Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 January 2007 at 21:32:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.82     4.45    56.98    90.58    98.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.35     5.05    34.51     7.57    63.20    98.95    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.48     5.06    33.79     1.30    21.00    94.23    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.22     4.97    38.72     0.55    16.80    91.31    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      61.06     5.18     4.29     0.00     0.17     8.15    66.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.73     5.40    12.35     0.00     0.06     3.40    45.51     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      57.01     5.20    12.48     0.00     0.03     2.42    39.44     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.11     5.32     4.76     0.00     0.00     1.12    25.28     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.93     5.36    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.26    10.09     0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.54     5.07    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.27     0.30R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.29     5.06    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.49     0.31R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.60     5.41    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.46     0.41R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.49     4.97   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     2.15R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.67     5.37    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.81     0.53R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.88     4.95   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     4.22R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.70     4.80   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.72R    1.51  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.22     5.40   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    18.98R    1.85  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.94     4.47   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.34R   26.88  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.25     4.62   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.94R   25.20  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.79     5.02   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   44.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.85     6.00    16.89    19.64    44.96    92.44    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.88     6.39    33.74    52.45    72.62    97.57    79.40P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.89     6.04    22.41    13.01    33.35    87.62    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.81     6.14    29.34     6.37    19.07    76.89    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.49     6.00    22.42     4.25    13.88    68.61    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.85     5.89    22.37     2.37     8.06    59.28    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.09     5.96    12.37     0.67     2.60    31.64     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      70.86     6.03     9.07     0.37     1.68    24.85     6.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.29     5.99    21.95     0.82     3.25    36.09    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.02     6.05    -3.41     0.03     0.14     5.01     1.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.60     6.13     3.89     0.03     0.22     9.00     1.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.59     6.00    -2.86     0.01     0.02     2.34     0.51P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.11     6.28     5.34     0.01     0.11     4.68     1.21P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.60     6.02    -0.06     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.23P    0.48R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.77     6.02     2.05     0.00     0.04     2.65     0.58P    0.17R    0.00  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.05     5.77   -15.21     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.01P    8.63R    0.24  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.77     6.10   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    8.61R    0.43  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.67     6.18   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    6.14R    0.30  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.83     5.86   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.55R    1.26  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.71     6.12   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.34R    1.27  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.38     6.04   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   18.77R    1.87  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      45.88     5.57   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.16R    6.79  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.77     5.67   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.78R   39.89  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.66     5.25   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.92R   47.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Swansea vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.97     5.93    29.53    21.42    41.52    90.06    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.48     6.27    22.92    18.50    36.13    86.69    47.74P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.50     6.24    21.23    22.70    41.94    89.97    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.59     6.13    35.98    25.69    46.97    91.39    60.65P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.28     6.23    15.17     2.46     6.97    48.51    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.17     6.04    21.07     1.79     5.19    44.47    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.69     6.29    20.98     4.43    11.60    59.95    22.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.27     6.05    16.00     1.06     3.44    37.32    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.42     6.44    18.98     1.94     6.17    45.84    16.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.24     6.22    -8.19     0.01     0.04     1.48     0.27P    1.82R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.73     6.08    -9.85     0.01     0.01     0.41     0.07P    4.25R    0.03  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.17     6.05    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.14P    2.94R    0.02  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.63     6.39    -3.99     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.22P    2.54R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.80     6.35    -2.71     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.11P    4.29R    0.01  
Northampton         28   35   -3      57.87     6.18    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    5.27R    0.04  
Gillingham          29   35  -15      53.95     5.92   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.07R    0.16  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.75     6.18    -1.86     0.01     0.01     0.34     0.06P    5.32R    0.04  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.23     6.27    -4.03     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P    4.74R    0.05  
Brighton            28   34   -7      54.84     6.20   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.58R    0.09  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.61     6.03   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.20R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.56     6.09   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.56R    3.40  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.56     5.57   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.26R    5.08  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.74     5.53   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.93R   10.95  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.35     5.06   -45.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   79.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.75     5.85    42.78    70.22    95.79    99.98    97.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.69     6.28    26.45    16.05    71.67    99.30    79.18P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.81     6.01    27.20     7.25    56.30    98.43    66.42P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.40     5.90    28.82     5.13    46.63    97.72    59.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.68     5.99    18.55     1.16    21.07    91.69    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.58     6.02    12.97     0.12     3.98    65.56    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.74     6.39     6.63     0.00     0.61    23.86     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.18     6.36     6.64     0.01     0.59    26.05     5.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      63.91     6.24    -0.32     0.01     0.10    11.92     2.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.94     6.32    -6.38     0.00     0.06     6.89     1.15P    0.10R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.44     6.53    24.22     0.06     3.09    55.73    19.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.25     6.28    -0.41     0.00     0.04     6.02     1.24P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.34     6.27    -3.72     0.00     0.01     4.34     0.81P    0.21R    0.02  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.32     6.15    -9.56     0.00     0.01     2.13     0.38P    0.39R    0.02  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.40     6.25   -12.31     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.39P    0.60R    0.07  
Bury             28   36   +0      59.81     6.29    -1.03     0.00     0.03     4.40     0.90P    0.24R    0.03  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.67     6.57    -5.12     0.00     0.03     3.26     0.73P    0.82R    0.10  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.63     5.87   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     7.92R    1.69  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.86     5.71   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.94R    3.42  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.94     6.13   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.70R    2.27  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      46.96     6.11   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    25.34R    7.40  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.81     5.46   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.88R   16.48  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.12     6.23    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P    9.13R    2.06  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.12     5.63   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.56R   66.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Stevenage vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          28   58  +28      94.96     5.96    48.21    74.09    99.69    83.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.65     6.02    40.54    22.46    97.69    54.27P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   48   +8      77.53     6.40    15.48     1.06    59.50    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          28   48   +6      76.08     6.40    11.24     0.59    49.45     9.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.37     6.84     6.80     0.62    43.73     8.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          27   45   +4      74.05     6.75     8.68     0.26    36.98     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           26   43   -2      69.59     6.79    -3.09     0.06    15.38     2.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             26   42  +12      75.68     6.99    21.28     0.75    50.27    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +1      66.69     6.65    -0.76     0.03     8.13     1.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage          27   41   +7      67.97     6.65     7.75     0.04    12.12     2.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            28   41   +0      67.49     6.45     2.86     0.01     9.06     1.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   38   +3      66.94     6.94     5.21     0.02    10.26     1.96P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking             28   38   +3      65.43     6.40     7.26     0.00     5.58     1.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   32   -4      52.62     6.15   -10.52     0.00     0.01     0.01P    9.44R    0.80  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.28     6.86   -20.43     0.00     0.24     0.02P    8.88R    1.17  
Stafford_Rangers   26   31  -12      52.80     6.58   -20.25     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.92R    1.51  
Grays              27   30   +6      60.62     6.66    13.15     0.00     1.30     0.38P    0.91R    0.04  
Halifax            26   30   -2      56.90     6.95    -2.61     0.00     0.45     0.09P    3.94R    0.34  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.58     6.41   -10.92     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.98R    1.51  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.27     6.44   -16.78     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.23R    2.46  
St_Albans          29   29  -15      47.84     5.93   -23.54     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.96R    5.93  
Cambridge_U        29   26  -17      42.11     5.51   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.92R   27.02  
Southport          28   24  -13      43.28     6.08   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.16R   21.36  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      41.24     6.70   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.44R   37.85