Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 21 January 2007 at 21:32:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 21 January 2007, Arsenal vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    24   57  +35      87.69     4.44    56.70    89.65    98.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.61     5.04    34.78     8.51    65.60    98.97    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.48     5.02    33.63     1.23    19.77    94.74    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   45  +25      72.15     4.97    38.78     0.60    15.79    91.44    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      61.03     5.17     4.20     0.01     0.15     7.86    65.53     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.66     5.44    12.29     0.00     0.06     3.08    43.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   35   +8      56.88     5.14    12.30     0.00     0.02     2.19    37.93     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.20     5.32     4.93     0.00     0.00     1.14    25.39     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.90     5.33    -3.89     0.00     0.00     0.25     9.60     0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   31   -4      51.59     5.33    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.19     9.38     0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.51     5.12    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.90     0.21R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.42     5.45    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.23     0.40R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.41     4.91   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     1.82R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.60     5.27    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.52     0.47R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.76     5.00   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     4.08R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.90     4.85   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.68R    0.83  
Wigan           23   22  -15      39.45     5.36   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.36R    0.94  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.99     4.48   -34.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.78R   18.57  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.36     4.62   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.67R   17.57  
Watford         22   12  -19      26.05     5.08   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.38R   62.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Queens_PR vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.82     5.98    16.79    20.84    45.52    92.84    55.29P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.56     6.38    33.26    51.12    72.24    97.32    78.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.75     6.05    22.24    13.31    33.55    87.75    46.67P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.78     6.18    29.21     6.77    20.12    77.08    35.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.45     5.94    22.32     4.46    13.94    69.46    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.15     5.97    12.51     0.65     2.98    33.45    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      70.97     5.98     9.25     0.43     1.90    26.38     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.41     6.12    22.17     0.84     3.65    38.76    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   44  +13      73.90     6.20    20.94     1.44     5.34    47.48    17.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      65.07     6.04    -3.35     0.01     0.17     5.44     1.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.54     6.05    -2.87     0.00     0.01     2.76     0.55P    0.18R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.49     6.39     3.64     0.04     0.17     7.86     1.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.74     6.51     6.64     0.07     0.36     9.11     2.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.77     6.08     0.17     0.01     0.02     1.55     0.44P    0.47R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.43     6.05     1.53     0.01     0.03     2.40     0.45P    0.24R    0.00  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.68     6.03   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.06R    0.30  
Norwich          28   34  -10      54.01     6.11   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.96R    0.37  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.85     6.13   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    6.11R    0.35  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.96     5.84   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.02R    1.30  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.67     6.01   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.80R    1.11  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.24     6.06   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.26R    1.85  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.06     5.69   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.42R    6.99  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.82     5.70   -38.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.75R   39.67  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.65     5.26   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.55R   48.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Millwall vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      82.97     5.98    29.48    22.21    41.69    90.70    55.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.53     6.26    23.01    19.21    37.27    87.48    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.24     6.29    20.87    22.09    41.14    89.48    52.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.34     6.15    35.56    24.39    46.29    91.38    59.69P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      75.07     6.25    14.88     2.52     6.89    48.50    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.69     6.32    20.97     4.76    11.99    61.41    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.10     5.99    15.76     0.98     3.44    37.08    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             28   44  +13      73.37     6.35    20.40     1.73     4.96    41.32    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.34     6.40    18.84     2.10     6.26    46.22    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      61.32     6.18    -8.12     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.21P    1.70R    0.01  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.82     5.94    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    3.69R    0.01  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.19     6.13    -0.94     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.14P    3.29R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.82     6.43    -3.77     0.01     0.03     1.46     0.26P    2.63R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.84     6.38    -2.61     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.20P    4.34R    0.01  
Gillingham          28   35  -13      55.09     6.17   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   13.88R    0.17  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.65     6.21    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    5.89R    0.01  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.29     6.25    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    4.80R    0.02  
Brighton            28   34   -7      54.93     6.25   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   14.22R    0.20  
Millwall            27   33   -2      55.86     6.32    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   10.12R    0.09  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.82     6.31    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   13.96R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.70     6.11   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R    3.26  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.75     5.59   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.17R    5.02  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.64     5.57   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.42R   11.26  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.44     5.12   -45.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   79.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.69     5.86    42.55    70.11    95.69    99.99    97.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.42     6.23    26.08    15.28    70.15    99.32    77.75P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      84.92     5.98    27.45     7.51    57.27    98.48    67.46P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.44     5.95    28.86     5.58    46.64    97.64    59.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.79     5.93    18.70     1.40    21.80    92.21    40.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.42     6.00    12.75     0.08     3.79    64.94    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.46     6.37     6.30     0.01     0.47    22.37     4.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.36     6.33     6.92     0.01     0.62    27.29     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      63.98     6.30    -0.19     0.00     0.20    12.13     2.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      62.03     6.33    -6.27     0.00     0.04     7.06     1.22P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.46     6.58    24.28     0.04     3.23    55.73    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.21     6.24    -0.48     0.00     0.04     5.79     1.38P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.22     6.20    -3.90     0.00     0.02     4.34     0.77P    0.18R    0.03  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.45     6.14    -9.36     0.00     0.01     2.31     0.40P    0.37R    0.04  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.68     6.17   -11.91     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.41P    0.42R    0.06  
Bury             28   36   +0      59.96     6.24    -0.86     0.00     0.01     4.33     0.90P    0.24R    0.02  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.55     6.51    -5.20     0.00     0.01     3.21     0.56P    0.76R    0.14  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.54     5.79   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    7.79R    1.57  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.82     5.75   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.71R    3.58  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.83     6.10   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.77R    2.61  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      47.10     6.09   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.40R    7.57  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.49     5.45   -38.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.86R   18.73  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.06     6.22    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    8.96R    2.02  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.42     5.74   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.22R   63.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Woking vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          27   55  +27      93.24     6.31    47.06    57.77    99.27    72.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         27   52  +24      91.07     6.18    43.17    38.16    98.67    64.48P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   47   +8      77.72     6.63    15.25     1.29    56.48    12.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          27   47   +6      76.09     6.70    10.71     0.67    45.34     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.13     6.85     6.45     0.64    38.74     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          26   44   +4      75.57     7.03    10.37     0.62    42.76     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.21     7.08     2.83     0.23    24.69     4.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          26   41   +8      71.46     7.00    12.54     0.20    24.03     4.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            27   40   +0      68.39     6.74     3.66     0.01    11.30     2.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter             25   39   +8      72.73     7.23    15.24     0.33    30.38     7.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      26   39   -1      64.97     6.82    -2.92     0.01     4.67     0.90P    0.14R    0.00  
Aldershot          25   38   +6      69.90     7.22    10.71     0.08    18.23     3.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             27   35   +2      62.33     6.68     4.20     0.00     2.30     0.58P    0.26R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   25   31  -10      54.44     6.96   -17.89     0.00     0.15     0.03P    7.37R    0.89  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.12     6.88   -20.84     0.00     0.14     0.02P    7.78R    1.01  
Grays              26   30   +7      62.04     6.92    14.15     0.00     2.22     0.56P    0.48R    0.03  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.23     6.38   -17.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.80R    2.10  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.33     7.24    -2.57     0.00     0.59     0.14P    3.12R    0.44  
Forest_Green       27   29   -7      49.85     6.37   -15.36     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.67R    2.67  
Rushden_&_D        26   27   -6      49.53     6.60   -13.35     0.00     0.02     0.00    19.93R    3.65  
Cambridge_U        28   26  -15      43.74     5.85   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.35R   16.56  
St_Albans          28   26  -16      44.46     6.07   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.18R   15.22  
Southport          27   23  -13      43.10     6.31   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.65R   20.71  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      40.90     6.64   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.22R   36.72