00     0.02     3.32    44.80     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.82     5.18    12.17     0.00     0.01     2.17    38.78     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.30     5.27     5.12     0.00     0.00     1.20    26.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.79     5.36    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.23    10.31     0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.61     5.06    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.55     0.21R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.45     5.04    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.97     0.29R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.48     5.39    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.42     0.44R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.19     4.93   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     2.55R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.51     5.25    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.54     0.54R    0.02  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.92     4.97   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     4.24R    0.07  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.86     4.81   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    18.79R    1.40  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.35     5.39   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.44R    1.76  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.96     4.47   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.90R   26.91  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.25     4.63   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   26.20  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.88     4.92   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.73R   43.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Cardiff vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.74     5.96    16.69    19.36    44.40    91.79    54.20P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.82     6.32    33.66    52.34    72.78    97.36    79.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.77     6.08    22.26    13.19    32.84    86.82    45.85P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.75     6.10    29.24     6.39    19.05    75.89    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.46     5.99    22.35     4.40    13.99    67.25    27.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   49   +9      73.35     5.72    12.88     0.67     3.15    37.82    10.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.79     5.95    22.25     2.40     8.38    57.09    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.21     6.00     9.65     0.42     1.75    26.11     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.33     6.07    21.95     0.77     3.15    35.80    11.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      64.89     5.98    -3.59     0.01     0.09     4.54     0.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.54     6.14     3.80     0.04     0.33     8.61     1.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.37     6.06    -3.15     0.01     0.03     2.32     0.41P    0.20R    0.00  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.00     6.23     5.19     0.00     0.05     4.50     1.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.72     6.05     0.15     0.01     0.01     1.36     0.30P    0.47R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.69     6.10     1.97     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.56P    0.26R    0.01  
Coventry         29   34   -9      52.97     5.80   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.12R    0.28  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.90     6.09   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.53R    0.37  
Leicester        29   33   -9      54.19     5.88   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.45R    0.23  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.90     5.82   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.12R    1.17  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.68     6.03   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.56R    1.24  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.31     6.05   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.39R    1.93  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.03     5.62   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.01R    6.86  
Leeds            28   24  -23      40.04     5.72   -38.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.65R   37.42  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.35     5.28   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.09R   50.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.02     5.99    29.53    21.04    40.08    89.89    54.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.69     6.31    23.27    19.57    36.92    86.92    48.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.44     6.26    21.18    21.86    40.80    89.50    51.50P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              29   51  +13      77.59     6.11    18.05     4.59    11.82    63.60    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.47     6.11    35.75    24.00    45.30    91.62    59.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.02     6.12    20.74     1.62     4.74    43.00    13.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      77.00     6.21    21.48     4.61    11.68    61.63    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           28   46  +12      75.50     6.26    19.25     2.50     7.74    51.41    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            30   46   +8      70.46     5.70    11.93     0.20     0.92    19.47     5.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            29   40   -5      60.13     5.96    -9.14     0.01     0.01     0.74     0.09P    2.66R    0.00  
Huddersfield        30   38   -7      58.08     5.72   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    5.39R    0.01  
Gillingham          30   38  -13      56.58     5.70   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    9.44R    0.04  
Port_Vale           29   37   -4      60.45     6.03    -3.66     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.13P    2.74R    0.01  
Bradford            30   36   -3      57.14     5.80    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    7.10R    0.03  
Chesterfield        29   35   -1      57.59     6.00    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    6.24R    0.01  
Northampton         28   35   -3      57.71     6.07    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    6.43R    0.01  
Crewe               29   35   -5      55.44     6.02   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   13.00R    0.06  
Brighton            29   35   -7      54.28     5.93   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   17.39R    0.09  
Rotherham           29   34   -4      57.41     6.05    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    7.37R    0.05  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.74     6.08   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   19.98R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient       29   31   -9      50.76     5.94   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.05R    0.54  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.72     5.54   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.01R    5.09  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.36     5.51   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.60R   12.05  
Brentford           30   23  -28      34.47     4.82   -44.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   81.86  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Swindon_Town vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          29   60  +26      92.82     5.69    40.22    62.49    94.23    99.98    96.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     29   59  +18      88.50     5.93    27.24    23.75    78.86    99.71    84.55P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        30   56  +18      83.92     5.69    27.91     7.57    54.20    98.78    65.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       30   55  +14      81.12     5.71    20.30     2.71    31.30    95.94    49.09P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    30   55  +11      81.79     5.76    19.54     3.35    34.35    96.08    48.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          30   47   +6      71.30     5.81     9.77     0.03     2.02    52.28    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        29   44   +7      68.89     6.28     9.41     0.02     1.27    37.61     9.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   41   +3      65.99     6.07     5.91     0.01     0.33    21.29     5.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.42     6.26     0.38     0.00     0.24    14.52     3.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford         29   40   -4      60.57     5.95    -7.78     0.00     0.04     4.24     0.82P    0.14R    0.01  
Chester          29   38   +0      60.05     5.95    -1.51     0.00     0.02     4.15     0.80P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington       29   38   -2      58.64     5.93    -5.56     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.41P    0.28R    0.02  
Peterborough     29   38   -6      61.10     6.10    -6.28     0.00     0.01     5.64     0.99P    0.17R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.52     6.44    24.51     0.08     3.12    57.90    19.90P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.26     6.19   -12.55     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.36P    0.62R    0.11  
Bury             29   36   -2      58.78     6.07    -2.66     0.00     0.01     3.05     0.59P    0.40R    0.07  
Mansfield        28   34   -4      58.60     6.25    -4.54     0.00     0.01     3.16     0.64P    0.72R    0.11  
Rochdale         29   31   +3      54.03     6.09     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.17P    2.56R    0.65  
Boston           30   31  -14      50.06     5.68   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.20R    2.92  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.55     5.96   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    8.96R    2.73  
Wrexham          28   30  -17      47.56     5.78   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.82R    7.49  
Macclesfield     29   29  -10      48.72     5.95   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    14.93R    4.58  
Grimsby          30   29  -27      42.00     5.14   -42.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.39R   31.80  
Torquay          29   24  -16      39.61     5.49   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.63R   49.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 January 2007, Gravesend vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          29   61  +31      96.67     5.60    51.54    82.69    99.95    89.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.46     6.01    40.18    15.97    97.80    51.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               29   49   +8      76.56     6.19    14.48     0.36    55.31    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          29   49   +6      75.39     6.06    10.68     0.21    46.80     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          28   48   +6      76.31     6.48    11.58     0.32    52.31    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             27   47   +4      73.84     6.57     5.48     0.18    36.34     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   45   +2      68.64     6.40     0.76     0.02    12.66     2.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            29   44   +1      69.07     6.20     3.76     0.01    13.70     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           27   44   -2      68.32     6.49    -4.39     0.04    11.45     1.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             27   42   +9      73.99     6.73    17.91     0.11    41.11     9.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          28   42   +7      68.11     6.36     8.61     0.03    12.71     2.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          27   41   +4      68.99     6.68     6.80     0.04    16.11     2.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             29   38   +0      62.63     6.06     2.12     0.00     2.00     0.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Forest_Green       29   35   -3      54.52     5.97    -9.05     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.20R    0.28  
Northwich          26   32  -11      54.54     6.67   -19.38     0.00     0.17     0.01P    8.66R    1.04  
St_Albans          30   32  -14      50.16     5.64   -21.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.13R    2.56  
Grays              28   31   +6      60.67     6.44    13.71     0.00     1.16     0.30P    0.94R    0.05  
Stafford_Rangers   27   31  -14      51.02     6.38   -23.31     0.00     0.03     0.00    19.66R    2.76  
Halifax            27   30   -3      55.32     6.69    -3.96     0.00     0.27     0.05P    5.56R    0.67  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.55     6.46   -11.06     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.29R    1.69  
Altrincham         28   30  -10      49.53     6.09   -18.27     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.64R    3.46  
Cambridge_U        30   29  -14      45.40     5.44   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.48R   10.91  
Southport          29   24  -14      41.80     5.78   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.64R   27.78  
Tamworth           26   21  -18      39.64     6.24   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.64R   48.79