Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 24 January 2007 at 21:33:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Watford vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.88     4.40    57.14    90.64    98.78   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.46     5.04    34.62     7.51    63.09    98.85    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.79     5.04    34.17     1.32    21.64    94.80    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.25     4.94    38.82     0.52    16.31    91.77    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      61.07     5.13     4.25     0.00     0.12     7.50    67.19     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.66     5.43    12.27     0.00     0.04     3.35    44.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.74     5.20    12.10     0.00     0.01     2.12    38.19     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.24     5.35     4.96     0.00     0.00     1.19    26.68     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.99     5.33    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.27    10.13     0.07R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -5      49.49     5.00    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.33     0.18R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.37     5.03    -2.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.79     0.27R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.64     5.35    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.22     0.49R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.23     4.91   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     2.31R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.70     5.31    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.00     0.53R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.77     5.01   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     4.68R    0.09  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.80     4.79   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.06R    1.35  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.20     5.33   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    19.17R    1.71  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.83     4.45   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.19R   27.62  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.32     4.67   -36.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.83R   24.65  
Watford         23   15  -18      28.74     5.01   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.19R   44.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Burnley vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.85     5.93    16.92    19.29    44.69    92.67    54.43P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.84     6.35    33.76    52.85    72.84    97.31    79.78P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      82.00     6.04    22.55    13.66    34.29    87.94    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.59     6.11    28.96     5.69    17.92    75.36    33.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.59     5.95    22.62     4.36    13.97    69.19    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +14      75.67     5.91    22.08     2.42     8.18    57.77    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.05     5.92    12.32     0.57     2.42    31.55     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.08     5.98     9.43     0.35     1.80    26.09     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.36     6.05    22.08     0.70     3.26    37.27    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.02     6.03    -3.41     0.03     0.12     5.33     1.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.50     6.11     3.72     0.04     0.27     8.65     1.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.56     6.02    -2.82     0.01     0.04     2.35     0.48P    0.18R    0.01  
Burnley          28   38   +3      64.04     6.26     5.17     0.03     0.17     4.54     1.19P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.61     6.00    -0.04     0.01     0.01     1.29     0.28P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.58     6.03     1.76     0.00     0.03     2.43     0.52P    0.27R    0.01  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.06     5.80   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.14R    0.35  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.83     6.15   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.62R    0.42  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.84     6.07   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.64R    0.28  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.86     5.90   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   16.77R    1.25  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.94     6.03   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.40R    0.94  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.12     6.02   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.36R    2.00  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.20     5.67   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.22R    6.27  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.68     5.62   -38.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.24R   39.67  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.44     5.26   -37.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.61R   48.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Swansea vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.76     5.95    29.14    20.34    40.06    89.73    53.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.39     6.28    22.78    18.52    35.97    86.50    47.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.67     6.25    21.54    24.06    43.53    90.19    53.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.32     6.14    35.61    24.72    46.13    91.08    59.84P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.31     6.24    15.22     2.73     7.57    49.10    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             29   47  +15      74.27     6.10    21.14     1.74     5.60    45.44    15.33P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.60     6.27    20.87     4.37    11.06    59.57    22.36P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.26     6.06    16.04     1.09     3.44    36.88    11.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.53     6.45    19.08     2.42     6.59    45.83    17.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.35     6.14    -8.00     0.01     0.02     1.29     0.23P    1.51R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.74     5.96    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    4.05R    0.01  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.30     6.04    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.14P    2.90R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.76     6.34    -3.80     0.01     0.01     1.33     0.26P    2.52R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.81     6.37    -2.69     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.10P    4.21R    0.01  
Northampton         28   35   -3      57.68     6.21    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    5.57R    0.02  
Gillingham          29   35  -15      53.94     5.93   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    17.29R    0.23  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.84     6.22    -1.71     0.01     0.01     0.45     0.09P    5.33R    0.01  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.26     6.24    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    4.58R    0.04  
Brighton            28   34   -7      54.91     6.25   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   13.56R    0.15  
Millwall            28   33   -5      53.50     6.11   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   17.82R    0.21  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.45     5.96   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.02R    3.35  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.68     5.55   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.23R    5.13  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.64     5.51   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.16R   11.07  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.45     5.01   -45.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   79.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.84     5.77    42.78    71.97    96.17   100.00    97.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.40     6.19    26.06    14.25    70.44    99.36    78.11P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.71     5.99    27.07     6.97    56.05    98.44    66.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.41     5.90    28.84     5.17    47.01    97.84    59.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.67     6.08    18.57     1.52    21.80    91.61    39.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.33     6.08    12.61     0.07     3.81    64.39    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.47     6.40     6.25     0.00     0.55    22.61     5.52P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.19     6.37     6.62     0.00     0.56    26.42     6.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      63.99     6.29    -0.20     0.00     0.15    12.16     2.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.88     6.30    -6.52     0.00     0.04     6.74     1.15P    0.15R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.53     6.60    24.45     0.03     3.25    56.09    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.40     6.37    -0.22     0.00     0.03     6.62     1.54P    0.12R    0.00  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.31     6.26    -3.73     0.00     0.04     4.62     0.99P    0.15R    0.01  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.43     6.08    -9.42     0.00     0.01     2.14     0.45P    0.38R    0.06  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.57     6.22   -12.02     0.00     0.03     2.46     0.46P    0.42R    0.04  
Bury             28   36   +0      60.23     6.35    -0.49     0.00     0.04     5.04     1.09P    0.23R    0.01  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.59     6.53    -5.29     0.00     0.03     3.21     0.72P    0.72R    0.12  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.71     5.85   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.33R    1.72  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.75     5.75   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.31R    3.75  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.81     6.13   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.13R    2.33  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      46.85     6.09   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   25.86R    8.26  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.75     5.44   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.53R   17.27  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.12     6.25    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    9.21R    2.33  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.47     5.59   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.42R   64.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 January 2007, Stevenage vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          28   58  +28      94.94     6.03    48.27    74.80    99.75    83.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         28   52  +23      88.44     6.01    40.25    21.93    97.63    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   48   +8      77.25     6.45    15.10     0.96    57.52    12.39P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          28   48   +6      76.14     6.41    11.31     0.52    49.99    10.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.28     6.92     6.66     0.69    43.28     8.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          27   45   +4      74.13     6.71     8.79     0.18    37.48     7.85P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           26   43   -2      69.70     6.85    -2.92     0.07    16.14     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             26   42  +12      75.70     6.92    21.38     0.69    49.92    12.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   42   +1      66.89     6.64    -0.45     0.04     8.73     1.53P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage          27   41   +7      67.91     6.70     7.67     0.04    12.30     2.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            28   41   +0      67.33     6.48     2.62     0.01     9.20     1.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          26   38   +3      66.95     6.87     5.19     0.04     9.91     1.85P    0.07R    0.01  
Woking             28   38   +3      65.51     6.40     7.41     0.01     5.97     1.08P    0.09R    0.01  
Forest_Green       28   32   -4      52.40     6.14   -10.83     0.00     0.03     0.00    10.18R    1.11  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.30     6.92   -20.51     0.00     0.20     0.04P    9.19R    1.21  
Stafford_Rangers   26   31  -12      52.65     6.65   -20.51     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.11R    1.81  
Grays              27   30   +6      60.56     6.70    12.99     0.00     1.35     0.38P    0.88R    0.07  
Halifax            26   30   -2      56.95     6.90    -2.53     0.00     0.45     0.07P    3.48R    0.31  
Rushden_&_D        27   30   -4      51.72     6.42   -10.75     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.83R    1.43  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.34     6.48   -16.73     0.00     0.03     0.00    16.83R    2.60  
St_Albans          29   29  -15      47.78     5.94   -23.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.37R    6.30  
Cambridge_U        29   26  -17      42.29     5.57   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.84R   26.81  
Southport          28   24  -13      43.53     6.11   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.45R   20.20  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      41.21     6.68   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.62R   38.12