Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 22 January 2007 at 21:32:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 January 2007, Arsenal vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.97     4.39    57.26    90.78    98.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.54     5.04    34.78     7.60    63.92    99.03    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.47     5.05    33.70     1.08    20.08    94.27    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.37     4.99    39.04     0.54    16.97    91.83    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.99     5.16     4.08     0.00     0.17     7.66    65.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.61     5.42    12.19     0.00     0.01     3.06    43.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.97     5.17    12.36     0.00     0.04     2.33    38.23     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.41     5.29     5.24     0.00     0.00     1.25    26.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.98     5.26    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.30     9.68     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   31   -4      51.32     5.34    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.17     8.39     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.32     5.06    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.33     0.26R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.63     5.41    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.42     0.37R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.42     4.91   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     1.76R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.54     5.30    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.47R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.79     4.95   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     3.48R    0.03  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.88     4.86   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.36R    0.86  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.19     5.44   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.45R    1.34  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.99     4.47   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.41R   18.45  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.20     4.59   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.05R   18.27  
Watford         22   12  -19      26.13     5.13   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R   61.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Queens_PR vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.84     6.03    16.91    20.64    46.23    92.30    55.88P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.50     6.42    33.14    50.70    71.08    97.42    78.01P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.94     6.06    22.54    14.34    35.12    88.00    47.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.82     6.11    29.38     6.46    19.52    77.19    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.63     5.92    22.60     4.58    14.35    70.22    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.37     5.95    12.81     0.64     2.87    34.89    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.10     5.96     9.41     0.38     1.75    27.06     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.49     6.10    22.21     0.86     3.51    39.37    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   44  +13      73.56     6.21    20.44     1.22     4.80    45.15    16.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      64.92     6.01    -3.55     0.03     0.15     5.12     1.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.46     6.08    -3.08     0.01     0.04     2.58     0.63P    0.21R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.26     6.29     3.29     0.02     0.17     7.07     1.62P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.87     6.52     6.88     0.11     0.36     9.38     2.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.71     6.05     0.08     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.41P    0.41R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.55     6.04     1.70     0.01     0.02     2.46     0.52P    0.28R    0.01  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.70     6.00   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     8.04R    0.26  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.91     6.18   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    8.72R    0.38  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.91     6.13   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    5.74R    0.32  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.85     5.87   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.48R    1.32  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.75     6.06   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.43R    1.26  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.18     6.05   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.16R    1.91  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.07     5.64   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.08R    6.64  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.80     5.60   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.14R   39.06  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.56     5.30   -37.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   48.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Millwall vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.96     6.02    29.50    22.09    42.23    90.27    56.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.56     6.24    23.04    19.29    37.28    87.51    48.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.27     6.26    20.96    22.15    41.49    89.53    52.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.39     6.13    35.71    24.75    46.11    91.44    60.03P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.14     6.25    14.99     2.47     6.95    49.12    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.63     6.26    20.89     4.56    11.37    60.86    22.78P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.30     6.07    16.03     1.08     3.71    38.36    11.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             28   44  +13      73.31     6.29    20.36     1.43     4.57    40.73    13.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.25     6.47    18.75     2.15     6.20    45.41    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.08     6.22    -8.39     0.00     0.01     1.60     0.36P    1.85R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.79     6.01    -9.66     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P    4.04R    0.01  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.27     6.02    -0.77     0.01     0.01     0.52     0.10P    2.96R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.82     6.42    -3.77     0.00     0.04     1.47     0.28P    2.54R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.77     6.41    -2.87     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.15P    4.50R    0.01  
Gillingham          28   35  -13      55.06     6.18   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   14.05R    0.10  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      58.05     6.37    -1.52     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.12P    5.32R    0.02  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.48     6.35    -3.56     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.14P    4.76R    0.03  
Brighton            28   34   -7      55.04     6.30   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   13.24R    0.17  
Millwall            27   33   -2      56.00     6.38    -6.28     0.01     0.01     0.26     0.03P    9.92R    0.03  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.53     6.36    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   15.04R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.50     6.02   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.26R    3.27  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.78     5.59   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.08R    4.87  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.44     5.52   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.09R   11.83  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.37     5.05   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.33R   79.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      95.09     5.74    43.16    72.23    96.45   100.00    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.53     6.27    26.28    14.64    71.08    99.38    78.62P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.80     5.98    27.24     6.87    55.98    98.42    66.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.44     5.90    28.93     4.95    47.27    97.78    60.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.59     5.96    18.42     1.18    20.74    91.63    38.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.35     6.05    12.67     0.07     3.96    64.42    19.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.61     6.48     6.46     0.01     0.55    23.74     5.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.17     6.26     6.69     0.01     0.56    25.61     5.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.25     6.23     0.11     0.00     0.15    12.77     2.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.86     6.41    -6.52     0.00     0.07     7.07     1.26P    0.13R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.59     6.51    24.52     0.06     3.00    56.35    18.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.16     6.28    -0.54     0.00     0.03     5.67     1.15P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.13     6.33    -4.01     0.00     0.06     4.38     0.99P    0.16R    0.01  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.47     6.16    -9.27     0.00     0.03     2.19     0.42P    0.34R    0.03  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.47     6.21   -12.26     0.00     0.01     2.42     0.41P    0.51R    0.07  
Bury             28   36   +0      60.04     6.33    -0.79     0.00     0.04     4.71     1.03P    0.26R    0.04  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.45     6.59    -5.38     0.00     0.03     3.15     0.62P    0.90R    0.21  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.47     5.84   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    7.98R    2.13  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.91     5.81   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.01R    3.54  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.61     6.17   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   11.65R    2.61  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      47.00     6.07   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.93R    7.67  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.69     5.43   -38.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.38R   17.94  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.21     6.26    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P    9.09R    2.19  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.43     5.68   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.55R   63.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Woking vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          27   55  +27      93.52     6.26    47.56    60.26    99.36    75.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         27   52  +24      90.68     6.18    42.64    35.59    98.52    62.37P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   47   +8      77.74     6.67    15.26     1.39    56.28    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          27   47   +6      76.03     6.61    10.62     0.67    45.17     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.22     6.78     6.55     0.70    38.90     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          26   44   +4      75.64     7.03    10.46     0.48    43.38     9.10P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.38     7.10     3.00     0.29    25.18     4.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          26   41   +8      71.49     6.95    12.61     0.19    23.55     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            27   40   +0      67.80     6.83     2.80     0.01     9.84     1.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter             25   39   +8      72.83     7.27    15.36     0.33    30.78     7.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   39   -1      65.08     6.78    -2.73     0.01     4.79     0.77P    0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot          25   38   +6      70.08     7.20    10.92     0.08    18.89     4.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             27   35   +2      62.74     6.61     4.77     0.01     2.42     0.39P    0.16R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   25   31  -10      54.18     6.89   -18.29     0.00     0.11     0.01P    7.70R    0.95  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.20     6.90   -20.59     0.00     0.15     0.01P    7.84R    1.04  
Grays              26   30   +7      61.61     6.99    13.54     0.00     2.07     0.56P    0.64R    0.03  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.14     6.32   -17.03     0.00     0.02     0.01P   13.79R    1.93  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.40     7.25    -2.48     0.00     0.56     0.12P    3.11R    0.40  
Forest_Green       27   29   -7      49.86     6.34   -15.42     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.57R    2.77  
Rushden_&_D        26   27   -6      49.27     6.60   -13.86     0.00     0.01     0.01P   20.73R    3.96  
Cambridge_U        28   26  -15      43.76     5.86   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.20R   17.05  
St_Albans          28   26  -16      44.52     6.10   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.17R   15.71  
Southport          27   23  -13      43.23     6.33   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.93R   20.45  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      41.23     6.71   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.08R   35.70