Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 18 January 2007 at 21:32:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.14     4.73    58.21    89.60    99.25   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      79.97     5.24    37.09     9.62    77.56    98.81    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.82     5.30    31.80     0.49    13.54    84.82    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.08     5.38    36.78     0.28     8.72    76.27    97.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.86     5.41    10.63     0.01     0.62    22.00    79.88     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.54     5.61    17.28     0.01     0.32    14.36    67.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.82     5.46     9.75     0.00     0.00     1.64    19.59     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.19     5.56    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.53     8.38     0.06R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.24     5.53     4.02     0.00     0.00     1.19    16.55     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.09     5.31   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.09     0.54R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      50.46     5.68    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.28     5.41     0.22R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.13     5.55   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.44     0.58R    0.01  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.31     5.27   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     3.06R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      44.91     5.30    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     1.67R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.20     5.47    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.25     1.23R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      39.88     5.06   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.40R    0.45  
Wigan           22   22  -13      40.98     5.67   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     9.98R    0.40  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.23     4.61   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.12R   19.30  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.60     4.60   -42.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.35R   40.84  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.45     5.40   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.73R   38.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Coventry vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.76     6.36    33.65    56.14    76.06    97.93    81.86P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.72     6.32    16.66    18.34    43.38    90.20    53.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.09     6.30    21.14    10.06    27.92    82.33    41.15P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.79     6.36    29.40     6.28    19.09    74.16    34.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.46     6.20    19.79     3.11    10.82    59.80    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.16     6.32    23.74     2.21     7.83    52.73    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.35     6.35    22.18     3.04    10.44    59.24    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.05     6.20    10.84     0.43     1.99    25.50     7.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.15     6.18     5.53     0.21     1.03    16.20     4.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.76     6.35    -1.76     0.07     0.48    11.42     2.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.87     6.33     0.80     0.04     0.21     7.75     1.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.09     6.33     3.08     0.01     0.26     7.71     1.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.46     6.50     6.37     0.03     0.40     9.81     2.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.65     6.25     0.94     0.01     0.06     2.54     0.68P    0.43R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.52     6.33     0.14     0.01     0.02     2.02     0.47P    0.77R    0.01  
Coventry         28   34   -8      54.02     5.96   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    6.93R    0.27  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.84     6.07   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    8.40R    0.40  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.92     6.20   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    5.54R    0.39  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.63     6.30   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    7.04R    0.47  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.06     6.33   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.96R    1.12  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.70     6.07   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.52R    1.63  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      43.12     5.83   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.92R   17.88  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.24     5.85   -39.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.33R   37.58  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.78     5.58   -36.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.88R   40.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Tranmere vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          28   51  +18      83.43     6.15    29.58    19.70    42.53    91.17    56.77P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.58     6.56    20.95    20.16    41.64    89.56    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.75     6.30    41.79    43.45    66.89    96.53    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      78.90     6.53    16.99     6.78    17.52    71.56    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            28   45  +10      74.15     6.24    16.82     1.47     4.86    44.67    14.51P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.45     6.48    15.44     1.80     5.84    46.44    15.49P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.42     6.59    20.63     2.73     8.29    54.57    18.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.49     6.51    20.16     1.49     5.03    42.73    14.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.82     6.70    19.03     2.40     7.18    50.27    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.65     6.54    -4.61     0.03     0.17     4.41     0.90P    0.80R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.65     6.40    -4.11     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.27P    2.56R    0.03  
Bradford            28   35   -1      58.91     6.33    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.20P    3.91R    0.01  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.48     6.70     3.21     0.00     0.03     2.98     0.77P    1.97R    0.00  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.45     6.58     0.96     0.00     0.02     1.68     0.34P    2.65R    0.02  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.96     6.19   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    7.76R    0.09  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.24     6.48   -21.67     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.03P   14.12R    0.30  
Crewe               27   32   -3      56.04     6.58    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   10.29R    0.15  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.62     6.34    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   14.08R    0.16  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.34     6.39   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   24.68R    0.74  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.72     6.54   -12.78     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.01P   22.73R    0.59  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.86     6.30   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   52.72R    3.08  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.32     5.91   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.09R    4.07  
Cheltenham          28   25  -16      43.05     5.83   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.89R   12.37  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.98     5.22   -46.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R   78.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Bury vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          27   59  +27      97.50     6.03    45.73    82.13    98.02   100.00    98.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.81     6.51    24.12     7.25    60.09    98.37    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      84.03     6.22    29.17     4.79    51.51    97.57    62.74P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.90     6.21    26.51     4.08    49.65    97.42    61.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      81.03     6.23    19.94     1.57    29.59    93.59    47.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.80     6.21    14.24     0.14     6.72    72.22    23.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      64.89     6.56     0.40     0.00     0.36    15.62     3.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.77     6.64     1.67     0.00     0.24    12.61     2.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      64.88     6.54     2.66     0.00     0.33    16.16     3.60P    0.02R    0.01  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.67     6.70    -1.25     0.00     0.34    15.45     3.07P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.52     6.54    24.45     0.03     2.98    55.95    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      60.70     6.51    -4.99     0.00     0.04     5.26     1.03P    0.23R    0.03  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.57     6.38   -10.71     0.00     0.03     3.54     0.65P    0.34R    0.04  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.44     6.53    -0.75     0.00     0.06     6.85     1.50P    0.14R    0.02  
Bury             27   35   +0      59.99     6.50    -1.40     0.00     0.03     4.87     1.01P    0.28R    0.03  
Darlington       27   34   -3      58.53     6.57    -4.95     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.59P    0.78R    0.15  
Mansfield        26   30   -5      55.72     6.67    -8.10     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.23P    2.42R    0.54  
Boston           28   30  -12      50.04     5.96   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.64R    3.02  
Accrington       28   29   -8      50.05     6.05   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   10.10R    2.94  
Grimsby          28   29  -23      45.19     5.77   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   36.52R   13.97  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.18     6.28    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.57R    2.71  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.44     6.22   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   28.82R   10.57  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.20     6.35   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.71R    7.75  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.34     5.84   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.33R   58.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.88     6.47    47.54    55.52    99.33    71.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      92.12     6.42    43.97    39.98    98.75    66.02P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.62     6.84    17.05     1.89    67.83    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.39     6.92     7.17     0.37    31.43     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.39     7.27     6.72     0.54    36.45     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.52     7.32     9.75     0.61    43.22     8.11P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.18     7.15     2.83     0.20    25.98     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      76.00     7.44    20.03     0.80    48.95    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.48     7.23     8.87     0.07    17.00     3.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.69     7.02     2.56     0.01     8.53     1.62P    0.10R    0.01  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.86     7.29    -4.59     0.00     3.47     0.65P    0.54R    0.03  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.72     7.50     7.77     0.03    13.14     2.59P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.67     6.86     2.14     0.00     1.49     0.20P    0.81R    0.07  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.12     7.23   -17.67     0.00     0.44     0.04P    5.65R    0.69  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      55.73     7.16   -16.75     0.00     0.39     0.04P    6.00R    0.77  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.59     6.66   -14.90     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.64R    1.80  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.84     7.22    13.33     0.00     2.85     0.68P    0.81R    0.09  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.05     7.24    -2.92     0.00     0.69     0.13P    4.07R    0.51  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.90     6.61   -17.93     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.25R    7.78  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      45.03     6.17   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.28R   14.96  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.56     6.36   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.99R   14.56  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.36     6.77   -15.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.65R    8.59  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.03     6.54   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.09R   20.25  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.78     7.01   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.93R   29.88