Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 23 January 2007 at 21:32:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 January 2007, Arsenal vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.86     4.41    57.06    90.41    98.64   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.60     4.97    34.80     7.72    63.12    99.12    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.79     5.09    34.15     1.34    21.60    94.86    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.32     4.97    38.95     0.52    16.38    91.59    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.99     5.13     4.10     0.00     0.16     7.54    65.72     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.58     5.51    12.11     0.00     0.07     3.02    44.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.79     5.20    12.13     0.00     0.01     2.19    37.60     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.23     5.34     4.96     0.00     0.01     1.19    25.79     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.98     5.22    -3.69     0.00     0.01     0.23     9.32     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   31   -4      51.54     5.36    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.15     9.45     0.08R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.42     5.07    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.52     0.28R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.53     5.39    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.17     0.36R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.26     4.86   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     1.92R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.59     5.28    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.52R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.95     4.99   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     3.63R    0.02  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.88     4.83   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.46R    0.78  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.23     5.39   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    17.59R    1.12  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.89     4.46   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.92R   19.25  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.25     4.62   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.95R   17.91  
Watford         22   12  -19      26.15     5.08   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.22R   60.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 January 2007, Plymouth vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.99     6.04    17.05    20.93    46.78    92.89    56.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.71     6.45    33.46    51.48    72.14    97.25    78.75P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.85     6.10    22.37    13.61    33.66    87.95    47.03P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.84     6.10    29.40     6.32    19.53    77.53    35.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.57     5.99    22.57     4.66    14.41    69.98    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.23     5.88    12.59     0.61     2.88    33.54     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.02     5.96     9.33     0.38     1.82    26.31     7.17P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.28     6.02    21.93     0.63     3.15    37.53    12.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   44  +13      73.62     6.18    20.52     1.26     4.76    46.00    16.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.04     6.01    -3.42     0.01     0.07     5.36     0.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   42   +2      66.62     6.19     3.87     0.02     0.28     9.83     2.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.39     5.99    -3.11     0.01     0.06     2.45     0.56P    0.23R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.93     6.58     6.92     0.09     0.41     9.43     2.63P    0.07R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.58     5.94    -0.08     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.28P    0.41R    0.00  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.49     6.07     1.62     0.01     0.04     2.52     0.50P    0.27R    0.00  
Coventry         29   34   -9      53.07     5.82   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.92R    0.34  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.92     6.17   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.69R    0.39  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.73     6.01   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.89R    0.26  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.99     5.81   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.62R    1.25  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.64     6.07   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.57R    1.18  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.44     6.02   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   18.70R    1.73  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      45.92     5.69   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.83R    7.35  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.70     5.60   -38.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.39R   40.03  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.66     5.23   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.34R   47.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Millwall vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.86     5.92    29.33    20.71    40.32    90.41    54.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.45     6.28    22.88    18.63    36.30    86.80    47.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.63     6.29    21.48    24.26    43.40    90.44    54.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.48     6.10    35.75    24.68    46.48    91.67    59.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.18     6.27    15.02     2.40     7.11    49.17    16.70P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.92     6.32    21.21     4.71    12.18    62.45    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      72.94     6.09    15.54     1.03     3.31    35.91    11.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             28   44  +13      73.14     6.35    20.09     1.32     4.35    39.73    12.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.39     6.53    18.86     2.24     6.47    46.88    17.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.25     6.21    -8.19     0.01     0.04     1.60     0.32P    1.77R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.57     6.03   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P    4.47R    0.01  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.05     6.13    -1.11     0.01     0.01     0.60     0.14P    3.29R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.81     6.36    -3.76     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.26P    2.58R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.98     6.42    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.14P    4.18R    0.01  
Gillingham          28   35  -13      55.04     6.19   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   14.03R    0.14  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.89     6.23    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.15P    5.16R    0.01  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.19     6.28    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P    5.25R    0.01  
Brighton            28   34   -7      55.09     6.33   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   13.70R    0.18  
Millwall            27   33   -2      55.86     6.45    -6.55     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   10.66R    0.12  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.71     6.40    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   14.39R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.59     5.98   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.57R    3.28  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.88     5.66   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.72R    5.08  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.61     5.54   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.93R   11.15  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.41     5.08   -45.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   79.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.97     5.86    43.05    72.14    96.22   100.00    97.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.29     6.27    25.87    13.91    69.64    99.24    77.20P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.71     6.00    27.06     6.96    55.73    98.14    65.79P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.54     5.88    29.06     5.35    47.99    97.75    60.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.74     6.03    18.63     1.50    22.02    91.63    40.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.43     6.09    12.79     0.10     3.83    64.55    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.58     6.46     6.45     0.00     0.59    23.05     5.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.28     6.29     6.76     0.01     0.54    25.87     6.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.31     6.29     0.19     0.00     0.27    13.26     3.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.73     6.33    -6.69     0.00     0.07     6.49     1.07P    0.12R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.62     6.63    24.56     0.04     2.98    56.50    19.40P    0.01R    0.01  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.39     6.38    -0.17     0.00     0.02     6.42     1.41P    0.11R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.18     6.28    -3.90     0.00     0.04     4.46     0.92P    0.22R    0.04  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.47     6.24    -9.27     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.41P    0.46R    0.05  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.58     6.12   -11.96     0.00     0.01     2.38     0.41P    0.42R    0.07  
Bury             28   36   +0      60.03     6.27    -0.85     0.00     0.01     4.64     1.03P    0.24R    0.01  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.37     6.50    -5.56     0.00     0.01     2.96     0.52P    0.81R    0.12  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.43     5.88   -14.13     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    8.29R    1.91  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.81     5.75   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.46R    3.48  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.81     6.18   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   11.54R    2.52  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      47.02     6.10   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    24.63R    7.59  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.80     5.51   -37.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.95R   16.68  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.03     6.22    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    9.38R    2.10  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.19     5.70   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.33R   65.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Woking vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          27   55  +27      93.22     6.26    47.10    58.37    99.20    73.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         27   52  +24      90.82     6.22    42.75    37.33    98.44    63.35P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   47   +8      77.76     6.62    15.30     1.24    56.40    12.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          27   47   +6      76.20     6.63    10.87     0.81    45.91     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.42     6.87     6.82     0.80    40.19     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          26   44   +4      75.81     6.97    10.65     0.62    44.05     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.41     7.06     3.09     0.29    25.10     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          26   41   +8      71.39     6.95    12.47     0.17    23.13     4.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            27   40   +0      67.74     6.70     2.69     0.02     9.27     1.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter             25   39   +8      72.84     7.34    15.38     0.24    30.81     7.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      26   39   -1      64.82     6.89    -3.16     0.01     4.55     0.71P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          25   38   +6      69.88     7.11    10.64     0.09    17.50     3.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             27   35   +2      62.53     6.60     4.50     0.00     2.29     0.49P    0.27R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   25   31  -10      54.68     6.92   -17.49     0.00     0.18     0.03P    6.92R    0.88  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.11     6.94   -20.76     0.00     0.15     0.03P    8.10R    1.17  
Grays              26   30   +7      62.09     6.98    14.21     0.00     2.25     0.54P    0.55R    0.04  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      50.98     6.35   -17.32     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.14R    2.15  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.00     7.20    -2.98     0.00     0.56     0.10P    3.50R    0.41  
Forest_Green       27   29   -7      49.70     6.37   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.14R    3.12  
Rushden_&_D        26   27   -6      49.55     6.62   -13.39     0.00     0.01     0.01P   19.27R    3.44  
Cambridge_U        28   26  -15      43.70     5.89   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.91R   17.37  
St_Albans          28   26  -16      44.60     6.15   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R   15.45  
Southport          27   23  -13      43.20     6.34   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.59R   20.41  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      41.14     6.70   -30.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.33R   35.57