Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 January 2007 at 21:32:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.84     4.42    57.05    90.37    98.70   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.44     5.04    34.64     7.96    63.41    99.04    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.54     5.02    33.76     1.10    20.57    94.58    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.36     4.93    39.09     0.56    17.10    92.11    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.77     5.20     3.78     0.00     0.15     7.20    65.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.64     5.45    12.25     0.00     0.05     3.26    45.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.86     5.25    12.25     0.00     0.02     2.24    39.08     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.35     5.32     5.13     0.00     0.00     1.24    26.91     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.96     5.27    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.22    10.41     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.68     5.03    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.73     0.14R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.22     5.08    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.73     0.33R    0.01  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.49     5.36    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.15     0.41R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.32     4.90   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     2.22R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.71     5.34    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.94     0.55R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      43.01     4.97   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     4.10R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.95     4.78   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.04R    1.16  
Wigan           23   22  -15      38.97     5.37   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.39R    2.17  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.93     4.49   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.36R   26.25  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.12     4.58   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.50R   26.73  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.86     5.02   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   43.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.82     6.00    16.86    19.76    44.76    92.06    54.82P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.96     6.32    33.89    53.09    73.17    97.72    79.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.85     6.03    22.38    12.55    32.93    87.83    46.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.84     6.12    29.37     6.49    19.25    76.45    34.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.47     5.94    22.40     3.98    13.42    68.63    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.96     5.99    22.52     2.40     8.66    59.47    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.04     5.92    12.30     0.56     2.53    31.52     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      70.90     5.93     9.12     0.35     1.61    24.75     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.26     6.08    21.93     0.72     3.10    36.44    11.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.09     6.00    -3.32     0.03     0.12     4.82     1.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.58     6.13     3.82     0.03     0.21     8.82     1.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.55     6.05    -2.82     0.01     0.03     2.47     0.47P    0.24R    0.00  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.12     6.25     5.36     0.04     0.17     4.87     1.33P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.72     6.01     0.15     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.30P    0.41R    0.00  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.72     6.00     1.97     0.00     0.01     2.51     0.56P    0.20R    0.00  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.08     5.79   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.95R    0.35  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.68     6.08   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.64R    0.45  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.42     6.12   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.75R    0.28  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.62     5.84   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.47R    1.47  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.83     6.01   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.70R    1.05  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.34     6.00   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.09R    1.68  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.06     5.64   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.85R    6.84  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.96     5.71   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.96R   38.30  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.48     5.22   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.57R   49.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Swansea vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.79     5.94    29.23    20.73    40.56    89.53    54.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.35     6.27    22.70    18.86    36.12    86.42    47.36P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.47     6.28    21.24    23.38    42.92    89.53    52.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.26     6.20    35.57    24.95    45.75    90.72    59.67P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.10     6.27    14.98     2.52     7.25    47.94    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.44     6.11    21.48     1.93     5.97    47.42    16.10P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.39     6.31    20.54     4.29    11.10    58.63    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.35     6.03    16.12     1.09     3.67    38.10    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.43     6.48    18.95     2.25     6.61    45.64    17.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.29     6.17    -8.09     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.24P    1.67R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      59.06     5.96    -9.27     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P    3.81R    0.01  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.27     6.05    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    3.10R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.65     6.34    -4.00     0.01     0.01     1.30     0.30P    2.50R    0.00  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.58     6.34    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P    4.57R    0.04  
Northampton         28   35   -3      57.76     6.18    -4.89     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P    5.33R    0.04  
Gillingham          29   35  -15      54.02     5.93   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.02R    0.23  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.92     6.22    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.13P    5.00R    0.03  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.25     6.28    -3.87     0.01     0.01     0.56     0.10P    4.74R    0.03  
Brighton            28   34   -7      55.03     6.21   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   13.51R    0.17  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.59     6.10   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    17.85R    0.21  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.66     6.00   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.29R    3.29  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.72     5.66   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.73R    5.21  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.59     5.57   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.62R   11.46  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.43     5.10   -45.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   79.28  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.97     5.79    43.07    71.89    96.01    99.99    97.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.40     6.28    26.03    14.32    70.41    99.27    77.92P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.70     6.02    27.07     6.92    55.42    98.25    65.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.61     5.91    29.12     5.49    48.44    97.88    61.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.60     6.02    18.44     1.21    21.28    91.44    39.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.39     6.09    12.73     0.10     3.96    64.34    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.71     6.46     6.63     0.01     0.55    23.61     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.14     6.36     6.63     0.01     0.56    25.93     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.14     6.38    -0.09     0.00     0.10    13.03     2.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.70     6.35    -6.74     0.00     0.04     6.74     1.10P    0.17R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.48     6.52    24.34     0.05     3.08    55.82    18.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.23     6.21    -0.42     0.00     0.04     5.81     1.29P    0.13R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.35     6.32    -3.65     0.00     0.04     4.64     0.97P    0.15R    0.01  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.46     6.13    -9.36     0.00     0.02     2.42     0.41P    0.42R    0.07  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.66     6.23   -11.88     0.00     0.01     2.57     0.41P    0.54R    0.04  
Bury             28   36   +0      59.86     6.30    -0.94     0.00     0.01     4.41     0.94P    0.27R    0.03  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.68     6.56    -5.10     0.00     0.04     3.60     0.71P    0.69R    0.10  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.52     5.88   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.97R    1.80  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.96     5.76   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.26R    3.42  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.80     6.15   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.71R    2.29  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      46.89     6.08   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    25.27R    7.91  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.74     5.47   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R   16.65  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.20     6.21    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    8.73R    1.97  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.14     5.56   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.07R   65.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Stevenage vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          28   58  +28      95.07     5.99    48.41    74.94    99.80    83.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.49     5.99    40.32    21.66    97.77    54.33P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   48   +8      77.29     6.44    15.06     0.97    57.92    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          28   48   +6      76.02     6.50    11.16     0.64    48.74     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.02     6.87     6.30     0.53    41.52     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          27   45   +4      74.45     6.72     9.23     0.33    39.53     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           26   43   -2      70.06     6.86    -2.43     0.12    17.33     2.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             26   42  +12      75.61     6.96    21.23     0.70    49.22    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +1      66.78     6.75    -0.61     0.01     8.55     1.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage          27   41   +7      67.98     6.60     7.73     0.04    12.14     2.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            28   41   +0      67.65     6.56     3.08     0.03     9.93     1.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   38   +3      66.78     6.86     4.89     0.03     9.96     1.83P    0.06R    0.00  
Woking             28   38   +3      65.20     6.43     6.96     0.00     5.47     1.09P    0.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   32   -4      52.77     6.14   -10.34     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.98R    0.91  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.13     6.84   -20.78     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.30R    1.07  
Stafford_Rangers   26   31  -12      52.76     6.55   -20.37     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.98R    1.57  
Grays              27   30   +6      60.60     6.65    13.05     0.00     1.34     0.30P    0.86R    0.06  
Halifax            26   30   -2      57.23     6.92    -2.05     0.00     0.52     0.07P    3.48R    0.36  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.39     6.35   -11.16     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.77R    1.61  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.27     6.53   -16.75     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.57R    2.40  
St_Albans          29   29  -15      47.76     5.97   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.46R    6.42  
Cambridge_U        29   26  -17      42.00     5.61   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.10R   27.95  
Southport          28   24  -13      43.33     6.16   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.80R   21.01  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      41.39     6.76   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.47R   36.65