Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 20 January 2007 at 21:34:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Manchester_C vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.68     4.69    58.97    93.50    99.31   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   51  +22      78.67     5.06    34.97     5.61    67.86    99.14    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   46  +21      73.60     5.00    33.86     0.63    21.77    95.11    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.34     5.33    37.31     0.27    10.77    85.69    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   40   +2      60.93     5.20     3.97     0.00     0.20    10.71    68.11     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37  +10      57.74     5.50    12.36     0.00     0.07     4.91    47.55     0.00     0.00  
Reading         24   34   +2      55.40     5.34     5.22     0.00     0.00     1.92    28.81     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       24   33   -3      51.83     5.28    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.34    10.12     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.71     5.53     9.46     0.00     0.01     1.73    26.54     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   31   -4      51.50     5.36    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.26     9.79     0.09R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   24   30   +0      48.28     5.07    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.83     0.23R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   30   -4      48.61     5.41    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.85     0.43R    0.01  
Manchester_C    24   30   -9      44.25     4.87   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     2.17R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     24   29   -2      47.64     5.32    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.10     0.48R    0.01  
Fulham          24   29  -10      42.85     4.98   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     4.17R    0.04  
Sheffield_U     24   24  -14      38.85     4.79   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.18R    0.81  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.25     5.73   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    11.20R    0.59  
West_Ham        24   20  -21      30.95     4.45   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   18.34  
Charlton        24   19  -24      31.18     4.64   -37.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.19R   18.65  
Watford         22   12  -19      26.00     5.16   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.99R   61.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Queens_PR vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Derby            29   56  +10      83.86     5.96    16.90    20.44    46.18    93.17    56.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.71     6.43    33.45    51.59    72.48    97.65    79.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +14      81.95     6.00    22.48    13.78    34.28    88.66    47.69P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    29   49  +19      78.71     6.10    29.21     6.48    19.05    76.81    34.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   49  +14      77.51     6.00    22.45     4.21    14.32    69.64    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   46   +8      72.10     5.93    12.38     0.61     2.54    33.57     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       29   46   +7      71.02     6.03     9.28     0.51     1.96    27.22     7.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   44  +14      72.52     5.99    22.33     0.93     3.74    39.15    13.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   44  +13      73.47     6.21    20.33     1.35     4.70    44.45    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   43   -2      64.91     6.04    -3.57     0.01     0.12     5.21     0.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      29   40   -1      62.47     6.04    -2.99     0.00     0.03     2.62     0.51P    0.24R    0.01  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.44     6.41     3.54     0.03     0.22     7.92     1.89P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.78     6.54     6.74     0.07     0.34     9.15     2.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   38   +1      60.48     5.99    -0.27     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.26P    0.56R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   38   +0      62.79     6.08     2.07     0.00     0.03     3.05     0.64P    0.14R    0.01  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.73     5.96   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.07R    0.26  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.83     6.20   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    9.07R    0.34  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.95     6.08   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    5.59R    0.23  
Hull             29   31  -10      50.83     5.83   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.73R    1.29  
Luton            29   31  -13      51.78     6.06   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   14.78R    1.11  
Queens_PR        29   30  -10      50.33     6.07   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.67R    1.60  
Barnsley         29   29  -17      46.17     5.64   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.83R    6.37  
Leeds            28   24  -23      39.98     5.74   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.12R   37.90  
Southend         29   24  -23      38.41     5.30   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.03R   50.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Millwall vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          29   52  +18      83.01     5.97    29.49    21.41    41.35    90.36    55.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        28   52  +14      82.49     6.37    22.95    19.05    36.63    87.00    48.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   28   52  +11      83.44     6.25    21.17    22.45    41.67    90.12    52.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              28   49  +21      83.62     6.13    36.00    25.88    48.15    92.00    61.74P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              28   48  +11      74.90     6.27    14.65     2.26     6.51    47.65    15.99P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           28   47  +13      76.87     6.26    21.32     4.86    12.15    62.17    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            29   46  +10      73.14     6.00    15.83     0.86     3.29    37.78    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             28   44  +13      73.06     6.30    19.99     1.29     4.16    39.48    12.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           27   43  +11      74.36     6.42    18.87     1.94     6.00    46.91    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            28   39   -5      60.99     6.24    -8.58     0.00     0.04     1.55     0.28P    2.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield        29   37   -7      58.73     6.00    -9.77     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.05P    4.11R    0.03  
Bradford            29   36   -1      59.30     6.10    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    3.27R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.82     6.41    -3.80     0.00     0.01     1.42     0.26P    2.62R    0.01  
Crewe               28   35   -1      58.58     6.38    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    4.88R    0.02  
Gillingham          28   35  -13      55.12     6.23   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   14.21R    0.14  
Chesterfield        28   34   -1      57.97     6.30    -1.59     0.01     0.01     0.51     0.12P    5.39R    0.01  
Rotherham           28   34   -3      58.51     6.32    -3.47     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.12P    4.54R    0.04  
Brighton            28   34   -7      54.85     6.19   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   13.89R    0.12  
Millwall            27   33   -2      55.83     6.38    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   10.48R    0.04  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.74     6.36    -9.61     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   14.40R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient       28   28  -13      46.74     6.04   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.65R    3.23  
Bournemouth         29   28  -15      44.72     5.67   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.53R    5.32  
Cheltenham          29   26  -16      42.60     5.61   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.81R   11.35  
Brentford           29   22  -28      34.49     5.05   -45.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.19R   79.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Wrexham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          28   59  +26      94.84     5.84    42.84    70.75    96.02    99.98    97.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     28   56  +16      87.53     6.27    26.23    15.22    70.35    99.31    77.95P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    29   55  +16      85.09     5.93    27.77     7.66    57.73    98.67    67.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   53  +17      83.33     5.94    28.65     4.79    46.28    97.49    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       29   52  +12      79.74     6.01    18.66     1.43    21.23    91.81    39.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          29   47   +8      73.62     6.01    13.03     0.12     4.21    65.70    20.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        28   41   +5      66.50     6.43     6.32     0.00     0.53    22.57     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     28   41   +4      67.56     6.30     7.22     0.01     0.60    27.43     6.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   40   +0      64.00     6.39    -0.19     0.00     0.14    12.47     2.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   38   -5      61.75     6.44    -6.75     0.00     0.04     6.64     1.07P    0.14R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.35     6.52    24.22     0.01     2.76    54.67    18.02P    0.01R    0.01  
Chester          28   37   +0      61.47     6.31    -0.04     0.00     0.04     6.33     1.34P    0.09R    0.01  
Darlington       28   37   -2      60.20     6.22    -3.90     0.00     0.01     4.29     0.94P    0.27R    0.04  
Hereford         28   37   -5      58.24     6.11    -9.67     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.39P    0.40R    0.04  
Barnet           28   37   -7      58.58     6.20   -12.01     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.40P    0.50R    0.06  
Bury             28   36   +0      59.87     6.26    -1.02     0.00     0.02     4.37     0.92P    0.27R    0.04  
Mansfield        27   33   -4      58.54     6.57    -5.30     0.00     0.03     3.38     0.64P    0.88R    0.15  
Accrington       29   30   -8      50.57     5.90   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.00R    1.97  
Boston           29   30  -14      48.72     5.79   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.28R    3.48  
Macclesfield     28   29   -8      49.58     6.13   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   11.77R    2.58  
Wrexham          27   29  -17      47.00     5.97   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.23R    7.24  
Grimsby          29   29  -24      43.78     5.53   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.23R   17.17  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.19     6.19    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    8.77R    2.13  
Torquay          28   21  -19      37.27     5.63   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.17R   65.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 20 January 2007, Woking vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          27   55  +27      93.40     6.27    47.31    60.28    99.38    74.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         27   52  +24      90.67     6.19    42.67    35.61    98.34    62.14P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   47   +8      77.75     6.73    15.33     1.41    56.50    12.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          27   47   +6      75.94     6.60    10.47     0.64    44.60     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             26   47   +5      75.27     6.87     6.63     0.69    39.87     8.16P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          26   44   +4      75.52     6.99    10.27     0.44    42.35     9.18P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.33     7.05     2.98     0.26    25.35     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          26   41   +8      71.54     6.91    12.75     0.23    23.91     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley            27   40   +0      68.00     6.71     3.05     0.02    10.14     1.75P    0.05R    0.01  
Exeter             25   39   +8      72.93     7.18    15.45     0.29    31.35     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   39   -1      65.00     6.90    -2.90     0.01     4.83     0.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot          25   38   +6      69.79     7.25    10.54     0.11    18.23     3.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             27   35   +2      62.66     6.65     4.61     0.01     2.40     0.53P    0.21R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   25   31  -10      54.68     6.93   -17.50     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.75R    0.81  
Northwich          25   31  -11      54.43     6.85   -20.25     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.03R    0.77  
Grays              26   30   +7      61.79     6.92    13.83     0.00     1.89     0.49P    0.55R    0.04  
Altrincham         27   30   -9      51.20     6.50   -16.99     0.00     0.03     0.01P   13.91R    2.12  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.30     7.24    -2.59     0.00     0.55     0.10P    3.24R    0.38  
Forest_Green       27   29   -7      49.56     6.34   -15.88     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.64R    2.94  
Rushden_&_D        26   27   -6      49.73     6.65   -13.13     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.80R    3.32  
Cambridge_U        28   26  -15      43.74     5.90   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.73R   16.71  
St_Albans          28   26  -16      44.56     6.11   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.28R   14.45  
Southport          27   23  -13      42.95     6.35   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.13R   21.64  
Tamworth           25   21  -17      40.84     6.62   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.58R   36.82