Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 19 January 2007 at 21:32:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.22     4.71    58.30    89.66    99.21   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      80.12     5.22    37.31     9.65    78.38    98.98    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.58     5.42    31.40     0.43    12.35    83.22    98.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.18     5.38    36.99     0.27     9.03    76.75    97.53     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.93     5.36    10.79     0.00     0.68    22.89    80.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.44     5.69    17.15     0.00     0.33    14.66    67.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.68     5.44     9.47     0.00     0.01     1.45    19.18     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.21     5.62    -4.03     0.00     0.01     0.43     8.70     0.06R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.10     5.56     3.73     0.00     0.01     1.25    16.25     0.03R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.14     5.30   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.40     0.53R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      50.22     5.60    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     4.63     0.17R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.31     5.54   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.68     0.49R    0.00  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.31     5.27   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     3.03R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      45.15     5.27    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69     1.36R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.34     5.47    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.30     1.02R    0.02  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      39.88     5.09   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.24R    0.39  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.01     5.63   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     9.65R    0.36  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.02     4.55   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.20R   19.98  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.82     4.64   -42.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.47R   37.99  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.25     5.33   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.73R   41.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Coventry vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.54     6.40    33.24    55.38    75.12    97.55    80.88P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.44     6.29    16.20    17.50    41.62    89.44    51.23P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.10     6.26    21.16    10.83    28.25    82.68    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.83     6.29    29.52     6.30    19.66    74.36    35.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.43     6.19    19.79     3.09    10.60    58.98    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.35     6.23    23.97     2.39     8.43    53.49    20.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.49     6.44    22.34     3.59    11.78    59.74    26.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.18     6.13    11.02     0.42     2.04    25.46     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.30     6.23     5.67     0.21     0.94    17.29     4.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      67.05     6.25    -1.42     0.12     0.55    11.52     2.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.49     6.38     0.18     0.04     0.26     7.04     1.56P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.26     6.35     3.33     0.03     0.23     8.05     1.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.46     6.50     6.37     0.07     0.39     9.31     2.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.68     6.20     0.97     0.01     0.07     2.53     0.64P    0.34R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.55     6.30     0.26     0.01     0.06     1.94     0.44P    0.81R    0.05  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.91     6.00   -14.73     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P    7.39R    0.36  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.85     6.02   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.11R    0.39  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.82     6.08   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    5.55R    0.32  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.87     6.36   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    6.72R    0.49  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.08     6.29   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   12.66R    1.10  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.69     6.08   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.55R    1.77  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      42.99     5.84   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   18.07  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.31     5.89   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.69R   37.22  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.64     5.56   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R   40.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Tranmere vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          28   51  +18      83.52     6.15    29.75    19.41    42.65    91.56    56.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.55     6.56    20.95    19.34    41.11    89.64    51.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      87.18     6.19    42.39    45.60    69.33    97.09    78.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      78.93     6.54    17.04     6.82    17.33    72.17    29.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            28   45  +10      74.31     6.23    17.04     1.34     4.71    46.27    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.48     6.47    15.44     1.59     5.59    46.95    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.09     6.60    20.09     2.40     7.59    52.57    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.41     6.57    20.04     1.40     4.79    42.84    14.16P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.48     6.76    18.59     2.06     6.71    48.48    18.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.62     6.54    -4.77     0.04     0.10     4.46     0.82P    0.87R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.61     6.32    -4.08     0.00     0.01     1.41     0.30P    2.36R    0.01  
Bradford            28   35   -1      59.03     6.17    -1.65     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.14P    3.54R    0.03  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.51     6.66     3.30     0.00     0.04     2.82     0.67P    1.90R    0.02  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.66     6.58     1.31     0.01     0.01     1.84     0.34P    2.61R    0.01  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.78     6.28   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    8.68R    0.08  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.52     6.38   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.85R    0.17  
Crewe               27   32   -3      55.99     6.57    -6.80     0.01     0.01     0.34     0.04P   10.56R    0.23  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.61     6.34    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   14.12R    0.21  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.20     6.46   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    26.05R    0.74  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.74     6.53   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   22.34R    0.50  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.92     6.26   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   52.08R    2.75  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.11     5.90   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.20R    4.35  
Cheltenham          28   25  -16      43.22     5.92   -25.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.97R   12.15  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.88     5.17   -46.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   78.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Bury vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          27   59  +27      97.85     6.00    46.19    83.73    98.28   100.00    98.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.66     6.53    23.87     6.80    59.08    98.21    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      83.95     6.13    29.07     3.88    51.44    97.75    63.19P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.87     6.25    26.46     3.96    50.21    97.31    61.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.90     6.18    19.72     1.45    29.07    93.39    46.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.87     6.36    14.31     0.13     7.30    71.88    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      64.94     6.64     0.52     0.00     0.39    15.89     3.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.66     6.60     1.49     0.00     0.26    11.82     2.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      64.98     6.47     2.79     0.00     0.26    16.15     3.42P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.91     6.76    -0.87     0.01     0.40    16.32     3.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.64     6.51    24.57     0.04     3.14    56.56    19.39P    0.01R    0.01  
Hereford         27   37   -2      60.76     6.39    -4.93     0.00     0.04     5.08     1.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.52     6.42   -10.81     0.00     0.02     3.67     0.68P    0.36R    0.07  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.23     6.60    -0.90     0.00     0.09     6.66     1.45P    0.17R    0.03  
Bury             27   35   +0      59.86     6.53    -1.48     0.00     0.04     4.57     1.02P    0.32R    0.04  
Darlington       27   34   -3      58.84     6.50    -4.55     0.00     0.01     3.08     0.64P    0.63R    0.11  
Mansfield        26   30   -5      55.69     6.71    -8.19     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.23P    2.41R    0.55  
Boston           28   30  -12      49.92     5.99   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.22R    3.18  
Accrington       28   29   -8      49.87     5.96   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.52R    3.00  
Grimsby          28   29  -23      45.28     5.79   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.84R   13.48  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.11     6.22    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    9.28R    2.58  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.55     6.25   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   28.46R   10.52  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.15     6.33   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    23.04R    7.89  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.32     5.98   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.45R   58.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.81     6.51    47.46    55.34    99.22    71.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      92.02     6.42    43.84    40.19    98.83    65.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.61     6.88    17.01     1.88    67.33    15.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.10     6.92     6.65     0.26    30.29     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.15     7.24     6.43     0.46    35.47     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.70     7.26     9.98     0.56    44.90     8.82P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.60     7.14     3.39     0.28    27.51     4.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.97     7.56    20.03     0.85    49.12    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.74     7.23     9.33     0.12    18.19     3.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.70     6.95     2.54     0.01     8.54     1.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.62     7.16    -4.90     0.01     3.21     0.53P    0.51R    0.03  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.39     7.48     7.28     0.05    11.92     2.42P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.71     6.91     2.20     0.00     1.67     0.33P    0.86R    0.09  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.24     7.24   -17.48     0.00     0.53     0.04P    5.60R    0.77  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      55.69     7.12   -16.78     0.00     0.36     0.05P    6.34R    0.91  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.44     6.68   -15.17     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.87R    1.87  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.55     7.17    12.93     0.00     2.29     0.66P    0.77R    0.06  
Halifax            25   29   -2      56.91     7.17    -3.18     0.00     0.52     0.11P    3.88R    0.56  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.11     6.58   -17.58     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.55R    7.24  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      45.08     6.07   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.60R   14.53  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.70     6.37   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.52R   14.33  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.62     6.82   -14.83     0.00     0.01     0.01P   32.30R    8.63  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.13     6.54   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.09R   20.56  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.81     7.06   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R   30.43